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  • Hello and welcome back to the Six Charts of Christmas.

    哈囉,歡迎回到聖誕節的六大圖表分析

  • Today let's take a look at how the stock market here in the US is doing compared to the rest of the world,

    今天我們來看看和各國相比之下,美國股市的情形

  • and you can see it's a quite remarkable story.

    有非常顯著的成長變化

  • Ever since the great financial crisis, which of course started here in New York,

    自從始於紐約的金融危機以來

  • we have seen a huge outperformance of the rest of the world by the US.

    美國和各國相比表現相當突出

  • Now, there are no secrets why that's been, the Federal Reserve has made life much easier for American companies,

    然而這不是沒有原因的,美國聯準會致力讓當地企業發展更順暢

  • the dollar has strengthened and the US economy in general has been stronger,

    美元幣值增加,整體來說美國經濟更加強穩

  • but you have to ask how much longer that will continue.

    但卻不得不思考這樣的繁榮會持續多久

  • With a stronger dollar that makes the international earnings of S&P 500 companies a bit weaker

    美元幣值的上升導致國際間標準普爾500指數盈餘的企業受到衝擊

  • it had helped flatter the earnings of foreign companies.

    使外國企業收益更加不景氣

  • Also it will tend to constrict the US economy at home,

    也不排除將有影響美國國內經濟的可能

  • with people expecting the Federal Reserve is gonna tighten this year while other big central banks won't.

    因為人民預期聯準會今年將採緊縮政策,然而其他大型中央銀行則不然

  • That should mean that the US economy will perform generally worse.

    這意味著美國經濟將普遍走下坡

  • Finally, of course, other countries have taken longer to emerge from the Great Recession that followed the crisis,

    當然,其他國家也花費相當多時間才從經濟衰退中復甦

  • there has to be a good chance that they will at least start to correct that.

    這對他們來說是個好機會,至少有個轉變的開始

  • Markets have a momentum, it's quite possible that the US great outperformance can continue a bit longer,

    目前市場有股動力,因此美國優異的表現可能會再持續一段時間

  • but it's hard to see how it can continue.

    但很難說要如何保持這樣子的表現

Hello and welcome back to the Six Charts of Christmas.

哈囉,歡迎回到聖誕節的六大圖表分析

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