Name: "大多數人不知道美國即將發生什麼" (“Most People Have No Idea What’s About To Happen To US”)
Uploaded: 2025-08-16T18:31:17.000Z
Duration: 28 min 32 s

基礎數量詞

Most people have no idea why President Trump is imposing so many tariffs.

大多數人都不知道特朗普總統為什麼要徵收這麼多關稅。

現在進行式

If you look at the market, everything is crushing, every stock right now is going down, and the possibility of a recession is growing day by day.

如果你看看市場，一切都在崩潰，現在每隻股票都在下跌，經濟衰退的可能性與日俱增。

進階程度副詞句型

And economists are even predicting that the next couple of years are going to be some of the worst years in the history of the United States, and prices are going to go so high that most people cannot even comprehend that right now.

經濟學家甚至預測，未來幾年將是美國曆史上最糟糕的幾年，物價會漲到大多數人現在都無法理解的程度。

So people are starting to wonder why exactly Trump is doing that.

是以，人們開始好奇，特朗普究竟為什麼要這麼做。

Is he purposely crushing the stock market?

What is the ultimate goal behind his plan to impose so many tariffs?

他計劃徵收這麼多關稅的最終目的是什麼？

And these are some of the questions that I want to clarify here in this video, so that you understand what is the end goal, what is the end plan, what exactly Trump is taking the United States, and what are the fundamental changes that Trump is making to the US economy and the global economy.

這些都是我想在這段視頻中澄清的一些問題，以便大家瞭解特朗普的最終目標是什麼，最終計劃是什麼，特朗普究竟要把美國帶向何方，特朗普要對美國經濟和全球經濟做出哪些根本性改變。

So from now onwards, you won't have any questions why Trump suddenly is imposing a 100% tariff on the European Union, a 25% tariff on China, a 200% tariff on French wine, a 500% tariff on whatever that comes into his mind the next morning.

是以，從現在開始，你不會再有任何疑問，為什麼特朗普突然要對歐盟徵收 100%的關稅，對中國徵收 25%的關稅，對法國葡萄酒徵收 200%的關稅，對他第二天早上想到的任何東西征收 500%的關稅。

When you understand what I will explain here in this video, you will have a far better understanding of Trump's plan and what exactly he is trying to do.

當你理解了我在這段視頻中要解釋的內容後，你就會對特朗普的計劃以及他到底要做什麼有更深的理解。

So if you are ready, give this video a thumbs up and let's dive in.

所以，如果你已經準備好了，請豎起大拇指點贊這段視頻，讓我們一起來學習吧。

Now to understand what exactly is doing Trump, you have to understand one simple fact, the United States is in a huge trouble.

現在要了解特朗普究竟在做什麼，你必須明白一個簡單的事實：美國正陷入巨大的麻煩之中。

And that is the trouble that we have already discussed multiple times in this channel.

這就是我們在本頻道已經討論過多次的問題。

We talked about the rising national debt, we talked about the interest payments that the United States has to do.

我們談到了不斷上升的國債，談到了美國必須支付的利息。

And if you look at this graph, it will explain to you one of the fundamental reasons why the United States is in such a crisis that it's right now.

如果你看看這張圖，你就會明白為什麼美國現在會陷入如此危機的根本原因之一。

Up until recently, like up until 1980s, the United States was actually the main exporter to the rest of the world because it was actually producing much more than it was actually spending.

直到最近，比如直到 20 世紀 80 年代，美國實際上一直是世界其他國家的主要出口國，因為美國的實際產量遠遠高於實際支出。

On one side, you are making money, on the other side, you are spending money.

And if you get that wrong, instantly you will be in financial trouble.

如果你弄錯了，馬上就會陷入財務困境。

And for the longest period in the history of the United States, the United States was actually producing far more than it's earning.

在美國曆史上最長的一段時期內，美國的實際產量遠遠超過其收入。

It is the fundamental reason that made the United States such a wealthy economy and the most powerful country that has ever existed in the world.

