字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 Hello, everyone. This is Adam Halpern with Indicator Warehouse. And I want to thank you all for joining us today. I have the pleasure of having Richard Friesen and Erich Senft, both with two of the most difficult last names you could imagine. So for those of you who don't know Rich, I met him, actually, when I was trying to build a trading assessment test. Because of our diversified trading system, I really wanted people to be able to get a sense of where their strengths resided. Do they tend to lead towards scalping, swing trading, whatever. And Rich will give you a little bit about his background, but he is the perfect match. He used to be a pit trader. Now he has a background in psychology and many, many other interesting things. He's definitely earned his gray hair. For those of you that don't know Erich, he owns and manages supportresistance.com, and he's also our lead educator. So I thought it would be perfect to get these two guys together and have a conversation. So with that, I will hand it off to Rich and Erich. I'm happy to be here. And my background started on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, trading options on the S&P futures. And then I built a trading desk at the Pacific Stock Exchange on the options floor, trading options on equities. I ended up through some perverse things trading on the Chicago Board of Trade, trading options on wheat. And then I built an electronic exchange during the dot-com boom called ePIT systems. I have been working with professional traders, money managers, and active traders for the last decade, working with them to build their emotional, mental, and psychological strengths. And from this, I have developed a number of processes and found where people get stuck, where traders do those things, those behaviors that no longer serve them. And so I've been working, building a series of processes to overcome the major issues that traders have. So that's where I have been. That's what's exciting me today. And I'm just excited to talk about whatever Erich brings up. I know that he sometimes can be a little creative in his questions, so I'm ready. All right. Well, I'll try not to throw you too many curveballs. All right, so the first question-- fear. I think this is probably the biggest psychological obstacle that plagues traders. You're afraid to take a trade. You're afraid to pull the trigger. You're afraid of being wrong, and everything that goes with that. How does a trader deal with fear? Well, first we have to realize that fear is there for a very positive reason. We're still operating with our 50,000-year old brains. In other words, our basic neurology hasn't changed that much. And on the savannas and in the tribe, fear was a very positive contributor to our survival. And as a result, it's really deep into our brains. Now, the problem is that we're no longer on the savanna. There's no longer tigers. And we're no longer in a clan environment. But our brains haven't shifted. And as a result, because trading puts us as close as we can get to the edge of risk, of survival, of making that hunt and making that big kill, it triggers all the same things that our brain is used to from the savannas, early on. So as a result, we drop into fear. We drop into stress cycles. And we act the same kind of ways that we did 50,000 years ago. The problem is that those ways 50,000 years ago really helped us survive. But in a training environment, it almost brings us to the opposite behaviors of what we need to do. That's an excellent answer. It kind of reminds me a little bit of road rage too, that would explain what's going on on the highways. Yeah, the exact same thing. The whole survival thing. Yeah, we trigger that fight or flight. And there are some things you can do, and a couple of break state exercises. And I think that Adam can maybe drop those into the chat box for people who want links to the Flight to Freedom. There's an exercise there. And that exercise is basically a breathing exercise. What happens is, when we're threatened, our brains are great pattern matchers. And they see the pattern of the threat. We drop into our limbic system, and that's our more primitive animal survival brain. And it immediately gives us adrenalin cocktail. It immediately gives us what we need to move our large muscle groups. But it shifts our thinking also. And to get out of that fear state, we need to then interrupt that cycle. And what we can do is do a breathing exercise. And for those of you who are interested, you can go to that link, and there's the exercises there. And that breaks that state. Because what happens is, our limbic system puts in the adrenalin cocktail, gets us ready for fight or flight, and then it says, OK, is there a real threat? It does that first and then checks. So it checks with our more thinking brain, our neocortex. And if, in fact, the neocortex says, hey, there is a threat here-- because the neocortex is somewhat slower-- but if it evaluates and says it is a threat, then it goes back to the limbic system and says, OK, let's pump up that adrenalin again. And so for some of us, we can get into this cycle whereby the neocortex says, oh my god, we're in a panic state. There must be something wrong. The adrenalin says, the neocortex thinks there's something