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  • Hi, everyone, it's pull back again.

  • On this is the video for Day three off the 2020 Children Festival, kicking off with 1 30 which is now called the Marsh Novices Chase.

  • It's a Grade one over two and 1/2 miles.

  • Interest in renewal this year, mixture of horses that might be great on older campaigners who everyone's used to starting with the honorable mentions we have obviously start with Melon.

  • Willie Mullins.

  • Patrick Mullins taken the ride obviously loves it here at the festival is wrong.

  • Well, in champion chases on champion hurdles and supreme novices is Chase Form To Great, though, isn't great on being honest.

  • I think he would need.

  • He would need others to falter and for Children to bring about more improvement.

  • I think if he's gonna hit the frame reserve tanks interest in for Colin, says Art and Robbie Power on it based on his rise in star novices, Chase Win the Great To win.

  • Canton, you'd say, is a great chance.

  • What has been turned over twice at odds on since and he's been off since November, so you would have to hope that whatever he's outdoor Molly's off Andi etcetera has really bought about improvements is jump.

  • It hasn't been fantastic.

  • SAMCRO three years ago two years ago, world at his feet locked a world beater.

  • Wanted Cheltenham really well looked immense.

  • Hasn't looked the same horse for me since he fell the race after Children punches town.

  • David Russell takes the ride for Gordon Elliott.

  • As I said, he seems destined for the top about this issue after issue after issue, he's done some good runs, then some bad runs.

  • He fell, etcetera.

  • He's had a wind operations sense bore he would really need.

  • That ought to have made a huge difference with some good horses.

  • Now, for the ones that the frame Mr Fisher is a good horse.

  • Nicky Henderson, Niko de Bougainville to for three over fences, including over course in distance.

  • But if you look at these two wins, the form of beets in good boy Bobby and Al Dancer has been hit quite heavily so well.

  • The holes can only beat what's ahead of him.

  • He hasn't exactly been franked, but this has been his target for a while, and I think he's going to run a really good race.

  • The current favorite is itchy feet for Ali Murphy Gavin she and taken the ride third in the super team novice last year on a really, really good Group one winner on the latest start.

  • Ah, worthy favorite on dhe.

  • Yeah, there's nothing more you can say.

  • But for the win, I'm going for the legend.

  • And it's not just sentimental.

  • I am going for 14 air for Willie Mullins or beaten over fences, including two grade one winds.

  • Even if he makes a mistake, he's got such an engine.

  • He just keeps finding his record, especially in his younger days that Shelton was absolutely brilliant on He is class, and I think he could.

  • He's the type who could get you loose on the lead here.

  • Andi, if he comes back to life going around Shelton, Um, I just think there's still life left in the old boy yet 5 to 1, I think, is a really, really good price.

  • Andi, with someone with absolute stamina guaranteed, I think, if you can, is holding, jumping can hold up.

  • He could have amount it from some way out.

  • So 123 Then for the March novices chase for Hin from Mr Fisher and Itchy feet.

  • Which brings us on to the 2 10 now, which is the perp attempts Final Handicap hurdle.

  • It's a Group three over three mile.

  • Always really, really hard kill Brick and Storm stood out for a while for me, for dessert.

  • And Compton combination obviously won the Albert Bartlett a few years ago has a really, really nice wait here.

  • What he is held by both.

  • Well, saints on scam.

  • DeBerg on back form on I'm not a huge fan of either of Saints or scandal Bone.

  • Well, Saint seemed a bit awkward on I'm not sure the Hill will necessarily sees him, even though we roam quite well here at the start of the year.

  • Scan DeBerg for Murphy, and she and coarse and distance runner on New Year's Day on only wants out the top three.

  • Um, I just think he's done well.

  • I got a nice way, but there's gonna be more classy horses and what he's used to run in here at the storyteller.

  • For Gordon Elliott and David Russell, this seems to be a bit of a plot horse.

  • He's wrong.

  • Well at the festival many times before needed only a top six finish last time to qualify.

  • And he did that under a hands and he'll ride came six being kept fresh for this lovely rate.

  • Very close.

