Name: 伊朗戰爭將如何摧毀美國經濟，並創造一個全新的世界格局？！ 🤯 (The Iran War Will Crash The US Economy and Create a New World Order)
Uploaded: 2026-03-06T18:17:50.000Z
Duration: 26 min 37 s

情態副詞

Most people have no idea that the war against Iran is actually a war against China.

大多數人不知道，這場對伊朗的戰爭，其實是對中國的戰爭。

轉承詞

The strategy is to stop China from growing because mathematically China will overtake the United States as the world's largest economy.

這個策略是要阻止中國成長，因為數學上，中國將會超越美國，成為世界最大的經濟體。

But if this war is going to continue for at least a year, it is going to fundamentally change the entire world.

但如果這場戰爭要持續至少一年，它將會徹底改變整個世界。

So 12 months from the moment that I am recording this video, we will be living in a world that we called a New World Order.

所以，從我錄製這段影片的時刻算起，12個月後，我們將活在一個我們稱之為新世界秩序的世界裡。

So in this video I will explain how the United States is going to contain China through this war.

所以在這段影片裡，我會解釋美國將如何透過這場戰爭來遏制中國。

But it's a double edged sword that could potentially create a huge financial crisis in the United States.

但這是一把雙面刃，可能會在美國引發巨大的金融危機。

China's GDP currently is about $20 trillion, while the US GDP is $30 trillion.

中國目前的 GDP 大約是 20 兆美元，而美國的 GDP 是 30 兆美元。

And by looking at these two numbers, you can see that the US economy is a much larger economy.

從這兩個數字來看，你可以發現美國的經濟體是個大得多的經濟體。

So if you have more money, you have a much larger military, which means that you are going to project much more power.

所以如果你有更多的錢，你就會有更大的軍隊，這意味著你將能投射更多的力量。

Since 1945, the US economy has been the world's largest economy.

自從 1945 年以來，美國經濟一直是世界上最大的經濟體。

And that allowed the United States to have the global reserve currency.

這讓美國擁有了全球的儲備貨幣。

That allowed the United States to have military bases all across the globe.

這讓美國能在全球各地設立軍事基地。

But these two numbers are misleading because if you look at the GDP per capita, then China has a $14,000 GDP, which is, well, the United States is $90,000.

但這兩個數字有點誤導，因為如果你看人均GDP，中國的人均GDP是 14,000 美元，而美國是 90,000 美元。

So GDP per capita is when you take the entire size of the economy and you divide it by the number of people.

所以人均GDP就是把整個經濟規模除以人口數。

So in the US it's $90,000 and in China it's $14,000.

在美國是 90,000 美元，在中國是 14,000 美元。

So China has a lot more room to grow than the United States.

所以中國的成長空間比美國大很多。

For the United States to double its GDP to $180,000 per capita, it will be extremely difficult.

美國要把人均GDP翻倍到 180,000 美元，會非常困難。

But China, if it goes to 28 or $30,000 per capita, which is literally like the average GDP all across the European Union, then suddenly the total GDP of China will be about $40 trillion, while the US GDP is $30 trillion.

但中國如果達到人均 28,000 或 30,000 美元，這差不多就是歐盟的平均GDP，那麼中國的總GDP就會變成大約 40 兆美元，而美國的GDP是 30 兆美元。

So mathematically, just because China has far more people than the United States, China is simply going to overtake the United States.

所以從數學上來說，光是因為中國的人口遠多於美國，中國就將超越美國。

And if China is going to grow its GDP to as much as the United States, which is $90,000, then the Chinese GDP will be $120,000.

而如果中國要將其 GDP 成長到如同美國的 90,000 美元，那麼中國的 GDP 將會是 120,000 美元。

So if we make the assumption that China is going to be as rich as the United States, maybe not today, let's say 20 years from now, then China's GDP is projected to be $120 trillion simply because it has far more people than the United States.

所以，如果我們假設中國會在 20 年後，變得跟美國一樣富裕，那麼僅僅因為中國人口遠多於美國，中國的 GDP 就預計會達到 120 兆美元。

For the United States to grow its population to over a billion people.

至於美國要將人口成長到超過十億。

It is going to take a couple of centuries.

Look, over the last couple of years, there has been a lot of migration to the United States, and

你看，過去幾年，有很多人移民到美國，

Now you're going to deport all of these people outside the United States.

現在你要把這些人全部驅逐出美國。

And if you solely rely on birth rates, then you can forget about surpassing China at the number of the population.