wrong. So we get into this cycle. So this is a break state that traders can do. Hm. That's really interesting. I had no idea. So a simple breathing exercise can actually help you refocus and give you some clarity on the situation and help you decide whether you should pull the trigger on a trade or perhaps exit a trade early. Well, it's not going to give you the decision process on that, but what it's going to do is break that cycle. So if your limbic system in the brain notices that you're breathing slowly and regularly, it will say, oh, there must be nothing wrong. So you can actually take a symptom and turn it into a cause and change the state of your brain. Then once you're not in the fight or flight mode, you have less fear, then you can take and say, OK, what do I need to do here, and make a decision. Well, that sounds a whole lot better than my method of dealing with it, which was usually just to hold my breath. Well, OK-- you can go another direction on this. And that is, another way to break that fear is to take some deep fast breaths until you start to feel lightheaded. You need to lie down for this-- is to lift your legs, lift your belly, clench your arms, clench your legs, clench everything as tight as you can and hold your breath and squeeze hard. Just hold that breath. Hold it until you feel like you're going to pass out. And then let it out. And what this does is it takes that fear state, builds that physiology that a normal fear state would do, by using your big muscle groups. And then when you release and breathe slowly, it's another way to break that fear cycle. I may actually try that one. That sounds pretty good. It's a great exercise. Yeah, no, that sounds fantastic. All right. Next question here, we have greed. I think probably behind fear, greed is probably the next biggest obstacle that plagues traders. We're in a position, we have an open position, we're making profit, we don't want to get out of a trade any earlier than we need to. But at the same time, there's probably no worse feeling in trading than to have a profitable position turn on you and turn into a loser. What advice do you have for people when it comes to dealing with greed? Well, greed is a word that covers a lot of different psychological and physiological states. So let's parse this out and break it down a little bit. You know, on Wall Street, the Gordon Gekko, "Greed is good." In one sense for traders, greed is great. And we can talk about that later. What you just mentioned, though, is that sense of loss. Psychologically, and when I'm doing presentations to groups, I'll say, OK, let's say we bought something at 100, and it ticks at 99. Have we really lost money? And most people say no. It ticks to 98. Have we really lost money yet? No. 97, no, no, no, no. And then they say, OK, we get out. And then I say, have you lost money, and the answer is yes. If, on the other hand, you buy something at 100, and it goes to 101. Ooh, that's cool. 102, oh, man. I called that right. I'm a giant in the industry. It goes to 103. Wow, did I nail that. 104, whoa-- everything I dreamed about is coming true. And I'm exaggerating here, but what happens is when we're in a winning trade, what we do is we associate that win with a lot of psychic and psychological value. Now, let's say it gets up to 110. And we're going, man, am I a genius. And then it ticks to 109-- have we made money from 100 to 109? Well, really the answer is no. We've lost money from 110 to 109. Because psychologically, we've already banked that 110 number. And as a result, it ticks 108. Whoa. We don't look at it, is the overall strategy, what's the best way to get out? Do we have trailing stops? How do we exit? What's our goal? All those things that are statistically valuable, we lose sight of those because we've already banked that high watermark. Right. I can certainly relate to that. I can too. So what's a solution to that? How do we deal with the market backing up on us? Do you have any suggestions? Yeah, that is moving from trade winning to strategies. When a new trader starts out-- and I've trained lots of traders to trade my money. And usually on the floors, they spend six months or a year as clerks, and then they move up, and first, they're getting your coffee. Then they're running your sheets. Then they're helping determine implied volatilities, like I was on the options floor. So on the first day, almost every trader that I've trained, deep down inside, believes that he's a god, he's a trading genius, and that if somebody would just give him a chance-- just give me a chance, I'll show you. So they've worked a way up. They've learned the system. It's consistently profitable. Well, maybe we had one losing month during one of the crashes, but we made that back very quickly. But consistently profitable over almost a decade. So they get to the floor, they get their badge, I put money in their account-- what's the worst thing that could happen to them the first day? They take a losing trade. No, that's the best thing. The worst thing is that they make money. And the reason for that is it plugs into this inner dream that they have. And then they make money the next day or the third day. Then they start losing it, and it devastates their dream. If, on the other hand, they lose money the first day, they came to me, their hands are shaking