  • The storyteller.

  • I wonder why do you think will make the frame 25 toe warm is royal thief in the Jenkins town Colors.

  • Now relegated is quite fancied.

  • Attempt to one in the market in him very, very closely Tied on fourth relegate came forthe last time with Royal Fief Common fifth.

  • What he's got now a couple of pound pulling the weights.

  • Um, Bull.

  • What gets me is Royal Thief was favorite that day.

  • Got hampered in runnin on, only just finished behind.

  • Relegate now as of pulling the weights.

  • So based on that and I think the hell will seat him as well, I know it'll Suit relegates is a former bomb put champion bump winner, but I think Royal Thief with some bookies pain six or even seven in this is great.

  • Each ray value a 25 to 1, but for the win, I'm going back for last year's winner, Sayer de Berlet.

  • One last year by a neck.

  • What had all sorts of trouble got hampered nearly brought down in Roman got no wrong came stream late on was a lot more value for the neck win.

  • Um, he's wrong twice at the festival, obviously one that time.

  • One.

  • Really?

  • Well, I think in the David Pipe the year before.

  • Andi has followed a very similar, lightly raced roots coming down the field this year, keeping his rate higher because you wanna per time, too, but not staggeringly higher on.

  • I think he's being trained for the day.

  • 123 Done for the per temps final.

  • Cierto Berlet fromthe storyteller on Royal Thief.

  • Moving on now to the 2 50 which is the Ryan er chase.

  • It's grade 12 mile for on this looks like an interest in renewal this year.

  • Honorable mentions last year's when a Frode on did it really well last year, but his lot below well below his best.

  • His two years to 1st 2 starts be walked before winning the silver Nyarko Constable did look in trouble that day as well, and it wasn't a vintage renewal.

  • I think this year is stronger than last year, and for that reason, I think you'll room while what might just be caught out, riders on the storm.

  • The Twist and Davis's Nigel and Sam has improved all ends this year.

  • Fell in the Close Brothers last year.

  • But I got really Bulls Doc before, which is a trait about him.

  • So again are watching the preliminaries is really, really important.

  • My concern is that we had a really, really tough race at Ascot 26 days ago.

  • That's when surname foul.

  • It looked like traffic fluid was actually gonna come and take him.

  • It was bottomless ground and it was a hard race.

  • That's the only thing put me off This one.

  • S O is back again for his fifth.

  • I think it is festival appearance placed in the last two renewals of this race.

  • Kept fresh six times.

  • He's won or been placed at the course, so he clearly likes you.

  • He had been kept fresh, indecent form, huge price.

  • Again like he always is.

  • I think he's a so could really hit the frame.

  • Men, I think has got a big chance.

  • Very, very easy.

  • Winner of the melon chase.

  • It ain't over two and 1/2 miles on Bill.

  • Seem to be better at this trip.

  • Very consistent.

  • But the warrior of God is his wind rates is very, very low.

  • He does not win as often as he showed.

  • And for that reason, if the salt didn't lurk in, I think he could be destined for a place again.

  • And I think something is lurking.

  • And my horses The horse I'd stepped up last year for the novices chase on that is apple ou tard for Henri de Bram head and Rachel Blackmore obviously won the novices race really well last year.

  • Okay, that was on the Old course.

  • This is on the new course.

  • I don't think that will have too much of an impact, to be honest with you.

  • He was second in a great two on his first start this season before beaten, shot.

  • Soon pour ce soir in a Grade one over two miles of Christmas.

  • Now shall soon Ports World got pulled out the champion chase today, but was pretty much outright or joint favorite for that on that race when he was out.

  • Writing drug favorite looks stronger than even next race.

  • Waas and I think this trip is more to is like him.

  • So I fully expect absolute hard to answer last year's win 123 them for the Rhino Chase, aptly titled Men on a So which moves us onto the feature of Day three, which is the fourth race, the 3 30 which is the Stairs Hurdle Group one over three miles.

  • And to be honest, how can this not all be about Paisley Park?

  • Tremble of Alan.

  • Aidan Coleman won the race last year, is basically on beating for two years.