而如果只依賴出生率，那麼你就別想在人口數量上超越中國了。

Now, the second advantage China has over the United States is that China is the manufacturing powerhouse.

現在，中國相較於美國的第二個優勢是，中國是製造業強國。

Just to give you one example, half of the global commercial ships are built in China, While less than 1% of global commercial ships are built in the United States.

舉個例子，全球一半的商船都在中國建造，而美國建造的商船不到全球的1%。

And if you're trying to project power, especially if you want to protect the global seas because you want to take control of the global shipping routes, then you need a lot of ships.

如果你想展現實力，特別是如果你想保護全球海域，因為你想掌控全球航運路線，那麼你就需要很多船。

And if you don't build ships, because you can't build ships, but, but

如果你不造船，因為你造不了船，但是，但是

your superior or your competitor builds half of the global ships, then again, you can do the math.

你的上級或競爭對手建造了全球一半的船，那麼，你就可以自己算算。

If you look at all the American companies, most of them manufacture their products in China because it's much more cost effective.

如果你看看所有美國公司，它們大多都在中國製造產品，因為這樣成本效益更高。

The cost of Chinese labor is a lot cheaper, but

中國的勞動力成本便宜很多，但是

because China has built the supply chains that it makes it much more effective to build it there.

因為中國已經建立了供應鏈，這使得在那裡生產的效率更高。

Do you know any Chinese company, especially advanced technology companies, that manufactures anything in the United States?

你有聽過任何中國公司，特別是高科技公司，會在美國製造產品嗎？

And bringing that manufacturing back to the United States is not going to happen overnight.

而且要把製造業帶回美國，這不是一蹴可幾的。

It will take at least a couple of decades for that to happen.

這至少需要幾十年的時間才能實現。

So here is Trump's plan to stop China from growing.

所以川普的計畫就是阻止中國成長。

First of all, you want to impose tariffs on China because China relies on exports to grow its economy.

首先，你想要對中國課徵關稅，因為中國經濟成長依賴出口。

If the main driver of your economy is to manufacture cheaply and export it to the rest of the world, and

如果你的經濟主要動力是低價製造並出口到全世界，

the US Consumer market is the world's largest market.

而美國的消費者市場是全球最大的市場。

If you cut off China from the United States, suddenly, China will stop making hundreds of billions of dollars, and

如果你切斷中國與美國的聯繫，突然之間，中國就會停止賺取數千億美元，

And if you look at Trump's actions, the moment he introduced tariffs, he went to as high as 180%.

而且如果你看看川普的行動，在他推出關稅的那一刻，他最高漲到180%。

When your tariff rate is 180%, it is no longer about protecting your industries.

當你的關稅稅率是180%的時候，這就不是在保護你的產業了。

It is literally about stopping United States from.

But the Supreme Court had successfully canceled Trump's tariffs, and

但最高法院成功取消了川普的關稅，

now that card that Trump had over China is no longer available.

現在川普對中國的那張王牌已經不再有了。

So China can continue selling in the United States, making hundreds of billions of dollars.

所以中國可以繼續在美國銷售，賺取數千億美元。

And it's on track to grow its GDP to $120 trillion.

並且有望將其GDP成長到120兆美元。

but to overtake the United States as the world's largest economy, assuming that there won't be any kind of wars that will happen in 10 years from now.

但要超越美國成為世界最大經濟體，前提是未來十年內不會發生任何戰爭。

Since that did not work out, now the United States is imposing another strategy.

既然那招沒用，美國現在就採取了另一種策略。

What if we deprive China from energy because 50% of Chinese oil goes through the Strait of Hormuz?

如果我們切斷中國的能源供應，因為中國一半的石油都經過荷姆茲海峽，那會怎樣？

Now, Gulf countries produce a lot of oil and historically they've been the main supplier of oil to the United States.

現在，波斯灣國家生產大量石油，歷史上他們一直是美國的主要石油供應國。

But since then, the United States have learned the lesson, especially from the oil shock of 1970s.

但從那時起，美國就學到教訓了，尤其是從1970年代的石油危機。

And now guess which country is the largest manufacturer of oil in the world.

現在猜猜哪個國家是世界上最大的石油生產國？

But China doesn't actually have oil and gas, so they are forced to import that from other nations, especially Middle east and Russia.