a bit. They say, gosh, Rich, I'm sorry. I lost money. And we'll say, OK, let's just go over your process. Losing days happen-- not a problem. And we look and see what their process is. Now they're concentrating on what their process is and statistically the behaviors they need to do over the long term. That's great advice. I like that. All right, Adam, what's the next slide, please? Loss. Yes, losing money. I think this is probably a big one for a lot of people too. You touched on this already a little bit, but how do you deal with losing days? Like, how do you come back when you've devalued your trading account by 10 or a big 20% draw down? How do you deal with that? Well, first of all, your money management strategy needs to be addressed if you've lost that much in a few days or a few trades. But that's another issue. Let's concentrate here on the psychological part. And again, traders start out. They attach their success to whether or not they won or lost the previous trade or the previous two or three trades. Then after a while, they realize it's not the last trade, because that really doesn't matter. It's whether or not they have a good strategy. Then they attach themselves to a winning strategy. And we can talk about this more, and I give a long talk about strategies, but eventually all strategies fail. They have to. It's the law. If you had a strategy that never failed, everybody would figure it out. I mean, we've got all these incredible artificial intelligence computers out there looking for the edge, looking for the strategies. We have intelligent traders out there looking for new strategies. And if a strategy never failed, everybody would figure it out. And if everybody's using that strategy, of course, then not everybody can be rich. People would have to jump the gun, people would have to get out earlier. And you have the stuff where the actual market action on that strategy destroys the strategy itself. So they move from first, did I have a winning trade? Do I have a winning strategy? And then further to say, OK, strategies fail. What strategy am I going to use in this market? And then they get their satisfaction of really looking at the market, noticing what's going on, paying attention to all the nuances, and able to actually see what's happening in the marketplace because they're not attached to any strategy. They're not attached to the last trade. But now they can see things that they didn't see before. And they can either stay out of the market or use a strategy that's appropriate for that moment. I love how you summed that up. That was actually the whole emphasis behind DTS, that you have three instruments, three signal generators-- one scalping, one for swing trading, one for trend trading-- something that allows you to see the big picture of the market and take advantage of whatever the market is offering you at that time. But I love how you said that no strategy is perfect. I think a lot of traders delude themselves into thinking, if I can just find the right entry signal, I can make my money, and I'll never have another losing trade. But it really doesn't work that way. Well, what I do is I have an exercise that I give my clients. And this is a tough one. I asked them to go to a bank and take out 100 bills of the largest denomination they can stand. So for some people, it might be $20 bills, which would mean 2,000. Or for some people, I asked them to take out $100 bills. And what they do is, we play a game. And the game is that we divide their pile of money in half. I get half of it, they keep half of it. We play with it, we initial it. And then I flip a coin. If they call the coin flip correctly, I give them five of the bills. If they call it correctly, they give me four. Now, the question is, would you take that trade? Fair flip a coin, I pay you five, you give me four. Would you take that trade? Well, sure. Let's take it. Sure, you're going to take that trade, because statistically, over the large sample size, you're going to make money. Yes. That's how Vegas does it. Yeah. That's absolutely correct. You're like the house. You're going to make money. But what happens is, in a random flip of the coin, we'll sometimes get four heads in a row, or four tails in a row, or they'll call it wrong four times in a row. And then what we do is we work with the emotions. Now, they've got a strategy that's 100% guaranteed to make money over the large sample size. So it's not the strategy. They statistically have absolute confidence in it. And yet emotionally, when they call it wrong, what happens? And that's where we concentrate on working on what their process is. How do you make yourself feel bad? How do you make yourself feel bad about losing and losses? And we look at the psychological processes that they create in that moment in order to not fill the strategy. I like that. So you try to actually take the emotion away from the money. It reminds me of something I heard, one of these poker stars on one of these World Poker Tournaments, they were playing for 100,000 or more in the pot, and they were throwing around $10,000 like it was nothing. And he said later in an interview, he says, as soon as I think of it as real money, I'm sunk. He doesn't think of it as money. So is that the direction you're going with this, try to take some of the emotion away? Well, one