  • Racked up seven wins since that time.

  • Including this race and six.

  • Or the graded race is only the start of that sequence when you want a class to handicap with his own non graded when beaten.

  • Everything that re opposes already pretty much this year.

  • Impossible to oppose him.

  • Somerville boy could fill second like he did on Trials Day to the favorites.

  • Jonathan Burke, taking the ride run much, much better that day, but ultimately was just outstayed on.

  • It's hard to not make a case for the same toe happen.

  • Emma Tom got his career back on track in the rental shop, took it really well last time, but was poor all his only room the time before there on New Year's Day.

  • On that would be a concern because you can run bad first time out.

  • But that was horrendous and literally a matter of a month later.

  • Iran Amazing suggests to me, maybe the cause isn't fully too is like him, and that will be a concern, a relatively short price.

  • I like Penn Hill.

  • You know what you want?

  • The Ballymore in 17.

  • You won this in 2018 had a year and 1/2 off then, and he's been slowly coming back to form, which the concern of God is.

  • He won those last two pretty much fresh, warm it Shelton the Valley more and then came back a year later on one first time out stays.

  • So the fact he's taken some runs to get used to it is slight concern, but maybe they're just training him different.

  • Now he's getting older, but either way, Pan Hill should definitely be running his race, given his Children record on the only or the one who is definitely worth an honorable mention is City Island for Martin Brussel and Mark Walsh.

  • One.

  • The Ballymore last year.

  • But my biggest issue I've got is there.

  • He didn't back it up.

  • You looked to be women.

  • Allerton There he did not back it up.

  • A tall a punches town sent chasing didn't take to chasten had a wind up on back Heard land.

  • So there's a mixture of suspect form and didn't take to chasten, so that would temper my enthusiasm.

  • But if the wind ups work big opportunity.

  • But for the 123 I'm happy to stick with Paisley Park from Somerville Boy and Pan Help.

  • Fifth race on Day three is the 4 10 which is the brown plate, and I'm calling it Brown and Steal Handicap Chase.

  • It's a Grade three over two mile four on There's a standout horse here based on former day one on.

  • That is simply the bets for Harry written Turn on Dhe Gavin, she and one over course and distance really well on trials.

  • They traveled.

  • Amazing, jumped well on ultimately want easy by a length and 1/2.

  • But the reason this one stands out is he comfortably beat Imperial aura on Imperial.

  • Laura went to the Novices Chase yesterday on absolutely hosed up in it on.

  • For that reason, it's the best frank form that's out there.

  • Um, sorry.

  • My cameras just gone nuts.

  • But there we go.

  • We're back.

  • Ben Dundee is interesting for Gordon Elliott, potentially well in, but my problem is in two starts on his heart, dear, he's been beaten something like 17 and 22 lengths, which suggested May.

  • Okay, this might be easier.

  • May not like the call said this.

  • Big risks attached.

  • Mr Whitaker.

  • Angela Baka wa have gone well round here before on a classy horses were all massively, both of them massively below form this season.

  • Same toe.

  • Last year's winner, Syria Dalek for Nick Williams and Lizzy Kelley only had one run since last year.

  • Pulled up in that which will be a concern.

  • Hasn't been seen since £9 higher.

  • Big concerns attached.

  • I like the two scout runners old Grange would for Dan and Harry.

  • The defeats this year off Kalashnikov reads well, and then his course and distance.

  • Third reads well in a Grade three reads very well.

  • In fact, same level.

  • Is this a career best will be needed off his mark.

  • But for that reason, though, he does really well.

  • I think a big Ronnie's on the cards at double figure Price.

  • I actually sat slightly prefer what seems to be the second string on jockey bookings, which is spirit of the games.

  • Where for Dan Skeleton on bridge, Andrew's taking the ride finished fifth or finished in the 1st 5 out of six races in set.

  • Or what is it?

  • Finished five in sex out of his seven races of in six of his races, he's finished in the 1st 5 only wants not including common third and mess.

  • Last year, he was second in two course and distance Grade three's in his last two starts and is actually £3 better off now, Sir.

  • Bear in mind, this is a great three that will put him banger and again.

