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>> FINGERS CROSSED. >> YOU TOO.
>> YOU TOO. >> THE ECONOMY ENDING THE YEAR
>> THE ECONOMY ENDING THE YEAR ON A STRONG NOTE.
ON A STRONG NOTE. STOCKS NEAR RECORD HIGHS.
STOCKS NEAR RECORD HIGHS. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SLASHED
THE FEDERAL RESERVE SLASHED RATES DURING THE YEAR TO SAVE ON
RATES DURING THE YEAR TO SAVE ON THE CHINA TRADE DEAL READY TO BE
THE CHINA TRADE DEAL READY TO BE SIGNED.
SIGNED. WE HAVE NAFTA 2.0.
WE HAVE NAFTA 2.0. THESE ARE PRETTY BIG
THESE ARE PRETTY BIG ACCOMPLISHMENTS FROM PRESIDENT
ACCOMPLISHMENTS FROM PRESIDENT TRUMP.
TRUMP. WHAT DOES THAT MEAN GOING INTO
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN GOING INTO 2020?
2020? MY FRIEND TO TALK ALL THINGS
MY FRIEND TO TALK ALL THINGS ECONOMY.
ECONOMY. ALI, IF WE TAKE A LOOK AT IT,
ALI, IF WE TAKE A LOOK AT IT, LOOK, THE ECONOMY IS PRETTY
LOOK, THE ECONOMY IS PRETTY GOOD, RIGHT?
GOOD, RIGHT? GDP AROUND 2%.
GDP AROUND 2%. UNEMPLOYMENT AROUND 4%.
UNEMPLOYMENT AROUND 4%. >> YEAH.
>> YEAH. 3.5% UNEMPLOYMENT.
3.5% UNEMPLOYMENT. >> IT LOOKS PRETTY GOOD.
>> IT LOOKS PRETTY GOOD. >> YOU AND I WERE TALKING ABOUT
>> YOU AND I WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS EARLIER ON MSNBC AND
THIS EARLIER ON MSNBC AND SOMEBODY TWEETED US AND SAID 93%
SOMEBODY TWEETED US AND SAID 93% OF AMERICANS DON'T LOOK AT THE
OF AMERICANS DON'T LOOK AT THE STOCK MARKET AND SAY WOW LOOK AT
STOCK MARKET AND SAY WOW LOOK AT MY PORTFOLIO.
MY PORTFOLIO. >> IT'S LIKE A VOICE.
>> IT'S LIKE A VOICE. >> 40 SOME ODD PERCENT OF
>> 40 SOME ODD PERCENT OF AMERICANS OWN STOCKS AND THE
AMERICANS OWN STOCKS AND THE STOCK MARKET IS UP 28% YEAR TO
STOCK MARKET IS UP 28% YEAR TO DATE, RIGHT?
DATE, RIGHT? IT'S A VERY, VERY BIG GAIN.
IT'S A VERY, VERY BIG GAIN. SO ACTUALLY ABOUT HALF OF -- IF
SO ACTUALLY ABOUT HALF OF -- IF YOUR MONEY IS IN THE STOCK
YOUR MONEY IS IN THE STOCK MARKET AND IN SOMETHING THAT
MARKET AND IN SOMETHING THAT LOOKS LIKE THE S&P 500 YOU DID
LOOKS LIKE THE S&P 500 YOU DID ACTUALLY DO VERY WELL ON THE
ACTUALLY DO VERY WELL ON THE STOCK MARKET.
STOCK MARKET. HERE'S THE REST OF IT.
HERE'S THE REST OF IT. 3.5% UNMOMENT SHOULD MEAN THAT
3.5% UNMOMENT SHOULD MEAN THAT EVERYBODY CAN GO TO THEIR BOSS
EVERYBODY CAN GO TO THEIR BOSS AND ASK FOR A RAISE BECAUSE
AND ASK FOR A RAISE BECAUSE THEY'RE SHORT OF WORKERS.
THEY'RE SHORT OF WORKERS. THAT DIDN'T MATERIALIZE ACROSS
THAT DIDN'T MATERIALIZE ACROSS THE BOARD.
THE BOARD. 2% GDP GROWTH IS ABSTRACT TO
2% GDP GROWTH IS ABSTRACT TO PEOPLE.
PEOPLE. THEY DIDN'T KNOW WHAT THAT
THEY DIDN'T KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS.
MEANS. SO THE STOCK MARKET AND WAGES
SO THE STOCK MARKET AND WAGES ARE THE VALUE OF YOUR HOUSE.
