Name: 即將到來的衰退比 2008 年更糟糕，將持續幾十年 (What’s Coming is Worse Than 2008 Recession, It Will Last For Decades)
Uploaded: 2025-08-20T18:00:18.000Z
Duration: 46 min 35 s

未來簡單式

There are a lot of talks about the US national debt and a lot of people start talking about the fact that the United States will never pay off its debts.

關於美國國債的討論不絕於耳，很多人開始談論美國將永遠無法償還債務這一事實。

動名詞

And people start thinking about the fact that this is a serious problem.

人們開始思考，這是一個嚴重的問題。

to 不定詞

Because if you go to the bank and you borrow money and you won't be able to pay that money back, then you will default on your loan and that is a bankruptcy.

因為如果你去銀行借錢，卻無力償還，那麼你就會拖欠貸款，這就是破產。

And when you are bankrupt, your entire financial life goes down and if a country does something like that, then that is pretty much the end of that country.

當你破產時，你的整個經濟生活都會陷入困境，如果一個國家做出這樣的事情，那麼這個國家也就差不多完了。

Something like that has happened to some countries like Greece and Italy and they barely paid off their debts.

希臘和意大利等國也曾發生過類似的情況，但它們幾乎沒有償還債務。

But if something like that would happen to the US, then it's a catastrophe.

但如果這樣的事情發生在美國，那就是一場災難。

However, it's not literally as bad as you think.

不過，情況並沒有你想象的那麼糟糕。

In fact, the US national debt, which is around 36 or maybe 37 trillion dollars, is the greatest asset that the United States has.

事實上，約 36 或 37 萬億美元的美國國債是美國擁有的最大資產。

And that is something very unusual, you might not have heard about it.

這是一件非常不尋常的事情，你可能從未聽說過。

But here in this video, I am going to prove to you that the fact that the United States has so much debt is actually fantastic.

但在這段視頻中，我將向你們證明，美國有如此多的債務，其實是一件非常了不起的事情。

Now some of you might already accuse me that you are a puppet that have been bought by politicians to say something like that.

現在，有些人可能已經指責我，說你是被政客收買的傀儡，才會說出這樣的話。

But here in this video, I don't want to share my opinions.

但在這段視頻中，我不想分享我的觀點。

Here in this video, I am going to show you the facts.

在本視頻中，我將向您展示事實。

I will show you what's happening behind the scenes.

我將向你展示幕後發生的一切。

And you will judge by yourself by the end of this video how did the greatest country that has ever existed on the planet earth ended up with the largest debt that has ever been accumulated in the history of humanity.

本視頻結束後，您將自行判斷，地球上有史以來最偉大的國家是如何揹負人類歷史上最大的債務的。

So if you are ready, please sit comfortably, get yourself a cup of coffee and make sure to give this video a thumbs up.

所以，如果你準備好了，請舒服地坐下來，給自己倒杯咖啡，一定要為這段視頻豎起大拇指。

Now in order for us to understand what is happening over here, we have to go and take a quick look at the history because without understanding the history, none of these things makes actually sense.

現在，為了讓我們瞭解這裡發生的事情，我們必須去快速瞭解一下歷史，因為不瞭解歷史，這些事情都沒有實際意義。

你必須追溯到第二次世界大戰。

Now during World War II, the United States was actually involved in the war, but it was involved at the end of the war.

現在，在第二次世界大戰期間，美國實際上參與了戰爭，但它是在戰爭結束時參與的。

For most of the war that started since like 1938 or 1939, the United States was a supplier.

從 1938 年或 1939 年開始的大部分戰爭中，美國都是供應國。

So Britain and the allies fought the war against Hitler and their central powers.

是以，英國和盟國與希特勒及其中央勢力展開了戰爭。

And the United States main job was to supply the allies with weapons, to supply them with food, to supply them with equipment, and to supply them with everything that is possible.

美國的主要任務是向盟國提供武器、糧食、裝備，以及一切可能的供應。

So look at the US economy before World War I, before World War II, and it's pretty much not in a really great shape.