of the things that I do is never take emotion away. Because emotions are part of us. We have it. The important thing is to be aware of it. So there's two ways to handle this. One is try to discipline yourself, try to force yourself to be rational. But in My Muscles training, what we do is we just acknowledge what is there and are aware of it. And the more awareness we have of it, it's like we can rise above it. You can say, oh, I'm feeling a fear of loss right now. Oh, I'm in a state of panic. That's OK. And then we can handle that from that higher decision point. And that poker player is right. As soon as he starts worrying about the amount of money, he's hosed. I like that game, though, especially when you're playing it with somebody else's money. Yeah, if anybody wants, they can email me, and I'll send them the details of the game. Then you just have to find somebody to play with you. All right, Adam. Next slide. Stress, yes. This is a big one. Now, I know we're overlapping a little bit here. You've touched on some of these things. But how do you handle the stress when you're in a trade? You're in a profitable position, like you said. The market ticks against you a little bit. All of a sudden, the juices get going. What can people do? Well, again, we need to define-- this is a broad topic-- stress. So I like to think of stress as long-term self-feeding mechanism that keeps you in a space of anxiety for a long period of time. So if we look at stress, which is this low-level anxiety that just is maintained, there's a loop that goes on. And there's ways that we can break that loop. If you're looking at a specific anxiety around a specific trade, then we look at what is the mechanism that you use to get there. Because anxiety is internally created. In other words, the monitor, and your screen, and the prices, there's no way in the world that they can cause you to be stressed. The only way that you can be stressed is if you create an internal mechanism to make that happen. So what we do is we look at the internal mechanism. How are you doing that? For example, and this is one of the things I do, is I actually work with traders while their trading. So a trader's making money, making money, starts to lose money. And I notice that he's leaning forward, his breath is shallow, his forehead is furrowed, his leg is starting to bounce up and down. So I notice know that he's feeling a lot of anxiety right in this moment. So I work with him on what that mechanism is. So we work for a couple of hours, just going through layer after layer. And ultimately, it came to the fact that when he was losing money, his dad is going to judge him. And that's how he created it. He had a though, boy, if I lose this trade, my dad is going to be judgmental. He's not going to be proud of me. Now, it may be irrational, but I've found that almost every trader that I've worked with has these mechanisms running way deep, often out of consciousness, that in fact create the stress. So once we can learn what that mechanism is, then we can do exercises that break that process. Wow. That's a real eye opener, I have to say. We always think of stress as being external, something from the outside affecting us. But the fact that it's actually internally generated, I never even considered that. It is. I mean, for example, I'm going to do this webinar. There is nothing in doing a webinar that is a necessary causation of stress. Now, I can think, oh my god, I want to do a real good job for Adam, or I don't know Erich that well yet. What if he throws me a curveball? What if I embarrass myself? What if I run out of things-- and I can create-- in fact, I could do that right now. I could create a tremendous amount of stress around talking to people. I can just feel myself going into it. But that's what we create internally. There is no environmental issue in trading that is a necessary connection to our prolonged stress. Well, let's get on to the next slide, then. Yeah, we're covering a lot of territory here. So we'll see how close we get to covering them all. But like Adam said originally, we're really here for the traders. And we'll do whatever we can, even if we run out of time here. Doubt. I think traders are always second-guessing themselves, especially if you have a string of losers. My experience when I've dealt with people, they hit a bit of a skit, and all of a sudden, they abandon their system. And they start looking at something new. And they're essentially starting from square one. How do people know if they're on the right path? There's so many systems and methods, how can they stop doubting each other and not starting over all the time, not wasting their time? Right. Going from guru to guru, strategy to strategy, asset class to asset class. Well, first of all, let's talk about the good part of doubt. When I was a trader on the floor, every morning when I got there, the visualization I did is that I was standing in fog so tight you couldn't see three or four feet ahead of you. And I mentioned that there was a bullet heading toward my forehead. And I said, OK, how are they going to get me today? How are they going to wipe me out? What are they going to do? Where's my risk? And I would try to figure out how they were going to do that. And by they-- that's another subject, but by "they" I don't mean there's