但中國其實沒有石油和天然氣，所以他們被迫從其他國家進口，特別是中東和俄羅斯。

And now, because we are waging a war against Iran, Iran is closing the Strait of Hormuz, where half of the Chinese energy passes through.

現在，因為我們正在對伊朗開戰，伊朗關閉了荷姆茲海峽，而中國一半的能源都經過這裡。

And the United States can say that it is not our fault, we did not actually close this trade of Hormuz.

美國可以說這不是我們的錯，我們並沒有真的關閉荷姆茲的貿易。

It is the Iran did and Iran is your ally.

是伊朗做的，而伊朗是你的盟友。

So pressure Iran to stop closing this trade of Hormuz.

所以要施壓伊朗，讓他們停止關閉荷姆茲海峽的貿易。

So basically with this action, the United States of America just depleted China with half of its energy.

所以基本上，美國的這項行動，就讓中國失去了一半的能源供應。

Now secondly, that is instantly going to shoot oil prices to the roof.

現在油價已經衝破了81塊美金。

And if this war is going to be prolonged for another month or so, energy prices can rise to $120, $150, maybe even $200.

如果這場戰爭再持續一個月左右，能源價格可能會漲到120、150，甚至200塊美金。

And because Russia and Iran has been supplying China with cheap oil, because their oil is sanctioned and they had to sell it to China at a huge discount, now it's no longer the case.

俄羅斯和伊朗過去一直以便宜的油供應中國，因為他們的油被制裁，所以得大幅折價賣給中國，但現在情況不一樣了。

Russia could basically say, listen, you don't have any other option.

俄羅斯基本上可以說，聽著，你沒有其他選擇了。

If you need oil, you get a pay market price.

如果你需要石油，你就得付市場價。

Or maybe because you have no other option, we are going to charge you much more.

或者因為你沒有其他選擇，我們會向你收取更高的價格。

Remember when we were in crisis, we had to sell you below market price.

還記得我們以前危機的時候，不得不打折賣給你。

So suddenly the cost of energy is significantly going to rise.

所以能源成本突然會大幅上漲。

Now, when you have factories and you're manufacturing everything, the most important cost is the cost of energy.

現在，當你有工廠，生產所有東西時，最重要的成本就是能源成本。

So if we are going to substantially grow the price of oil, suddenly manufacturing in China is going to become so insanely expensive that companies will be forced to get out.

所以如果我們要大幅提高油價，中國的製造業突然會變得貴到不行，公司會被迫離開。

First of all, American companies such as Apple that are manufacturing in China, they are the first to get out but even Chinese companies, they will see that it is not economically viable to continue manufacturing in China.

首先，像 Apple 這種在中國設廠的美國公司，他們會是第一批離開的，但就連中國公司也會發現繼續在中國製造，經濟上根本不划算。

So even they could outsource their manufacturing just like the United States States did over the last 50 years.

所以他們甚至可以外包製造，就像美國過去50年做的一樣。

So basically China will do that not because it want to do so, but

所以基本上中國會這麼做，不是因為他們想這麼做，

Will energy prices rise in the United States?

Well, of course, but the United States is not importing anything from Middle East.

嗯，當然會，但美國並沒有從中東進口任何東西。

Most of the American energy either comes from Canada because American refineries are built to refine harsh oil, hard oil.

大部分的美國能源來自加拿大，因為美國的煉油廠是為煉製重質原油而建的。

So Canadian oil is perfect for the American refineries.

所以加拿大原油對美國煉油廠來說是完美的。

Now, because the United States have actually controlled Venezuela, Venezuelan oil is also perfect for American refineries.

現在，因為美國實際上已經控制了委內瑞拉，委內瑞拉的石油對美國煉油廠來說也是完美的。

So America is basically confident that us is not going to go through any kind of energy crises, which might be a good reason for so many American companies to come back to the United States and bring with them manufacturing.

所以美國基本上有信心不會經歷任何能源危機，這可能是許多美國公司迴流美國並帶來製造業的好理由。

Thirdly, China has launched Belt and Road Initiative.

第三，中國發起了「一帶一路」倡議。

So the point of this initiative was that, that we are going to create land corridors from China to the European Union so that we don't have to rely on the sea because the seas are controlled by the U.S.

這個倡議的重點是，我們要從中國到歐洲聯盟建立陸路走廊，這樣我們就不必依賴海洋，因為海洋是由美國控制的。

The U.S. navy is the world's most powerful navy.

美國海軍是世界上最強大的海軍。