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  • What drives the stock market?

  • What makes stock prices move?

  • What even IS a stock?

  • If you've never invested before and you'd love to know the answers to these questions,

  • then you've definitely landed on the right video

  • I bought my first stock when I was 14 years old, but I was lucky enough to have a dad

  • who could explain to me what a stock is and help me learn about investing.

  • But if you didn't have someone to teach you this stuff, how else would you know anything

  • about investing and putting your money to work?

  • It's not like they teach us this stuff in school right?

  • That's why in this video, I'm going to talk about some of the very very basics of

  • investing, starting with: WHAT EVEN IS A STOCK?

  • So let's just get right into it.

  • To understand what a stock is, let's go back in time and do a little history lesson.

  • The origins of the stock market started way way back in the age of Christopher Columbus,

  • When a group of enterprising Dutch merchants wanted to send huge ships over to the New World to

  • start trading spices, silk, and all kinds of other foreign, exotic goods.

  • This required lots of capital that no single merchant could come up with on their own.

  • So groups of investors started coming together to pool their money and become co-owners in

  • these trading companies.

  • These ventures were called joint-stock companies, and shareholders started buying and selling

  • their stock with other shareholders and investors.

  • And thus, the stock market was born!

  • IF THIS IS MAKING SENSE SO FAR, LET ME KNOW BY GIVING THIS VIDEO A THUMBS UP

  • The idea was so successful that joint-stock companies started popping up all over Europe.

  • As the volume of shares and number of companies increased, it became critical to have some sort of organized marketplace

  • to buy and sell these shares.

  • So stock traders started meeting up at a London coffeeshop, which became the centralized

  • marketplace to buy and sell shares.

  • Eventually, they took over that coffeeshop and changed its name to the "stock exchange."

  • So that's how the first stock exchange was born, the London Stock Exchange.

  • Today, there's stock exchanges all over the world, with the NYSE and the NASDAQ being

  • two of the largest and most important exchanges.

  • OK so that's it for our little history lesson.

  • Now you know that a stock is a piece of ownership in a company, and its origins came from the

  • need to pool money together in order to fund big business ventures.

  • This concept of pooled ownership in businesses IS what makes it possible to build huge companies

  • like AAPL, WMT, LUV, and KO.

  • It takes billions and billions of dollars to build a company like that, and most people

  • don't have the money to do it on their own.

  • Unless you're Elon Musk.

  • Elon Musk started Tesla on his own, with $70M of his personal money.

  • But even Elon Musk eventually brought in outside investors in order to keep scaling the company,

  • so on June 29, 2010, he did what's called an IPO, or Initial Public Offering.

  • An IPO is when a private company first starts offering its shares to the public.

  • Before the IPO, the only way to buy shares in Tesla was to call up Elon Musk….

  • Hi Elon, it's me - listen, I want to talk to you about buying a piece of your company.

  • But now, after the IPO, Tesla's shares now trade freely on a stock exchange, so anyone

  • who has a brokerage account can buy stock and become a part-owner in Tesla.

  • So that's the difference between shares of private companies and shares of public companies.

  • You generally can't buy shares of private companies because there's no centralized,

  • standardized place to buy them, but ANYONE can buy shares of public companies easily

  • and conveniently.

  • So the stock market is where you can buy and sell shares of these publicly traded companies.

  • Most companies start out as private companies, and when they get big enough, they can do

  • an IPO and become publicly traded companies.

  • Notice that I'm using the words stock and shares interchangeably.

  • They basically mean the same thing, except that shares are the units of measurement.

  • So you would say, “I own STOCK in Teslaor you could be more specific and say “I

  • own 50 SHARES of Tesla STOCK.”

  • So now you know that a stock is a piece of ownership in a business, and you know that

  • the stock market is made up of shares of publicly traded companies.

  • Now let's talk about stock prices.

  • This is what comes up when you Google AAPL.

  • You can see the stock price right here, and that the market cap is $862B. Market cap is

  • the total market value of a company's outstanding shares.

  • So for all the investors out there who own AAPL stock, their shares collectively are

  • worth $861B at the current stock price of $187.41.

  • So that means for $187.41, you can become a 0.0000000002% owner in the company.

  • Or if you're a big institutional investor and you bought 100M shares of AAPL, then you'd

  • become a 0.02% owner in AAPL.

  • To own 0.02% of AAPL means that you own 0.02% of everything the company owns.

  • It also means you're entitled to 0.02% of the company's profits.

  • So it's all proportional. So the stock price reflects whatever people want to pay at any given moment, to own a slice of AAPL

  • The stock price is very volatile.

  • It moves a lot, all the time, 24/7, and movements in stock prices often have nothing to do with

  • the actual earnings potential of the company.

  • So I want you to keep that in mind: the stock price is very unpredictable in the short-term,

  • while the company's underlying value and earnings potential is much more stable and

  • predictable.

  • Let's quickly go back to the story of our Dutch merchants.

  • Their trading company is absolutely killing it and they're making huge profits.

  • There's 10 shareholders, which means the profits get split up 10 ways, putting $100K

  • in each shareholder's pocket every year.

  • If one of the shareholders offered to sell you his piece of the company for $100K - would

  • you do it?

  • The answer is HELL YES - since each shareholder gets $100k every year, if I buy his piece

  • of the business for $100k, I'll make back the purchase price in just ONE YEAR!

  • Now what if he offered to sell it to you for $1M?

  • Then I'd have to think about it some morefor $1M it would take 10 years to make back

  • the purchase price.

  • And that's IF the company is still in business for 10 years and nothing bad happens.

  • The moral of the story is this: The price of a stock is driven by the company's PROFITS.

  • Stock prices go up and down because the market thinks profits will go up and down.

  • Profitability is the foundation of what creates a stock price.

  • This is how it works in the long-term, but in the short-term sometimes stock prices have

  • no connection to profits.

  • For example, right before the dotcom bubble crashed in 2000, there were Internet companies

  • with no realistic prospects for revenue, but they were trading at sky-high prices.

  • This happens when market participants who lack knowledge get greedy, and this happens

  • more often than you think.

  • I want you to be very aware of this.

  • Stock prices that have no connection to profits ultimately correct.

  • It might take a while, and you might even get lucky and make a quick buck or two, but

  • stock prices always always always come back to true value, which comes from a company's

  • profitability.

  • This goes both ways: if a company's stock price is too low relative to its profits then

  • the stock price WILL eventually go back up.

  • Benjamin Graham, one of the greatest investors of our time, explained this concept in his

  • book THE INTELLIGENT INVESTOR.

  • He said that in the short run, the market is like a voting machine - so it's a popularity

  • contest between the hot firms and the not-so-hot firms, and it's all depending on the opinions of the general public.

  • But in the long run, the market is like a weighing machine - it's very precise - and it assesses the real substance

  • of a company.

  • So if there's just ONE thing you take away from this video, let it be this: What drives

  • stock prices in the long run is a company's actual underlying business performance and

  • not the public's emotional opinions about the company in the short run.

  • For more beginner-friendly info on stock investing, make sure you also check out these 2 videos here.

  • And if you're new to the channel, hit that subscribe button for more awesome videos every week!

  • Always remember to go after your dreams unapologetically, and to live life on your terms - cheers!

What drives the stock market?

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    Amy.Lin 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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