a malevolent force out to get me. But the market naturally has to make it as difficult as possible to trade, or everybody would do it. So there's that kind of doubt. There's that-- from the savannas, from our 50,000-year old brain, looking at risk, having doubts, questioning ourselves. There's real value to that. Now, then, the question is, if we do that, how do we also pull the trigger? How do we stay in a trade that's winning? How do we put our stops in and maintain our strategies? And that comes from really doing the homework. That comes from creating strategy methodologies, from testing them, to looking at what kind of markets they work in, being ready to let them go when they no longer work. And that becomes part of a process, so that you have a reliable process that you put everything through that you can have confidence in, confidence in the sense that you know it will work for a time and you know it will fail at some time. But the confidence is in yourself as a trader who can pick those times, who can pick up strategies that work, who can let go of strategies that don't work. And then you have that confidence in yourself. Because that doubt about the market is what's going to happen, that doubt about the strategies, that can all contribute to your survival. Rich? Rich and Erich, we've got a question coming in. It's interesting. I mean, let's face it, each one of these slides could be an hour-long presentation in and of itself. And being a religious studies and philosophies major, I'm loving this stuff. Anyway, the question that came in is, does stress lead to or cause illness? Well, that's a well-known phenomenon. I'm not a medical expert, but yes. The answer is yes. In fact, you talk about stress-- let's say there's two prop traders. And that means they work for a firm, they trade the firm's money, and they come to their desks. One of them had an argument with his wife. His 13-year-old son gave him the finger going out. He's been losing money the last three weeks. He is judging himself. He is angry at himself. Somebody cuts him off on the freeway, and he almost rams them just to show them. He gets to work. Second guy, he's happy with himself. He has a methodology for trading that just grinds out money. He made love with his spouse in the morning and had a wonderful time. And she just told him what a wonderful guy he was and how proud she was of him. He goes to work, and the same guy cuts him off. And he pays attention to how the traffic is and notices one guy's driving aggressively, and he's managed to see that and manage it. He gets to the office. And both of those traders know something odd happened. Let's say their trading the crack spread. And they notice something strange happening. Now then, you walk in, and you've got 10 grand. Which one are you going to put your money on? Which one are you going to follow in their trading? With the guy who's more level-headed. Yeah, the guy who's having a great time, loves life, has balance. When you have stress, you operate from a different part of your brain. So not only can it cause medical problems, but it also creates-- we can talk about how you see information, how you filter it, and how you react to it. Yeah, it makes sense. You need to take the overall view and realize when stress is wigging you out. I'm just wondering if that level-headed guy's wife has a sister. Well, I didn't think about it now, because I didn't realize we'd go here. But I have an exercise called personal trading capital. Where is your stress level? Where is your personal trading capital every morning? And I have a way to measure it. And then I have a physical way, of where you have multiple hats, and you put on different colored hats, depending on the level of your personal trading capital. So you can really know where you're at. Because when we go into stress, we're not aware of it. It's like, the size of the yardstick changes. And we don't realize that we're measuring from a different yardstick. That's fantastic. And you can get that information at your website? Or do we have a link for that? No, that exercises is not published. I keep it for clients. But again, if somebody emails me, I'll put it into a PDF or shape it up, and I'll get it to you. Point them in the right direction, anyway. All right, next slide, please, Adam. Advice. Now, this one is kind of the tail end of the other one. But should people be looking for advice? Whose advice should they follow? I've heard before people tell me that everything you need to become a successful trader, you already have within yourself. Or should people be looking for competent advice? How do you measure advice, and that sort of thing? Again, there's two ways to frame it out, and a couple of ways to approach it. One of them is if a trader feels inadequate-- and I can identify with this one for the good part of my trading career-- is that we're looking for somebody, a groove, somebody who can point us in the right direction, somebody who can take care of us, somebody who we can trust and depend on. We all yearn for that kind of person in our lives. And if we yearn for that, and we're dependent on that, then, of course, what's going to happen, eventually we're going to get down. But another way to look at advice is to be curious about it and realize that other than Adam, you, Erich, and myself, everybody