是以，看看第一次世界大戰前和第二次世界大戰前的美國經濟，它的狀況並不是很好。

The United States was growing through the greatest crisis in its history.

美國正在經歷其歷史上最大的危機。

And now there is so much demand that every single business within the United States could produce anything it wants and it will be sold.

現在，需求如此之大，以至於美國國內的每一家企業都可以生產任何想要的東西，而且都能賣出去。

Because Britain cannot feed itself, Britain cannot produce enough weapons for itself, USSR cannot produce enough food to feed its people.

因為英國無法養活自己，英國無法為自己生產足夠的武器，蘇聯無法生產足夠的糧食養活自己的人民。

So everybody in the United States was producing everything and the US became a manufacturing powerhouse.

是以，美國的每個人都在生產一切，美國成為了製造業強國。

Like by the end of the war, by 1945, United States was producing pretty much 75% of everything that has been ever produced at that particular year.

戰爭結束後，到 1945 年，美國的產量幾乎佔當年生產總量的 75%。

But then the war was over, what do you do?

So every business is booming because there is demand.

是以，每個行業都在蓬勃發展，因為有需求。

When there is demand, you create the supply.

However, the war is over and there is no longer as much demand as it was back in the 1940s.

然而，戰爭已經結束，需求不再像 20 世紀 40 年代那樣旺盛。

And that is something the United States did not want to.

Because right before World War II, the United States went through the greatest crisis in its history, the Great Depression of 1929 and it only ended when World War II started.

因為就在二戰之前，美國經歷了歷史上最嚴重的危機--1929 年的大蕭條，直到二戰開始才結束。

So what do you do in order to solve that problem?

那麼，該如何解決這個問題呢？

You want the rest of the world to be able to trade with you and when you do that and you keep selling to the rest of the world your equipment, your weapons, your food, your agricultural products, whatever you can possibly produce.

你希望世界其他國家能夠與你進行貿易，而當你做到這一點，並不斷向世界其他國家出售你的裝備、武器、食品、農產品，以及任何你可能生產的東西時。

And that's how you keep the economy growing.

And that's why right after World War II, or I would say in the middle of World War II, which was at this time, I think it was like 1944, the most powerful people in the history have gathered in Bretton Woods and they got together in order to create a system so that the global trade starts flourishing right after the war is over. 44 nations.

這就是為什麼在二戰結束後，或者說在二戰中期，也就是1944年，歷史上最有權勢的人聚集在佈雷頓森林，他們聚集在一起，以便建立一個體系，使全球貿易在戰爭結束後立即開始蓬勃發展。44個國家

I'm talking about the most influential people you can think about.

我說的是你能想到的最有影響力的人。

I'm talking about the head of the Fed of the United States, the Secretary of the Treasury of the United States, the head of the Central Bank of England, the head of Central Bank of France and another 44 nations that were directly involved in World War II.

我說的是美國聯邦儲備委員會主席、美國財政部長、英格蘭中央銀行行長、法國中央銀行行長以及其他 44 個直接參與二戰的國家。

So they got together and they started thinking, how can we create a system that is going to let global trade to flourish even after the war is over?

於是，他們聚集在一起，開始思考：我們如何才能建立一個在戰爭結束後仍能讓全球貿易蓬勃發展的體系？

Now, at that time, the world was still trading at the gold standard.

當時，世界仍在按照金本位進行交易。

The gold standard was basically a system where every single currency had a paper currency, but that paper currency was directly linked to the gold.

金本位制基本上是一種每種貨幣都有紙幣，但紙幣與黃金直接掛鉤的制度。

So if, for example, one country trades with another country, let's say Britain buys equipments from the United States and it's going to pay the United States in British pound, the United States can take those British pounds and convert them into gold through their Bank of England.

是以，舉例來說，如果一個國家與另一個國家進行貿易，比方說英國從美國購買設備，並將以英鎊支付給美國，那麼美國就可以通過英格蘭銀行將這些英鎊兌換成黃金。

That was the system that existed prior to 1945.

這就是 1945 年之前存在的制度。

But there was a serious problem after 1945.

但 1945 年後出現了一個嚴重的問題。

Well, the entire world found itself in a position where 75 to 80% of all the gold that existed on planet earth was in the United States for two simple reasons.

