字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 VERY DANGEROUS, INDEED, WITH ALL OF THE DIFFERENT FORCES PILING INTO THIS PART OF NORTHERN SYRIA. ERIC? ERIC: BENJAMIN, THANK YOU SO MUCH. ARTHEL: WE'RE GOING TO BRING IN FORMER DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE, JOEL RUBIN. WHAT IS TURKEY DOING, WHAT IS RUSSIA DOING? >> YEAH, ARTHEL, TURKEY IS ABOUT TO ENGAGE IN ETHNIC CLEANSING, AND RUSSIA IS BACKING THEM UP. AND IT'S REALLY TRAGIC BECAUSE WE HAD OUR FOOT ON THE NECK, ESSENTIALLY, OF ISIS. WE DEFEATED THEM, AND NOW DONALD TRUMP IS TAKING IT OFF. AND I UNDERSTAND WHY HE CLAIMS HE WANTS TO BRING OUR TROOPS HOME, BUT AS YOU HEARING FROM THIS REPORT AS WELL, OUR TROOPS AREN'T COMING HOME. THEY'RE GOING TO IRAQ, THEY'RE STAYING IN SYRIA, AND TURKEY NOW FEELS FREE REIN TO ENGAGE IN MASSACRING OUR KURDISH ALLIES WHO HELPED US DEFEAT ISIS, AND IT'S A REAL TRAGEDY. ARTHEL: YEAH. AND THE TROOPS THAT WENT TO IRAQ, IRAQ SAYING YOU DIDN'T ASK ME IF YOU COULD BRING YOUR TROOPS OVER THERE. YOU'VE GOT ONE MONTH TO GET THEM OUT OF HERE. MEANWHILE, I WANT TO SHOW YOU A TWEET FROM BRETT McGURK, FORMER SPECIAL PRESIDENTIAL ENVOY TO THE MIDDLE EAST, AS YOU KNOW, TO DEFEAT ISIS. HE WORKED UNDER PRESIDENTS BUSH, OBAMA AND TRUMP. SYRIA, LAST 24 HOURS, U.S. MILITARY RETURNS TO GUARD OIL FIELDS. THOUSANDS OF REFUGEES STREAM IN OTHER DIRECTION INTO NORTHERN IRAQ. ERDOGAN THREATENS AGAIN TO DO THE CLEANSING WORK IN KURDISH AREAS. U.S. FORCES LEFT TO RUSSIA AND ASSAD. INCOHERENTMENT SO, JOEL -- INCOHERENT. SO, JOEL, HAS PRESIDENT TRUMP RELINQUISHED ALL U.S. POWER TO COMBAT OR OFFSET THE RAPID DAMAGE BEING DONE BY ERDOGAN AND PUTIN? >> HE HAS. I HAVE TO SAY IT STRAIGHT LIKE YOUD ASKED, HE ABSOLUTELY HAS. HE COMPOUNDED IT NOT JUST BY GIVING THE GREEN LIGHT TO ERDOGAN TO INVADE NORTHERN SYRIA AND HAVE OUR TROOPS WHO WERE ACTING AS A BUFFER, THEY WERE PEACEKEEPERS. THEY WERE NOT ENGAGED IN ACTIVE COMBAT. WHEN HE REMOVED THEM, HE GAVE THE GREEN LIGHT TO TURKEY. BUT EVEN THIS WEEK HE FALSELY CLAIMED THAT THE CEASEFIRE WAS HOLDING AND HE WOULD, THEREFORE, RELAX AND TAKE AWAY AMERICAN SANCTIONS ON TURKEY, THEREBY ESSENTIALLY TELLING ERDOGAN YOU'RE FREE TO DO WHAT YOU WANT. AND NOW ERDOGAN MADE A DEAL WITH RUSSIA, RUSSIA IS THE BIG POWER, AND AT A STRATEGIC LEVEL THAT MEANS NOW WE'D HAVE TO TAKE ON RUSSIA TO GET BACK IN, AND THAT'S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. WE REALLY HAVE VERY FEW LEVERS TO INFLUENCE WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE GROUND. ARTHEL: MEANWHILE, PRESIDENT TRUMP IS SAYING U.S. TROOPS WILL GO BACK IN TO PROTECT THE OIL FIELDS IN EASTERN SYRIA. HOW MANY TROOPS WOULD REALLY BE NEEDED FOR THIS, AND WILL THEY TRY TO REENLIST HELP FROM THE KURDS? >> THIS IS THE HIGHLY DEBATABLE, AND THIS IS THE DANGER WITH THE WAY THAT THE PRESIDENT ENACTED THIS POLICY. HE DID