  • Double figure price is really good, but for the wedding, sticking with simply the bats purely based on, he's got the course and distance form.

  • He's got the more frank form on, I think even at 4 to 1, I don't think that's gonna last.

  • 123 Then for the Brown played before 10.

  • Simply the bats from spirit of the Games on old Grange would, which moves us on now to the 4 50 which is the dawn wrong novices hurdle.

  • Amazingly, the short price favorite last year for this was Appleton's, finished massively down the field on Gwen and hosed up in The Champion Hurdle yesterday.

  • So you never know.

  • There could be something special in here this year.

  • There's nothing standard now.

  • Every year there's always been a Mullins horse like a Llerena or something.

  • Something stands out, but not this year.

  • The favor is Manila melody for Henry to Bram Head and Rachel Blackmore, which is totally understandable.

  • Three for three over, Hurdles on easily beat the re opposing Mullins murder Cole Revie on his latest start.

  • Now Cole Revie.

  • It was a good wrong, but held behind the favorite last time on Dhe.

  • To be honest, back form on that isn't much, so I definitely think.

  • Manal a melon upriver, Manal.

  • A melody over call.

  • Revie Mullins is mob handed in this, which makes it really, really tricky.

  • But looking at concert Easter for Willie Mullins, with Darryl Jacob taken the ride, this one was beaten on the line in this race last year on his hurdles debut.

  • Now that is pretty staggering sense.

  • My one worry of God is since that run on.

  • Sometimes these French hoses fly on the first time over hurdles in England.

  • Since then, this horse has done nothing, so that would be a concern.

  • Could all be about today.

  • But the fact is done.

  • Nothing is a huge concern for a place.

  • I also fancy another Mullins seemingly second string doll seater with Robbie Power taking the ride.

  • This one was really, really close.

  • Third only beaten two lengths by Manal A Melody and Cole Review on the latest.

  • But if you look at the form looking on the racing post, the 1st 2nd 4th and fifth home were all in the front wave.

  • This one was held up in last and it was the only one to do anything from offer paints on off the pace in a slowly run race.

  • This will be run a lot quicker.

  • I think the hill will be more to visit Herr Advantage on.

  • I think this one has got a great price and I think it's overpriced in around 10 to 1.

  • But despite all of these Irish challenges for the winner, I am going for a British mare on my horses floor ESA for Niko de Bougainville, Nicky Henderson, only two from four over hurdles on the winds.

  • The defeats of Jeremy's Flame reads really, really well on.

  • Then The placed efforts at Doncaster behind Lady Buttons reads really well.

  • Lady Buttons is clearly better on a flat track.

  • Forget the wrong yesterday on flat track.

  • She hardly gets beat that there in the winter months ever.

  • So I think that's a really, really solid effort Running on at the end.

  • Suggested Needed more of a stamina test.

  • Also had a second behind Silver Forever.

  • Who's out of novices now?

  • So that is actually a really, really good Ron.

  • Paul Nichols really likes that horse on Silver Forever is very, very tough, and that was an early on run against that one.

  • So that was a really good performance.

  • I think the horse would have come on for this on and around 8 to 1.

  • I think that's the value here.

  • Rather than playing the short price around the likes of Manila melody or coal Revie 123 then in the daughter on the 4 50 fluorescent from Manila Malady and Dolce Vita.

  • Which brings us on to the last race off Day three, which is the 5 30 which is the Kim your amateur riders Handicap chase.

  • It's a class to over three mile, two.

  • Very, very tricky renewal.

  • What?

  • I have quite a strong fancy to this, and we'll get a lot of the end.

  • Keep the suspense building at the favorite is lab Royal for Ben.

  • Ben pulled in.

  • Jamie Con taken the ride one before Milo last year and obviously needs extreme trips.

  • Disco.

  • Rama came out that former last year and run really, really well in the three mile handed, the ultimate I think it was yesterday.

  • So the form of that is reading pretty good.

  • The biggest problem I've got is this horse hasn't looked the same since, with the big trade being travel in staying on and then we can in very, very quickly.