else is fallible. Naturally. Yeah, so other than us, everybody else is fallible. And you look at them like you do strategies or stories. And the stories you look at is as curiosities about them. They are somebody's locked in view of the world, and you can look at those views with curiosity and learn from them. Great advice right there. All right, Adam, next slide, please. Guilt. Now, I know I've personally struggled with this one a little bit myself. And it may seem kind of silly to folks who are struggling as a trader, but there seems to be a little bit of guilt involved with actually making large sums of money, especially if you don't feel that perhaps you're entitled to it or that you're making your money at the expense of someone else, because trading is a zero-sum game, at least in the futures world. If you're making money, somebody else is losing money. How do you deal with guilt that might arise from trading, or even guilt of losing money? This is a core that I am discovering more and more as I pay attention to it, that traders will sabotage themselves at some level. We've all heard, or at least most of us know, that people who win the lottery end up returning to their previous net worth in a few years. I don't have the numbers in front of me, but NFL, wealthy professional football players and basketball players, many of them, over half of them, end up in their retirement broke. And why is that? It's because normally when you make money, you do it because you feel you're capable of it, and you're worth it. And you have to work for it. But people who win lotteries, people in sports, people in entertainment, the money is just showered on them outside of what I call their personal thermostat. So what happens is, you have an internal thermostat. For example, I have a brother. I love him dearly. And I know that five years from now, he's still going to be broke. Because his internal thermostat is zero. Whenever he makes more money than that, he figures out a way to lose it. A short story-- I'll try to make it really short, because I know we're short on time. When I started trading on my own, the first year-- let me start, in 1995-- it was April, 1995. And it was the middle of the night, and I heard a voice. And it woke me up. And the voice said-- and I can hear it as clearly as I'm saying it now-- it said, Rich, you're only worth $200,000 a year. That's how much it was. You're only worth $200,000 a year. And so it woke me up. I looked around. My wife was sleeping beside me. There was nobody else in the room, but that was the voice inside me. So I got up in the middle of the night, showered, drove to the floor of the Pacific Stock Exchange. I got there before it was even open and waited for the staff to come open the doors. And I went and stood in the pit. Now, rather than standing near the back of the pit, where I normally did, I went and chose the best spot. Now, this best spot was between the brokers who handle the most paper and right in front of the book staff, which means I could hear everything, and I was closest to those, and I could hear all the trades. So what happened was, all the other traders started pointing, and the trader who normally stood in that spot-- now, you can't own a spot, but you have to do it because you're the biggest bully or the meanest SOB or have the most capital, he stood beside me and didn't think too much about it. But let me give you some background. When I went on my own and left my trading firm, CRT, the first year, I was very careful. I made 125 grand. The next year, I was really careful. And I made 150. The next year, I made 175, then 200. And for three years, I made $200,000. Only in 1995, something different happened. I was trading Micron, and there was only three traders trading options on Micron, the memory chip makers. And it just hit a bottom and just took off. And paper was just pouring into the pit. And only three of us traders-- and literally, you didn't have to be smart. You just had to write paper as fast as you could. And after one month, I made 200,000, in 1995. The second month, I was still up 200. I'd make 10, lose 5, up 3. The third month, the fourth month, and come April is when I woke up and heard that voice that said, Rich, you're only worth $200,000 a year. So that's when I went to the exchange and I stood in the best spot on the floor. And when the bell went off, the guy who normally stands in that spot, he nudged me, expecting me to move. I didn't move. And it was like electricity went through the pit, because nobody-- nobody stood in that spot except that guy. And so we started a shoving match. And the book staff meeting said, do you guys want a fine? And the fine for physical altercations on the floor was 10 grand, automatic, no matter whose fault it was. So I stood my ground, and I ended up doing $650,000. But the limitation was my own, that I didn't think I was worth it. I didn't value it. And what I'm finding, especially among younger people today, is there's a tremendous amount of guilt around wealth. And when I built a trading firm, I brought in a hypnotherapist for some of the traders that were struggling. And one of the traders, he was not aware of this at all, but his take was, if I make more money than my father, it will be disrespectful to him. And so out of love and devotion to my dad, I can't