ARE THE VALUE OF YOUR HOUSE. THOSE ARE THE ONLY PLACES WHERE
THOSE ARE THE ONLY PLACES WHERE IT MATERIALIZES AND YOU HAVE A
IT MATERIALIZES AND YOU HAVE A HOUSE IF YOU HAVE MONEY.
HOUSE IF YOU HAVE MONEY. IF YOU ARE A HIGHER EARNING WAGE
IF YOU ARE A HIGHER EARNING WAGE EARNER YOU HAVE DONE WELL IN THE
EARNER YOU HAVE DONE WELL IN THE LAST TWO YEARS.
LAST TWO YEARS. WHERE WE'RE STUCK IS IN THAT
WHERE WE'RE STUCK IS IN THAT MIDDLE CLASS TO LOWER.
MIDDLE CLASS TO LOWER. THERE'S STILL PEOPLE IN THIS
THERE'S STILL PEOPLE IN THIS COUNTRY EARNING $7.25 AN HOUR
COUNTRY EARNING $7.25 AN HOUR AND THERE'S STILL PEOPLE
AND THERE'S STILL PEOPLE HOMELESS AND STILL PEOPLE FOOD
HOMELESS AND STILL PEOPLE FOOD INSECURE SO THERE'S SOMETHING
INSECURE SO THERE'S SOMETHING WEIRD ABOUT IT.
WEIRD ABOUT IT. IF YOU WERE LOOKING AT ALL THE
IF YOU WERE LOOKING AT ALL THE ECONOMIC NUMBERS YOU'D SAY IT'S
ECONOMIC NUMBERS YOU'D SAY IT'S GREAT.
GREAT. >> THINGS ARE GOOD, RIGHT?
>> THINGS ARE GOOD, RIGHT? >> JUST NOT PROPERLY DISTRIBUTED
>> JUST NOT PROPERLY DISTRIBUTED DISTRIBUTED.
DISTRIBUTED. >> COULD WE SEE HIM SAYING THE
>> COULD WE SEE HIM SAYING THE ECONOMY IS GREAT, THE ECONOMY IS
ECONOMY IS GREAT, THE ECONOMY IS GREAT.
GREAT. THE DEMOCRATS WILL SAY WAIT A
THE DEMOCRATS WILL SAY WAIT A SECOND.
SECOND. >> IT'S GOING TO BE THE SAME
>> IT'S GOING TO BE THE SAME PROBLEM THAT BARRACK OBAMA
PROBLEM THAT BARRACK OBAMA FACED.
FACED. IT'S GOING TO BE THE SAME
IT'S GOING TO BE THE SAME PROBLEM THAT THE DEMOCRATIC
PROBLEM THAT THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FACED EXCEPT THEY'RE
CANDIDATES FACED EXCEPT THEY'RE TALKING ABOUT UNIVERSAL HEALTH
TALKING ABOUT UNIVERSAL HEALTH CARE AND HIGHER MINIMUM WAGE.
CARE AND HIGHER MINIMUM WAGE. DONALD TRUMP WENT TO OHIO AND
DONALD TRUMP WENT TO OHIO AND SAID DON'T SELL YOUR HOMES.
SAID DON'T SELL YOUR HOMES. WELL EVERYBODY THAT DIDN'T SELL
WELL EVERYBODY THAT DIDN'T SELL THEIR HOMES PROBABLY HAS A HOME
THEIR HOMES PROBABLY HAS A HOME WORTH LESS NOW.
WORTH LESS NOW. COAL MINING JOBS DIDN'T COME
COAL MINING JOBS DIDN'T COME BACK.
BACK. SO THE CHALLENGE IS GOING TO BE
SO THE CHALLENGE IS GOING TO BE FOR THOSE PEOPLE, TENS OF
FOR THOSE PEOPLE, TENS OF MILLIONS OF PEOPLE LOOKING AT
MILLIONS OF PEOPLE LOOKING AT THE REMARKABLE STOCK MARKET.
THE REMARKABLE STOCK MARKET. WE HAVE TWO NEW RECORDS ON
WE HAVE TWO NEW RECORDS ON TODAY.
TODAY. BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING WE HAVE A
BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING WE HAVE A RECORD BREAKING STOCK MARKET.
RECORD BREAKING STOCK MARKET. THEY'RE LOOKING AT GDP GROWTH
THEY'RE LOOKING AT GDP GROWTH AND LOW UNEMPLOYMENT AND SAYING
AND LOW UNEMPLOYMENT AND SAYING WHAT HAPPENED TO ME?