  • So that will be a very concerned about a short price on this diese abba or days a arbor.

  • Philip Hobbs will be taking the ride.

  • This could be the improver, but I want to see the improvement before tackling erases.

  • Competitive is the Kim You're this one has won his last two, and it's slowly been getting the hang of things over fences.

  • If he keeps our upward curve, come in He has got a very, very big chance.

  • But really, this is a much more stronger test on day.

  • He that freeze, and he's only just out of my top three.

  • Same with Bob Mile of Bob Marley on the Borders National over former one latest So clearly loves a stain test, Anna's Warner Course in distance race last year.

  • The key to this will know is that he must have good ground now.

  • At the moment, I think it's gonna be soft, probably all over tomorrow on kicking up.

  • Maybe on the new course might be a bit better because they haven't used the ground.

  • But there is rain forecast.

  • He's never done anything, really on soft ground.

  • But Bob Marler would put in if it was God, Grandpa At the moment, it's not so.

  • I'm not putting him in.

  • But that's the watching brief, honorable mention, and this one, who prefer was given four will be in it.

  • At a huge price is Flying Angel for Nigel Twist and Davis, with Zack Baker taken.

  • The ride came fifth in the ultimate last year, absolutely flying home at the end.

  • The problem is in this form he's in and out of formal season bought.

  • He's gone well at the course before, and he is more than up to win in a class to handicap.

  • If he was on fire on that around 25 33 to 1 in places, the risk is if he's on a going day.

  • So it's a complete stab in the dark.

  • But if he's on a going day, he is more than capable of their eggs like this now to the ones important in the top three, starting with the one important in there at a huge, huge price.

  • On that is a horse called one style for Venetia Williams, with Lucy Turner taking the ride.

  • This horse has won a lot lower level, the last five on the bounce jump in from the front, amazing and stay in on all the way.

  • The land, sometimes of what's interviews look like or the replace look like you getting court and just keeps finding more a big stair.

  • Who jobs?

  • He was informed.

  • I think that could be a lot more improvement.

  • To come out of this on it likely odds a fit around 33 toward 40 to 1 with coral.

  • I think this one could end up running well for a long, long way.

  • So we'll have to wait and see him happy to put it in the frame.

  • The big two off God are very, very closely matched on for the one who important in second is plan of attack.

  • The Henri de Bram head on.

  • Dhe O'Neill taking the ride well, Brendan O'Neill taking the road, this one finished just behind the selection of the most revered.

  • Now it's Fitz Henry finished just behind that one.

  • Last time on the weights are pretty much the same.

  • Well, last time out, Fitz Henry was hampered, all but brought down at the last and ran on where Plan of Attack was up there on just getting there.

  • Fitz Henry was showing a bit more at the end, making me think the hell might suit it more.

  • Fitz Henry is obviously Paul Nolan trained Patrick Mullins taking the ride, which says a lot.

  • Actually, it might run in a massive feel handicapped leopard.

  • Santa Christmas.

  • So again, Big Field won't do it on.

  • Got chin literally on the line by roaring ball.

  • Hit the front possibly too soon.

  • What was staying on staying on in, Just got Chin.

  • Then when the next time out and as I said was all but brought down if you ask me.

  • It was all but brought down on, then was eased off a.

  • The end wasn't even so beaten up for earlier in the season as well.

  • Look back came second.

  • Okay, beaten my legs by Chris's dream.

  • Now that's a potential Gold Corp force.

  • This is nothing like a Gold Cup.

  • So Fitz Henry had an excuse for one, was on lucky in a handicap in another and has had good form behind the Gold Cup contender and over 9 to 1 that won't last.

  • That will come hammer in, and I'm pretty sure of that because it's J P malas colors on dhe.

  • I think people will spot it and Patrick Mullins is riding, but I am very, very strong.

  • Fancy on Fitz Henry for this 123 them for the finale, the 5 30 Fitzhenry from plan of Attack on one style.

Hi, everyone, it's pull back again.

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CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2020 - PREVIEW + TIPS - DAY 3 (CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2020 - PREVIEW + TIPS - DAY 3)

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    林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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