make more than him. So when he made more than 150,000, he would start to give it back. And trader after trader that was struggling, that was one of the subroutines that was going on with them. So most traders, if they hit a losing streak, it might actually be internal sabotage, like you said. Exactly right. And I found this among the traders that I'm working with now-- I'm working with Chicago Proprietary Trading Group. I've got a blanket contract to take care of their traders. And I'm finding that almost everyone, when it comes to wealth, that there is something that they're going to lose. And I tell them, I say, OK, let's find out what you're going to lose if you get wealthy. And they say, ah, I wouldn't lose anything. I'd do this, that. Oh, I wouldn't lose anything. No. But when we work on it, there is something underneath that, that they're afraid of, that they will lose. I see that we have a link up there as well for your internal thermostat exercise. Oh, good. Excellent. I encourage folks to click on that. Adam, next slide, please. Visualization. It seems to be all the rage, everywhere I look, every self-help book, every book on trading seems to suggest that if you can only visualize your future hard enough, if you repeat enough self-affirming mantras, 100 times a day, that you'll eventually reach your objective. Is there any truth to that? Every day, in every way, you're getting better and better. Every day, in every way, Adam, you're getting better and better. You know the one. Yes. And people like me. And people like you. They do. I don't know why, but I like you, Adam. But again, we have to parse this out. Because there's some real power in visualization. And there's some real destructiveness in visualization. In other words, if you say every day, in every way, I'm getting better and better, and you have a self-sabotage routine, and then every day you come up short, then there's a part that says, you're a failure, you're a failure, you're a failure, and that does not help. But what I do is I have a visualization. And we probably don't have the time to go into too much detail, but you create a brokerage statement two years from now. And in that brokerage statement, you have all the details you need-- how many trades you do a day, how many losses you have, how many wins to loss ratio, what your net average profit per trade is, what asset class you trade, and I say, OK, let's go for your outlook, let's see really where you want to be. And let's create the brokerage statement that supports it. And that makes them get really, real. Oh, that means I'm going to have to stop all my revenge trading. That means I'm going to have to stop my boredom trades. That means I'm going to have to let my profits run, that means I'm going to have a lower win-to-loss ratio. OK, let's put that all in and create that bokerage statement. Then with that very detailed brokerage statement, I have them put them on the floor two years from now. Now let's walk back to see what we need to do to get to this brokerage statement, and all the things you need, specific things you need to be put in place. So it's not like we're just wishing or telling ourselves we're getting better and better, we're actually looking at specific strategies, specific tactics, specific behaviors that you need in order to make that brokerage statement real. Then with those very specifics, you can say, OK, what am I going to do today? What one little thing am I going to do today that's going to move me towards that brokerage statement? That is very powerful. Because if you don't know where you're going, if you don't have a clear map, if you don't have that brokerage statement, then you're just lost in the woods. Right. So it's a little bit of reverse engineering, then, rather than just-- Exactly right. --rather than just repeating positive affirmations to yourself. What about the, what do they always say, fake it till you make it kind of thing? Is there anything to that? Like, if you feel like you're a successful trader, that will help you make better trades? Well, the theory of Mind Muscles is that we need to create new, more effective behaviors that feel better and get us to where our goals are. So what we do is we create simulations, much like a pilot before they put them in an F-15 jet, they will put them in a simulator and have then wreck it a bunch of times, learn how to do it, and repeat the successful behaviors over and over again. And it's the same way, that what we have to do is create new neural pathways and new neural connections that create the new behaviors. So by faking it, in the sense of being in a simulator and actually going through it and learning how to create those behaviors and learning what it feels like to create new behaviors, you can, in fact, repeat them. And it's kind of like a muscle memory. You can create new behaviors that feel better and get you to your goal. So I guess you're a pretty big advocate of keeping a trading journal then. Boy, am I. Because ultimately, all this rests on awareness. And the journals help give a very concrete methodology to creating those awarenesses. I agree. I agree 100%. I think it's the easiest thing anybody can do to improve their abilities as a trader. It really doesn't take long. And in a couple of months, you'll start to see some sort of pattern in your