I don't wanttosaywhatday, butiftheCoronavirusspreadintheUnitedStateshappenstobeverifiedandwhatwefoundyesterdayinCalifornia, whichisunrelatedtoanytravelrelatedperson.
Andifthat's so, itspreads, andthatmeansthatismoreinthesocietycurrentlyexisting.
Noneofthatisdiscountedinthe S and P 500 prices, whichiswhymyexpectationisthatyougobelow 3000 on.
Itishardtosaywhatwhereitdrops, but 3000.
It's aneasynumberforme, guy.
Well, sothisisthe 34thsettleformorethan 6% since 1953 andobviouslynotall, notevenverymanyofthoseresultedin a stockmarketthatwaslower a yearlater.
IfthereisindeedanoutbreakintheUnitedStates, iseverythingpricedinatthispoint, ordoweget a furthersetoff?
Yeah, I thinkyougetthefurtherselloffwhenyoufindoutthattheCoronavirushasspread, butthatisgoingtobe a bottom.
Equitiesaregoingtobe a buyonbornsatsomepoint, wouldbecome a cell, butthatisnotyet.
Wherewouldthatcome?
I wouldexpectone.
It'llbe 6 to 9 monthsfromnow.
I sticktotheforecast I madeonyourprogramthatthe U.
S.
Recessionwillbegininmid 2020.
Sothat's nottoofaraway.
Andoncethathappensandweareabout 6 to 8 monthsintothatrecessionof 20 22,022 2021 thatiswhenthebottomwouldbereachedontheequitymarket, itwouldbe a tremendousbyafterthat.