字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 TWO DEAL AT SOME POINT DOWN THE ROAD. >> THANK YOU, GARRETT. IT'S BEEN A GREAT YEAR FOR THE U.S. ECONOMY AND THE STOCK MARKET. SO WHAT'S IN STORE FOR 2020? MY NEXT GUEST IS PRETTY OPTIMISTIC AND HIS TRACK RECORD IS PRETTY GOOD. WHITE HOUSE TRADE ADVISOR PETER NAVARRO JOINING ME FROM THE WHITE HOUSE. GOOD TO SEE YOU, HAPPY NEW YEAR, MY FRIEND. >> WHAT A GREAT DAY IN THE SWAMP, IT FEELS LIKE SPRING, A GREAT YEAR AHEAD. DAVID: FEELS GREAT IN NEW YORK AS WELL. JUST LAST AUGUST, AS GREAT AS THINGS APPEAR IN THE ECONOMY, WITH THE STOCK MARKET, ET CETERA, I SAW AN INTERVIEW THAT YOU DID WITH ABC AND YOU HAD TO TALK MARTHA RADITZ OFF A CLIFF AND IT WAS LOOMING AND TURNS OUT YOU WERE RIGHT. WHAT ARE YOUR PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT YEAR? >> THE FAKE NEWS AND THE LEFT WING COULDN'T WAIT FOR THAT RECESSION. DAVID: NEVER HAPPENED. >> FOR A GREAT ECONOMY. WHAT I'VE GOT FOR YOU, DAVID, PRETTY CLEAR. WE'RE GOING TO GET REALLY GDP GROWTH, ROBUST. WE'RE GOING TO SEE DOW 32,000 BY THE END OF THE YEAR AND WE'RE GOING TO BREAK 30,000 FAIRLY SOON. I PREDICTED THAT SOME MONTHS AGO. IF, IF WE GOT PASSAGE OF USMCA AND WE GOT THE FED TO LOWER THEIR INTEREST RATES, BOTH OF THOSE THINGS ARE IN PLACE. BUT THE BIGGER FORECAST HERE, DAVID, I'M BASING THAT-- I THINK YOU REMEMBER, I USED TO DO THIS IN MY OTHER LIFE AS A MACRO FORECASTER. YOU'VE GOT TO LOOK AT THE FOUR DRIVERS OF THE ECONOMY AND THE GDP ENGINE AND RIGHT NOW THEY'RE HITTING ON ALL CYLINDERS. YOU START WITH THE CONSUMER. THE CONSUMER, BECAUSE UNEMPLOYMENT IS SO LOW, WAGES ARE RISING, OPTIMISM IS HIGH. AND THIS CONSUMER IS GOING TO BE THE ANCHOR OF THE ECONOMY IN 2020, SO THAT'S NUMBER ONE. NUMBER TWO, ON THE TRADE FRONT, WE'VE GOT FIVE TRADE DEALS NOW IN PLACE. FIVE TRADE DEALS COVERING TRADE, WELL MORE THAN HALF OF WHAT WE TRADE IN THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA. JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA, CHINA, CANADA AND MEXICO, SO THAT'S GOING TO BE A BOON FOR OUR EXPORTS AND THEN THE SNEAKY LITTLE THING, I'M TELLING YOU, DAVID, THIS IS LIKE -- THIS SEALED THE DEAL FOR A GREAT 2020, WHEN CONGRESS PASSED THE NDAA, THE NATIONAL DEFENSE AUTHORIZATION ACT COUPLED WITH THE APPROPRIATIONS BILL AND BASICALLY GOT GOVERNMENT IS GOING TO BE ONE OF THE ENGINES AND DRIVERS OF GROWTH, PARTICULARLY IN SOMETHING THAT I WORK ON A LOT, THE DEFENSE INDUSTRIAL BASE, AND THEN INVESTMENT, WHICH IS THE FORTH PART OF THE PUZZLE HERE, NOW THAT WE HAVE ALL OF THESE TRADE DEALS IN PLACE AND THIS ECONOMY IS BOOMING, NOW THAT THE AMERICAN ECONOMY IS BY FAR THE BEST PLACE TO BE, INVESTMENT IS GOING TO BOOM. DAVID: TALK SPECIFICALLY. >> I'M LOOKING AT A GREAT YEAR? TALK SPECIFICALLY ABOUT THE MEXICAN CANADA TRADE DEAL, USMCA AND HOW IMPORTANT IT IS. NOT EVERYBODY IS DOING GREAT IN THIS ECONOMY. THERE ARE SOME FARMERS, SOME MANUFACTURERS, WHO ARE HAVING TROUBLE BECAUSE OF THE TARIFFS AND THEY WERE -- THEY NOW ARE LOOKING TO THE MEXICAN-CANADA