這是美國經濟如此富裕、成為世界上有史以來最強大國家的根本原因。

But that trend has changed, especially when Reagan became the president.

但這種趨勢已經改變，尤其是里根成為總統之後。

The United States suddenly started spending way more than it's earning.

美國突然開始支出遠遠超過收入。

And that's when the national debt of the US started to rise.

就在那時，美國的國債開始上升。

And when that gets out of get back to the previous lifestyle before you actually started making so much money.

當這種情況消失後，你就會回到以前的生活方式，然後才真正開始賺大錢。

Now, let me give you a very simple example to illustrate that.

現在，讓我舉一個非常簡單的例子來說明這一點。

Suppose you are making $100,000 and you are living on $80,000 and you are able to save 20% of your income or $20,000 annually.

假設您的收入為 100,000 美元，而您的生活費為 80,000 美元，您每年可以儲蓄收入的 20% 或 20,000 美元。

You can take that $20,000 invested in the stock market and over time, over a period of 20, 30, 40 years, you will build a substantial wealth.

你可以將這 2 萬美元投資於股票市場，隨著時間的推移，經過 20 年、30 年、40 年，你將積累大量財富。

But if you save much more than that, let's say you are going to save $50,000 annually, and you are going to invest it for a longer period, so just not 20, 30 years, but instead you will invest it for a period of 50, 60 or 100 years.

但是，如果你的儲蓄遠不止於此，比方說，你每年要儲蓄 5 萬美元，而且要投資更長的時間，所以就不是 20 年、30 年，而是 50 年、60 年或 100 年。

Or maybe when it comes to the United States, the entire history of the United States.

或者說，說到美國，整個美國的歷史都是如此。

So you are going to build a substantial wealth.

However, now take the exact same equation and turn it upside down and you will see where the problem comes.

然而，現在把完全相同的等式顛倒過來，你就會發現問題所在。

What if you, instead, when you are earning $100,000, you are living on a paycheck of $150,000.

如果你的收入是 10 萬美元，而你的生活費是 15 萬美元呢？

Well, obviously you have to get it from somewhere, it doesn't fall out of the sky.

很明顯，你必須從某個地方得到它，它不會從天上掉下來。

So this graph illustrates the fact that the United States, starting from the 1980s or probably late 1970s, it started living on massive amounts of debts and that's why the US national debt at this point has grown to around 38 trillion dollars.

是以，這張圖說明了一個事實，即美國從 20 世紀 80 年代開始，大概是 20 世紀 70 年代末，就開始依靠鉅額債務生活，這就是為什麼美國的國債目前已經增長到 38 萬億美元左右。

And as of the time that I am recording this video, the trade imbalance between the United States is 1.2 trillion dollars.

截至我錄製這段視頻時，美國之間的貿易不平衡已達 1.2 萬億美元。

The United States trades with the rest of the world.

美國與世界其他國家開展貿易。

The US, for example, manufactures a lot of products such as Teslas, iPhones, Amazon products, Netflix, and it exports it to the rest of the world.

例如，美國製造了大量產品，如特斯拉、iPhone、亞馬遜產品、Netflix，並出口到世界其他地方。

On the other side, the United States buys a lot of things from the rest of the world that comes to the United States.

另一方面，美國從世界其他國家購買了大量東西運往美國。

And for a very long period of time, the United States was actually exporting more than it's importing, especially if you go to 1930s and 1940s, and you can clearly see that in this graph.

在很長一段時間裡，美國的出口量實際上超過了進口量，尤其是在20世紀30年代和40年代，你可以從這張圖中清楚地看到這一點。

The US is no longer exporting as much, but mostly relying on importing stuff.

美國不再大量出口，而是主要依賴進口。

And if you are wondering what exactly made China so successful over the last 40 years, it's because instead of consuming so much, they simply started producing much more than they are consuming.