由於兩個簡單的原因，全世界發現自己處於這樣一個境地：地球上所有黃金的 75% 到 80% 都在美國。

The reason number one was that, for example, Britain had a lot of gold, but if Britain would have lost the war to their central powers, there was no longer a Britain, which is why Britain was ready to kind of exchange all of its gold that it had and has been accumulating for centuries in order to acquire equipment and food and feed its soldiers in order to win World War II.

第一個原因是，例如，英國擁有大量黃金，但如果英國在戰爭中輸給了他們的中央強國，那麼英國就不復存在了，這就是為什麼英國為了贏得第二次世界大戰的勝利，準備將其擁有的、積累了幾個世紀的黃金全部換成裝備和糧食，並養活阿兵哥。

And the same thing was with every other country that was involved in World War II.

參與第二次世界大戰的其他國家也是如此。

Remember I told you that the US economy peaked in 1945 and the US economy wasn't selling everything with fiat currency.

記得我告訴過你，美國經濟在 1945 年達到頂峰，美國經濟並不是用法定貨幣來銷售一切。

It was selling everything in exchange for gold, and that is why most of the gold ended up in the United States.

它賣掉了所有東西來換取黃金，這就是大部分黃金最終流入美國的原因。

Now the second reason behind that was that because most of the gold prior to 1940s was in Europe and then there was a World War II, guess what the European countries did?

第二個原因是，20 世紀 40 年代之前，大部分黃金都在歐洲，後來發生了第二次世界大戰，你猜歐洲國家做了什麼？

Some of them literally took their gold and they shipped them to the United States because United States was the safest place in the world.

他們中的一些人真的把黃金運到了美國，因為美國是世界上最安全的地方。

United States was far away from all this conflict zone.

Like World War II did not take place on US soil, it did not even take place on the American continent.

就像第二次世界大戰不是發生在美國本土，甚至不是發生在美洲大陸。

It was mostly taking place in the European continent and the Asian continent, which is why most of the gold ended up in the United States.

這主要發生在歐洲大陸和亞洲大陸，這也是為什麼大部分黃金最終流向了美國。

So they came up with a very brilliant and interesting system in order to make sure that global trade flourishes.

是以，他們想出了一個非常聰明和有趣的系統，以確保全球貿易的蓬勃發展。

Now instead of us actually fighting for it, why don't we simply take all the gold that we have and literally take the United States dollar, fix the United States dollar to the gold at $35 an ounce.

現在，與其讓我們為它而戰，不如干脆把我們擁有的所有黃金都拿出來，把美元和黃金固定在每盎司 35 美元的價位上。

So the rest of the world, instead of actually, even if they don't have the gold, they can trade with the US dollar and whoever wants the physical gold out here, they can take the dollar and come to the United States and just exchange it.

是以，世界其他國家，即使沒有黃金，也可以用美元進行交易，而不是實際上，無論誰想要這裡的實物黃金，都可以拿著美元到美國來兌換。

So Japan can trade with Germany, Germany can trade with France, and France can trade with the British economy and vice versa, of course, and that is how we are going to restore the global trade.

是以，日本可以與德國進行貿易，德國可以與法國進行貿易，法國可以與英國經濟進行貿易，當然反之亦然，這就是我們恢復全球貿易的方式。

Because you guys, nobody has enough gold.

因為你們，沒有人有足夠的黃金。

So let's make sure that the US dollar is going to be the only country in the world that will have the gold standard and the US dollar is going to be the equivalent of the gold because you can change that US dollar to gold.

是以，讓我們確保美元將成為世界上唯一實行金本位制的國家，美元將等同於黃金，因為你可以把美元換成黃金。

That is how after World War II, the global trade started flourishing and every country was trading with the rest of the world.

是以，第二次世界大戰後，全球貿易開始蓬勃發展，每個國家都與世界其他國家開展貿易。

The United States came up with a brilliant strategy in order to keep its economy growing.

為了保持經濟增長，美國想出了一個絕妙的策略。

We are going to check and help all of these countries that want to be our allies, we will help them to grow their economy.