NOT PLAN IT OUT. THERE WAS NO INTERAGENCY PROCESS WITH THE DoD TO SECURE OIL FIELDS. SO NOW THEY'RE GOING IN, BUT IT'S NOT EVEN CLEAR THAT THAT'S A BIG PRIORITY, QUITE FRANKLY. OIL FIELDS IN THE PAST, THEY WERE USED TO FUND ISIS, THEN WE DESTROYED THEM THROUGH AIR RAIDS. IT'S NOT QUITE SURE WHAT THE ACTUAL PURPOSE IS. HE MAY FIND IT ATTRACTIVE, THERE ARE OTHERS WHO WANT US TO CREEP BACK IN AND THINK THAT'S A WAY TO BEGIN TO DO THAT. BUT FROM A POLICY PERSPECTIVE, THE OIL FIELDS ARE VERY INSIGNIFICANT, QUITE FRANKLY. CERTAINLY TO OUR OIL USE HERE AT HOME. THE BIG ISSUE IS TURKEY'S INCURSION NOW INTO AN ETHNIC CLEANSING OPERATION AGAINST THE KURDS AND RUSSIA'S STRONGHOLD RIGHT THERE. THOSE ARE THE BIG ISSUES THAT WE'RE NOT GRAPPLING WITH AND THAT WE SHOULD BE. ARTHEL: SO FAR YOU'VE GOT 900 SQUARE MILES THAT HAVE BEEN SEIZED BY TURKISH AND RUSSIAN FORCES, 160,000 KURDISH CIVILIANS HAVE BEEN DISPLACED. SO WILL THE KURDS, ALL ALL DIVISIONS, BE SLAUGHTERED OR IS THERE REALLY A DEAL WITH THE DEVIL THAT CAN SAVE THEM? >> WELL, THE KURDS THOUGHT THEY HAD A DEAL WITH THE DEVIL, AND THAT DEVIL BEING ASSAD OF SYRIA. AND THEY THOUGHT HE WOULD PROVIDE PROTECTION, BUT THAT PROTECTION HASN'T COME. RUSSIA CONTROLS ASSAD. WILL RUSSIA STEP IN AND POTENTIALLY PROTECT THEM? BUT THE BIG QUESTION HOVERING OVER ALL OF THIS IS THEN WHAT? WHAT ABOUT THE THREE AND A HALF MILLION SYRIANS SITTING IN SOUTHERN TURKEY? WILL THEY BE PUSHED INTO THOSE CLEARED AREAS, CREATING A VIOLATION OF THE GENEVA CONVENTIONS OF A MASS POPULATION TRANSFER IN THE PROCESS? NONE OF THESE ARE ADDRESSED. BUT WE NEED TO HAVE A ROBUST, FRANKLY, ROBUST INTERNATIONAL DIPLOMATIC DISCUSSION NOW WITH URGENCY TO INSURE THAT THESE ISSUES GET DISCUSSED AND RESOLVED. BUT THAT TIME WAS BEFORE WE LEFT. WE STILL HAVE TO TRY TO DO IT, BUT THOSE ARE THE ISSUES RIGHT NOW THAT ARE VERY SERIOUS AND, YES, I THINK AN ETHNIC CLEANSING IS VERY MUCH IN THE OFFING POTENTIALLY FROM TURKEY. ARTHEL: FINALLY, JOEL WITH, WHAT ABOUT ISIS? WILL ISIS REGROUP AGAIN? NOT NECESSARILY AS A CALIPHATE, BUT ENOUGH TO SERIOUSLY THREATEN THE U.S. AND EUROPEAN ALLIES? >> SO THINK OF IT, IF YOU'RE THE KURDS WHO HAVE BEEN FIGHTING ISIS AND THEY LOST 31,000 PLUS -- 11,000 PLUS SOLDIERS AT OUR REQUEST WHEN THEY COMBATED ISIS FIGHTERS, THEY WERE THE ONES PROTECTING AND GUARDING AGAINST ISIS. NOW THEY'RE DEFENDING FOR THEIR LIVES, THEY'RE PROTECTING THEIR FAMILIES. ISIS IS THE LAST THING ON THEIR MIND. AND WE ALSO HAVE MANY PROBLEMS WITH TURKEY RELATED TO ISIS OVER THE YEARS, AND THE TURKS DID NOT VIEW ISIS AS THEIR THREAT, THEY VIEW KURDISH MILITIAS AS THEIR THREAT. ISIS, THEY'RE NOT GOING TO BE GUARDED BY THE KURDS. SO WHAT HAPPENS THEN? WE HAVE ISIS FREE. ARTHEL: AND THEY'RE NOT JUST,
B1 中級 土耳其和俄羅斯在敘利亞東北部推進 (Turkey, Russia advance in Northeast Syria) 9 0 林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字