successful trades and your losing trades. And it'll be easier to replicate the winners and avoid the losers. Well, exactly right. In fact, I encourage my traders to start a journal. And every trade they make, they assign a strategy to it. And that strategy might be, impulse trade. Or it might be, revenge trade. Or it's strategy A, B, C, or D. And then what they do is they look at and they also describe the market profile, what kind of profile the market is, and what kind of behaviors it is, how you executed it, whether you followed your strategy, and what emotions you felt during the trade. So then what's going to happen is-- I mean, can you imagine trading without having any history of the asset class you're trading? Well, in decision processes, it's the same thing. You can chart that. You can see what works. You can see what doesn't work. And as a result, you can migrate your trading processes, your strategies to what works. Yeah, I agree. I think that's fantastic advice. All right, Adam, next slide, please. Making money. Now, I'm trying to remember what we were basing this one on, but I think it's-- Adam, do we have a slide for goals as well, or was-- Yeah, this is the slide for goals, I believe. Goals and making money. Yeah, so you already touched on that a little bit. So goal setting is a good idea. From your last statement, you said it's a great idea for traders to actually think out in the future and say, this is where I want to be a couple of years from now, and formulate a strategy to get there. Is that right? Again, it depends on the process. For example, in some things, setting goals is counterproductive. If I say, I want to be rich, I want to be rich, I want to be rich, what do I need to do to get rich-- the chances are you won't. Or if you are in an erotic situation, and you're trying to get to the conclusion, the harder you try, the worse it gets. So on some things, setting goals and trying harder, actually makes it work. So what we need to do is, what is our goal? My goal is to become self-aware. My goal is to learn how I relate to strategies, my goal is to execute my strategies. My goal is to have a day where I successfully completed my strategies. Now, that is very different from making money. When I was on the floor, we were the most consistently profitable firm there. And the reason is, we executed our strategies. We didn't worry about whether this trade was going to make money or not, whether we were going to make money. We didn't set a goal, how much money we were going to make. We set the goal as, I, as a human being, how can I improve my capabilities? How can I improve my decision process? How can I execute better? How can I learn about the markets more? And then once we did that, the money fell out consistently. You know, that is a very unique way of looking at it. It reminds me of a golf tournament many, many years ago that Jack Nicklaus lost by one stroke. He missed the final putt. And afterwards, the press asked him about that putt, about missing that putt. He says, no, I didn't miss it. It went exactly where I thought it should go, but it just didn't happen to go in the cup. He picked his line, he stroked the putt just how we wanted, it just didn't break and fall into the cup. So you're saying it's better to remove the money aspect and make your goal something more concrete, something that you can actually handle, like proper execution, sticking to your strategy, not doing the shoot from the hip trade-- that kind of thing? Right. So as you tend to do those things, what you will notice is, your account's going to increase in size. If you go the other way and say, I need to make money today, and if a trade starts to lose money, it puts you right back into the limbic system and all those negative processes that do not serve you very well. So money is just a byproduct of successfully implementing your system. That's absolutely right. So if I can interject for a second, as a tool vendor, or a tool manufacturer for lack of a better term, we're going to be coming out soon with a new automated trailing stop money management tool. And one of the debates that we've had in house is, do we show the P&L when the position's flat or not. And all of the novice traders want to see their P&L all the time. And all of the veteran traders are like, no, don't show the P&L. That's just going to distract me. If I'm doing really well, as Rich said earlier, I'm going to start getting all giddy because I got all this money. And if I'm not doing well, I'm going to make bad decisions because I've got fear and greed and stress coming into play. And so the veteran traders have been saying, look, don't show the P&L. You trade, you do your business, and then at the end of the day, you see where the chips fell. So it's interesting to hear that validated on the psychological side of things. Well, thanks. Yes, I'm taking all this two decades of floor trading and training experience and psychology and creating the Mind Muscles Academy. So with that, thanks so much to Rich and to Erich for joining us today. And so look in your inboxes for some more free goodies that are coming your way. Thank you. Thank you, guys-- a real pleasure.
A2 初級 交易心理學教練理查德-弗裡森|心肌學院 (Trading Psychology Coach Richard Friesen | Mind Muscles Academy) 142 17 陳步芳 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字