TRADE DEAL AS HELPING THEM INCREASE THEIR PURCHASES, RIGHT, AND THEIR SALES? >> WELL, IT'S ALL OF THE TRADE DEALS PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS NEGOTIATED FOR AND THE FARMERS ARE GOING TO LOVE EVERY ONE OF THEM. YOU'VE GOT THE JAPAN DEAL, DON'T FORGET ABOUT THAT ONE, THAT $7 BILLION IN NEW TRADE IN AGRICULTURAL GOODS. YOU'VE GOT THE SOUTH KOREAN DEAL. CANADA AND MEXICO ARE REALLY IMPORTANT, BOTH FARMERS AND OUR AUTO INDUSTRY THAT ARE GOING TO BENEFIT. THE CHINA DEAL, WE'RE GOING TO HAVE-- CHINA'S PLEDGED TO BUY 200 BILLION DOLLARS MORE ABOVE THE 2017 BASELINE OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS AND ABOUT A FOURTH OF THAT IS AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS SO YOU'RE LOOKING AT ROUGHLY THE DOUBLE AMOUNT OF PURCHASES OF 2017. DAVID: LET ME ASK YOU ABOUT THE CHINA TRADE DEAL. BACK IN MAY WE THOUGHT WE HAD A DEAL WITH THE CHINESE. THEY BROUGHT IT BACK TO BEIJING AND THE FOLKS, THE POLLIT BUREAU RIPPED IT UP, SAID NO GOOD. >> NO, WE'RE ON TRACK. THE ONLY THING HOLDING THINGS UP IS BASICALLY THE CHINESE TRANSLATION OF THE 86-PAGE ENGLISH VERSION OF THE DEAL. AS SOON AS THAT'S DONE, IT WILL BE RELEASED AND THERE WILL BE A SIGNING, BUT LET ME SAY THIS GENTLY BECAUSE I DON'T WANT TO BE CRITICAL, BUT THE REPORTING JUST BEFORE I GOT ON, I WAS LISTENING, WAS WRONG BECAUSE IT SAID THAT THIS PHASE ONE DEAL DIDN'T COVER TOUGH ISSUES LIKE INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY THEFT AND CURRENCY. IN FACT, LET ME JUST WALK YOU THROUGH WHAT-- >> WE ONLY HAVE BEEN 30 SECONDS. I JUST WANT TO ASK ONE QUESTION THOUGH. >> SURE. DAVID: YOU WROTE A BOOK ONES "DEATH BY CHINA". >> A MOVIE, TOO. DAVID: IN LIGHT OF YOUR VIEWS AND THE PRESIDENT'S VIEWS, DO YOU THINK THAT CHINA IS A BIGGER THREAT THAN IT IS A HOPE OR A PLUS FOR U.S. INTERESTS? >> I THINK WHAT PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS DONE TO HIS ENORMOUS CREDIT OVER THE LAST THREE YEARS IS CHANGED THE WAY AMERICANS LOOK AT CHINA AND THAT'S TO THE GOOD. I THINK WE'RE MUCH MORE WARY ABOUT CHINA, BOTH ON CAPITOL HILL AND ACROSS THE HEARTLAND. HE'S CHANGED, THEY SAY THE NARRATIVE ON THIS AND THAT'S GOING TO MAKE US STRONGER. WHAT HE'S DOING IS PROVIDING TOUGHNESS AND THAT'S GOOD FOR THE AMERICAN PEOPLE AND GOOD FOR THE HEARTLAND. DAVID: BY THE WAY, YOU HAVE A PIECE IN FOXNEWS.COM RIGHT NOW THAT WE SHOULD ALERT OUR VIEWERS TO ABOUT DRONES AND HOW A LOT OF THESE DRONES HAVE PARTS FROM CHINA THAT COULD BE A SECURITY PROBLEM FOR US, RIGHT? QUICKLY. >> YEAH, QUICKLY, THE DRONES THEMSELVES, THE PROBLEM WITH A LOT OF THE CHINESE PRODUCTS THEY SELL HERE IS ALL OF YOUR INFORMATION GOES DIRECTLY BACK TO SERVERS IN CHINA. WHAT COULD GO WRONG THERE? I'LL LET YOU GO ABOUT THAT, BUT LET'S HAVE A POSITIVE 2020. DAVID: YES, INDEED. >> A BOOM YEAR FOR THE TRUMP ECONOMY, HIGH WAGES, LOW UNEMPLOYMENT, HAPPY NEW YEAR.
B1 中級 彼得-納瓦羅談對2020年美國經濟的預測。 (Peter Navarro on predictions for the U.S. economy in 2020) 15 0 林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字