如果你想知道究竟是什麼讓中國在過去 40 年裡如此成功，那是因為他們不再大量消費，而是開始生產遠高於消費的產品。

The richer the people are, the more they are producing to the world.

人民越富裕，向世界提供的產品就越多。

Think about the richest people in the world.

Think about Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, or any billionaire that comes into mind.

想想傑夫-貝索斯（Jeff Bezos）、埃隆-馬斯克（Elon Musk）或任何你能想到的億萬富翁。

Yes, you might look at them and you will say, oh my gosh, these people are spending so much money.

是的，你可能會說，天哪，這些人花了這麼多錢。

They might be spending a million dollars a day in some cases, maybe more than that.

在某些情況下，他們每天可能要花費一百萬美元，甚至更多。

But on the other side, they have built companies that are producing far more than they can possibly spend.

但另一方面，他們建立的公司生產的產品遠遠超過了他們可能花費的資金。

Elon Musk, who's worth like what, 300 billion dollars, is he spending 300 billion dollars?

埃隆-馬斯克身價高達 3000 億美元，他要花 3000 億美元嗎？

Well, of course not, not even close to 300 billion dollars.

嗯，當然不是，離 3000 億美元還差得遠呢。

So the way to get rich is to produce far more than you are consuming.

是以，致富之道就是生產遠遠超過消費。

And over time, that gap is going to grow so much that will make you so rich, especially if you take that money and you reinvest it consistently somewhere, whether it's the real estate, stock market, a business, whatever your investment is.

隨著時間的推移，這種差距會越來越大，會讓你變得非常富有，特別是如果你把這些錢持續不斷地再投資到某個地方，無論是房地產、股市、企業，不管你的投資是什麼。

When China started rising dramatically, it's because it started producing so much, but it was consuming very little.

當中國開始大幅崛起時，這是因為它開始大量生產，但消費卻很少。

And to illustrate how big that is right now, you simply have to take a look at the chart that's right in front of you.

為了說明目前的規模有多大，你只需看看眼前的圖表。

First of all, the United States government runs a 1.8 trillion dollar deficit.

首先，美國政府有 1.8 萬億美元的赤字。

Again, where the government is taking so much money, it is getting it out of debt.

同樣，政府拿這麼多錢，也是為了還債。

You can't randomly get money out of nowhere.

The governments or corporations, nobody can print money out of thin air.

無論是政府還是企業，沒有人能憑空印出鈔票。

It might seem like that from the first perspective, but in reality, what is happening behind the scenes is that they are getting that money out of debt.

從第一視角看似乎是這樣，但實際上，在幕後發生的事情是，他們正在把這些錢從債務中解救出來。

Interest payments have gotten so high that they have tacked 1 trillion dollars in 2024.

利息支出越來越高，到 2024 年已達到 1 萬億美元。

And right now, the United States spends more on paying the interest than it spends on defense.

而現在，美國用於支付利息的開支超過了國防開支。

What makes the United States such a powerful country is because it spends on defense much more than probably the rest of the world happens in the United States.

美國之所以成為如此強大的國家，是因為它在國防上的花費可能遠遠超過世界其他國家。

And that allows the US to have such a powerful military that nobody could possibly match.

這使得美國擁有無人能及的強大軍事力量。

But now, because the US got so much debt over the last 50 years, the interest alone on that debt is over a trillion dollars and much more than the United States spends on defense.

但現在，由於美國在過去 50 年裡負債累累，僅債務利息就超過了一萬億美元，遠遠超過了美國的國防開支。

And it is the second largest spending of the US government.

這也是美國政府的第二大開支。

The only larger right now is the social security.

Do you now realize the magnitude of that problem?

你現在意識到這個問題的嚴重性了嗎？

And the problem with debt is that it does not stay where it is.

而債務的問題在於，它不會停留在原地。

So if you look at your credit card interest payments, for example, if you don't make them on time, suddenly next month you have to pay more than that.