WHAT HAPPENED TO ME? I'VE BEEN TEN YEARS INTO AN
I'VE BEEN TEN YEARS INTO AN ECONOMIC EXPANSION.
ECONOMIC EXPANSION. WE HAD THAT FOR TEN YEARS.
WE HAD THAT FOR TEN YEARS. >> LET'S TALK ABOUT THAT.
>> LET'S TALK ABOUT THAT. YOU AND I ALSO TALKED ABOUT
YOU AND I ALSO TALKED ABOUT THIS.
THIS. I LOOKED AT YOU AND I SAID WE
I LOOKED AT YOU AND I SAID WE KNOW THAT THE NEXT YEAR IS 2020
KNOW THAT THE NEXT YEAR IS 2020 BUT SOMETHING IN MY BRAIN WAS
BUT SOMETHING IN MY BRAIN WAS LIKE WOW, A WHOLE DECADE IS
LIKE WOW, A WHOLE DECADE IS COMING TO AN END AND A WHOLE
COMING TO AN END AND A WHOLE DECADE WITHOUT A RECESSION.
DECADE WITHOUT A RECESSION. >> CORRECT.
>> CORRECT. >> THAT'S GREAT BUT THEN PEOPLE
>> THAT'S GREAT BUT THEN PEOPLE STARTED TO THINK WELL WHAT DOES
STARTED TO THINK WELL WHAT DOES THAT MEAN.
THAT MEAN. >> I WOULD HAVE TO SAY THIS.
>> I WOULD HAVE TO SAY THIS. I THINK ONE ALWAYS COMES.
I THINK ONE ALWAYS COMES. >> THEY DON'T ALL HAVE TO BE
>> THEY DON'T ALL HAVE TO BE LIKE THE LAST ONE.
LIKE THE LAST ONE. LOTS OF THINGS COMPLICATED IT
LOTS OF THINGS COMPLICATED IT AND MAYBE THEY DO A JUNGLE
AND MAYBE THEY DO A JUNGLE VARIETY RECESSION.
VARIETY RECESSION. WE DON'T HAVE TO DO THAT.
WE DON'T HAVE TO DO THAT. BUT ONE OF THE THINGS THAT
BUT ONE OF THE THINGS THAT HAPPENED IS CENTRAL BANKS THAT
HAPPENED IS CENTRAL BANKS THAT LASTED WELL LAST TIME AROUND
LASTED WELL LAST TIME AROUND THEY CAN LOWER RATES AND
THEY CAN LOWER RATES AND STIMULATE THE ECONOMY BUT THE
STIMULATE THE ECONOMY BUT THE PROBLEM IS THAT TRUMP HAS BEEN
PROBLEM IS THAT TRUMP HAS BEEN PUTTING THEM ON IT ALL YEAR AND
PUTTING THEM ON IT ALL YEAR AND THEY HAVE BEEN DOING THAT.
THEY HAVE BEEN DOING THAT. IT HASN'T HURT THE ECONOMY.
IT HASN'T HURT THE ECONOMY. IT PROBABLY HELPED THE ECONOMY
IT PROBABLY HELPED THE ECONOMY BUT THAT'S THE FUEL IN THE TANK
BUT THAT'S THE FUEL IN THE TANK FOR CENTRAL BANKS.
FOR CENTRAL BANKS. >> CORRECT.
>> CORRECT. AND IF YOU HAVE NO FUEL IN YOUR
AND IF YOU HAVE NO FUEL IN YOUR TANK WHEN A RECESSION COMES
TANK WHEN A RECESSION COMES THAT'S SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT
THAT'S SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT OVER THE COURSE OF THE YEAR.
OVER THE COURSE OF THE YEAR. >> WE'RE WAITING TO SEE IF THEY
>> WE'RE WAITING TO SEE IF THEY SIGN THAT IN JANUARY.
SIGN THAT IN JANUARY. NOW WE HAVE PHASE ONEISH WITH
NOW WE HAVE PHASE ONEISH WITH CHINA SO IT'S PROBABLY NOT GOING
CHINA SO IT'S PROBABLY NOT GOING TO GET WORSE BUT FOR PEOPLE
TO GET WORSE BUT FOR PEOPLE LOOKING AT OUR TRADE ISSUES WITH
LOOKING AT OUR TRADE ISSUES WITH CHINA, WE HAVEN'T IMPROVED ON
CHINA, WE HAVEN'T IMPROVED ON ANYTHING.
