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  • In 2008, America experienced the biggest meltdown of its financial sector since the Great Depression.

  • The conventional wisdom is that this failure and subsequent government rescue,

  • commonly known as "the bailout" was brought about by three decades of bank de-regulation.

  • There were a lot of causes for the meltdown, but deregulation wasn't one of them. Ironically,

  • it wasn't because the banks had become unmoored from government control that led them into

  • the financial storm, it was because they had become too closely tied to government.

  • For three decades Uncle Sam, like an enabling parent, had always "been there" when the big

  • banks got into trouble. The shock in 2008 was that for one brief moment, Uncle Sam wasn't there.

  • In the wee hours of September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. The financial

  • industry waited for the Feds to step in and save Lehman bondholders like it saved those

  • of Bear Stearns some months earlier. That didn't happen. Global financial markets seized up.

  • As the Dow Jones Industrial average fell 498 points, or nearly 4.4 percent, financial

  • institutions effectively went on strike. Banks wouldn't lend money to other banks and thus,

  • indirectly, to the public because they had no idea which financial institution might

  • go belly up next. The economy can withstand a stock-market crash, but a credit-market freeze

  • -- essentially a cash freeze -- can cause a Depression, as credit underpins almost

  • all business and personal activities. Indeed, some large companies, including General Electric,

  • were so dependent on these short-term credit markets that they were in danger of

  • not being able to pay their workers.

  • The financial industry pleaded with the government to act. Later in the same day, September 15, it did.

  • The Feds wouldn't save Lehman's but it would save AIG, the primary insurer of mortgage loans.

  • A month later, the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), a $700 billion

  • plan to pump taxpayer cash into America's banks and financial institutions was approved by Congress.

  • Public officials generally agreed that the free market had failed. In November 2008,

  • President George W. Bush came to New York to explain why he, a Republican president,

  • had signed TARP into law. "I'm a market-oriented guy, but not when I'm faced with the prospect

  • of a global meltdown," he said.

  • But free-market capitalism had not melted down. Again, the problem was not that banks

  • had been too free, but that they had grown too dependent on government over the last few decades.

  • Here's a brief history.

  • America's first post-Depression bailout of a big bank came in 1984 when the Republican

  • administration of Ronald Reagan, with help from the Federal Reserve bailed out Continental

  • Illinois, the eighth largest commercial bank in the nation. The bailout introduced the

  • phrase "too big to fail" to the financial media's vocabulary.

  • The premise for rescuing Continental was simple: the bank had many global bondholders,

  • big investors, and the government feared that the bondholders might pull their money out

  • of all American banks if they saw that a bank like Continental could fail. That might have

  • stemmed a short-term panic, but it created a long-term monster. The government had effectively

  • said to financial markets: if you lend money to a big bank, it's just like lending money

  • to the U.S. Treasury -- only it's better because the banks will pay you more interest

  • than you can get from your Treasury bonds.

  • And so money poured in from investors. The banks got bigger... and more reckless.

  • And when the next crisis rippled through the financial industry, there was Uncle Sam,

  • ready with his checkbook.

  • In 1998 the government, this time under Democrat Bill Clinton bailed out Long-Term Capital

  • Management, a hedge fund that teetered at the edge of bankruptcy and threatened to drag

  • some big banks down with it. The message to the banks was clearer than ever: take bigger risks.

  • Uncle Sam would be there, if any thing went wrong.

  • Indeed, as I noted, early in the crisis, in March 2008, the government brokered the purchase

  • of the Bear, Stearns investment bank (to JP Morgan) to save its bondholders and other

  • creditors from suffering huge losses. And that summer, Washington rescued Fannie Mae

  • and Freddie Mac, the giant government sponsored mortgage companies.

  • It's the fact that the government didn't rescue Lehman Brothers that set off the 2008 panic

  • because the financial world simply assumed that Uncle Sam would. Would we have been better

  • off had the government saved Lehman's? Maybe in the short run. But it's likely that crisis

  • would have occurred anyway. Because banks assumed that the government would always bail

  • them out, their risk models by 2008 were all out of whack; conservative practices,

  • like lending only to credit-worthy borrowers, a relic of the past.

  • What's the solution? How do we bring sanity back to the financial industry? Not by passing

  • thousands of new regulations. The banks' army of accountants, lawyers and lobbyists can

  • always work their way around those. The solution is that the government must stop guaranteeing

  • the big banks' losses. Only then will bondholders, the big investors like pension funds and insurance

  • companies, who lend the financial sector the money they need to operate,

  • have an incentive to police the industry.

  • It's that simple.

  • I'm Nicole Gelinas, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, for Prager University.

In 2008, America experienced the biggest meltdown of its financial sector since the Great Depression.

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政府是否應該救助大銀行? (Should Government Bail Out Big Banks?)

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    周杰 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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