我們將檢查並幫助所有這些希望成為我們盟友的國家，我們將幫助他們發展經濟。

So for example, if the US goes and helps the British economy to grow, the British economy cannot grow by itself.

是以，舉例來說，如果美國去幫助英國經濟增長，英國經濟本身是無法增長的。

They need equipment from the United States.

They need experts from the United States.

They need economists from the United States.

他們需要來自美國的經濟學家。

They need agricultural products from the United States.

So if the British economy flourishes, so does the US economy.

是以，如果英國經濟繁榮，美國經濟也會繁榮。

And now take the exact same logic and apply it to every other European country and apply it to every other country that was destroyed after World War II.

現在，把完全相同的邏輯應用到其他所有歐洲國家，應用到其他所有在二戰後被摧毀的國家。

When those countries are going to get rich, let's say France.

當這些國家要富裕起來的時候，比方說法國。

It was destroyed in World War II and now France is becoming a rich country.

它在第二次世界大戰中被摧毀，現在法國正成為一個富裕的國家。

Now they can afford more American goods and products.

現在，他們可以買得起更多的美國商品和產品。

Now they can afford more American weapons.

現在，他們買得起更多的美國武器了。

Now they can afford more American technology.

現在，他們可以負擔得起更多的美國技術。

So the United States after World War II created two fundamental financial institutions.

是以，美國在二戰後創建了兩個基本的金融機構。

Number one, the IMF and the second one is the World Bank.

第一個是國際貨幣基金組織，第二個是世界銀行。

The job of the World Bank was to make sure and help the poor people in order to get rich to the point where the US can keep trading with them.

世界銀行的工作就是確保並幫助窮人致富，使美國能夠繼續與他們進行貿易。

The job of the IMF was that if the economy is already strong, if the economy is already advanced and it goes into a crisis, the IMF is going to enter into that economy and will make sure that economy survives that crisis and keeps actually buying from the United States.

國際貨幣基金組織的工作是，如果一個經濟體已經很強大，如果一個經濟體已經很發達，如果它陷入危機，國際貨幣基金組織將進入該經濟體，確保該經濟體在危機中生存下來，並繼續從美國購買商品。

And these two financial institutions will fundamentally use the dollar in order to do that, which is how more countries are going to use the dollar.

而這兩家金融機構將從根本上利用美元來實現這一目標，這也是更多國家使用美元的方式。

Because remember, back in 1950s and 60s, the United States had most of the gold in the world and the dollar was the only currency that was equivalent to the dollar.

因為還記得，在上世紀五六十年代，美國擁有世界上大部分的黃金，美元是唯一與美元等值的貨幣。

So if we're going back, for example, to that period, we know that most of these countries started using the dollar because they had no other option.

是以，舉例來說，如果我們回到那個時期，我們知道這些國家中的大多數開始使用美元是因為他們別無選擇。

Of course, back in the day, we had a country like USSR and then we have the communist China that actually isolated itself from the Western world.

當然，在過去，我們有蘇聯這樣的國家，也有實際上與西方世界隔絕的共產主義中國。

But nonetheless, if we are talking about most of the advanced economies back in the days, then the United States was literally trading with them and making itself wealthier and  Now, there is another thing that you have to understand is that if you go back to that period and you take a look at this chart, you suddenly realize that this is the gold reserves of the United States.

但儘管如此，如果我們談論的是當年的大多數發達經濟體，那麼美國實際上是在與它們進行貿易，使自己變得更加富裕。 現在，你必須明白的另一件事是，如果你回到那個時期，看看這張圖表，你會突然意識到，這是美國的黃金儲備。

Back in 1950s, the gold reserves picked around 25,000 cubic tons.

上世紀 50 年代，黃金儲量約為 2.5 萬立方米。

But then you see a sharp decline that goes dramatically to less than 10,000 back in 1970s.

但隨後就出現了急劇下降，到 20 世紀 70 年代已大幅下降到不足 10 000 人。

How exactly did the United States in such a short period of time lost most of its gold?

美國究竟是如何在如此短的時間內失去大部分黃金的？