所以，如果你看看你的信用卡利息付款，例如，如果你不按時還款，突然下個月你就必須支付比這更多的利息。

And over time, your debts are going to grow so much that you probably won't be able to make those payments.

隨著時間的推移，你的債務會越來越多，以至於你可能無法償還這些債務。

People get into a student loan and 20 years later, they find out that the entries on their loans have gotten so much that even if they work on two jobs, they won't be able to afford that.

人們申請了助學貸款，20 年後，他們發現貸款條目變得如此之多，即使他們打兩份工，也無法負擔得起。

Even if they are having a high paying job, they're making $100,000, $150,000, they still can't pay off their student debts.

即使他們有一份高薪工作，收入達到 10 萬美元或 15 萬美元，他們仍然無法償還學生債務。

好吧，我來告訴你發生了什麼。

The interest got so huge that you can't make the payments right now.

利息變得如此之高，以至於你現在無法償還。

And that is exactly what is happening with the United Trump perfectly understands that.

He has been talking about that way before he became the president.

在他成為總統之前，他就一直在談論這個問題。

And what makes the entire situation worse is that the US has to live below its means.

而讓整個情況變得更糟的是，美國不得不量入為出。

But in reality, it is living way above its means and overspending by 1.8 trillion dollars, which is catastrophic for long-term growth of the United States.

但實際上，它的生活遠遠超出了自己的能力，超支了 1.8 萬億美元，這對美國的長期發展是災難性的。

And if you look at any trend, this is the trend of the US government deficit over the next 8 to 10 years.

如果你看看任何趨勢，這就是未來 8 到 10 年美國政府赤字的趨勢。

And right now, we have a deficit of around $2 trillion.

而現在，我們有大約 2 萬億美元的赤字。

Some say it's like $1.2 trillion, but it's somewhere close to $2 trillion.

有人說是 1.2 萬億美元，但也有人說接近 2 萬億美元。

And over the next couple of years, based on the spending that the United States has right now, it is going to grow to like $3 trillion.

而在未來幾年，根據美國目前的支出，將增長到3萬億美元左右。

Can you possibly imagine that and where that money is going to go to?

你能想象這筆錢會流向哪裡嗎？

Now, what people don't understand is that you cannot cut interest payment spending.

現在，人們不明白的是，你不能削減利息支出。

If this is the minimum interest that you have to pay on the debt, you cannot avoid that.

如果這是您必須為債務支付的最低利息，您就無法避免。

Just imagine you have to pay the minimum payment on your credit card payments.

試想一下，你必須支付信用卡的最低還款額。

And if you don't make that minimum payment, you're going to default on that loan.

如果你不支付最低還款額，你就會拖欠貸款。

So even though that you're not paying off your debt, you're still making the minimum interest payment.

是以，即使你沒有還清債務，你仍然要支付最低利息。

And if the United States does not make its minimum interest payments, then the United States will be out of business and no one will loan money to the government.

如果美國不支付最低利息，那麼美國就會倒閉，沒有人會借錢給政府。

And the way they raise money right now is that the US borrows money in order to pay off its old debts.

而他們現在籌集資金的方式就是美國借錢來償還舊債。

And that's why you see the bond market is so huge because the United States consistently borrows money to pay off its older debts.

這就是為什麼你會看到債券市場如此龐大，因為美國一直在借錢償還舊債。

So if the trend continues the way it is right now, in 10 years probably, all the taxes that the US taxpayers are paying are not going to go into roads, they're not going to go into building schools, they're not going to go into improving the country, paying social security, improving the health care.

是以，如果這種趨勢繼續下去，10 年後，美國納稅人繳納的所有稅款將無法用於道路建設，無法用於學校建設，無法用於改善國家狀況、支付社會保障、改善醫療保健。

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"大多數人不知道美國即將發生什麼" (“Most People Have No Idea What’s About To Happen To US”)

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