ANYTHING. WE ARE JUST NOT IN THE WAR SO IT
WE ARE JUST NOT IN THE WAR SO IT MAKES PEOPLE FEEL BETTER AND I
MAKES PEOPLE FEEL BETTER AND I THIS I THAT THE PRESIDENT AND
THIS I THAT THE PRESIDENT AND THEY'LL SAY WE LIKE IT BETTER
THEY'LL SAY WE LIKE IT BETTER WHEN WE'RE NOT IN A TRADE WAR.
WHEN WE'RE NOT IN A TRADE WAR. >> I HATE TO BE THE PERSON THAT
>> I HATE TO BE THE PERSON THAT SAYS ARE THEY A PROBLEM.
SAYS ARE THEY A PROBLEM. BUT IF WE HAVE GOTTEN IT OUT OF
BUT IF WE HAVE GOTTEN IT OUT OF THE WAY.
THE WAY. IF WE HAVE GOTTEN THE NAFTA
IF WE HAVE GOTTEN THE NAFTA PROBLEM OUT OF THE WAY.
PROBLEM OUT OF THE WAY. IF WE HAVE PEOPLE THAT LIKE TO
IF WE HAVE PEOPLE THAT LIKE TO SEE THAT LAST YEAR, DOES THAT
SEE THAT LAST YEAR, DOES THAT MEAN AS WE HEAD INTO 2020 WE
MEAN AS WE HEAD INTO 2020 WE DON'T HAVE THESE EVENTS OR THESE
DON'T HAVE THESE EVENTS OR THESE THINGS TO LOOK FORWARD TO THAT
THINGS TO LOOK FORWARD TO THAT MIGHT GIVE THE ECONOMY A BOOST?
MIGHT GIVE THE ECONOMY A BOOST? >> I HAVE NEVER IN 25 YEAR
>> I HAVE NEVER IN 25 YEAR CAREER BEING ABLE TO ADEQUATELY
CAREER BEING ABLE TO ADEQUATELY PREDICT WHAT THE NEXT BAD THING
PREDICT WHAT THE NEXT BAD THING IS GOING TO HAPPEN ECONOMICALLY
IS GOING TO HAPPEN ECONOMICALLY SOMETIMES.
SOMETIMES. >> SOMETIMES IT'S EVENT DRIVEN
>> SOMETIMES IT'S EVENT DRIVEN AND SOMETIMES IT'S JUST THE
AND SOMETIMES IT'S JUST THE CYCLE AND WE HAVE NOT FIGURED
CYCLE AND WE HAVE NOT FIGURED OUT -- THE SMARTEST ECONOMIC
OUT -- THE SMARTEST ECONOMIC MINDS HAVE NOT FIGURED OUT HOW
MINDS HAVE NOT FIGURED OUT HOW WE CREATE A WORLD IN WHICH WE
WE CREATE A WORLD IN WHICH WE DON'T HAVE UPS AND DOWNS.
DON'T HAVE UPS AND DOWNS. I'D SAY THIS.
I'D SAY THIS. WE'RE ON A WAVE.
WE'RE ON A WAVE. IT'S GOING ON RIGHT NOW.
IT'S GOING ON RIGHT NOW. WE SHOULD TRY TO ENJOY IT AND WE
WE SHOULD TRY TO ENJOY IT AND WE SHOULD TRY TO HOPE THAT ALL OF
SHOULD TRY TO HOPE THAT ALL OF THOSE PEOPLE NOT CAUGHT UP IN
THOSE PEOPLE NOT CAUGHT UP IN THAT WAVE SOMEHOW TRY TO
THAT WAVE SOMEHOW TRY TO PARTICIPATE IN THAT BUT BE
PARTICIPATE IN THAT BUT BE PREPARED FOR THINGS TO HAPPEN.
PREPARED FOR THINGS TO HAPPEN. ECONOMIC EXPANSIONS THAT ARE TEN
ECONOMIC EXPANSIONS THAT ARE TEN YEARS OLD AND LONG IN THE TOOTH
YEARS OLD AND LONG IN THE TOOTH THEY CAN'T CRUMBLE.
THEY CAN'T CRUMBLE. THOSE BECOME TOUGH DECISIONS.
THOSE BECOME TOUGH DECISIONS. DO I THINK THERE'S ANYTHING
DO I THINK THERE'S ANYTHING TODAY THAT SAYS THERE'S
TODAY THAT SAYS THERE'S SOMETHING IMPENDING THAT'S GOING
SOMETHING IMPENDING THAT'S GOING TO BE DANGEROUS FOR THEM AS AN
TO BE DANGEROUS FOR THEM AS AN INVESTOR.
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What’s Next For The Economy In 2020? | NBC News NOW

21 分類 收藏
林宜悉 發佈於 2020 年 1 月 24 日
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