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  • but I guess in this market, a lot of people are new to it and they want to make the fortune and then they want to find their way to Hodel their way through it.

    但我想在這個市場上,很多人都是新手,他們想賺取財富,然後他們想找到自己的方式,通過霍德爾的方式。

  • So let me ask you this been the Hodler's, which is by definition someone that that holds on for dear life, um, they're going to get punished badly in the bear market because they don't ever get out of positions.

    是以,讓我問你,霍德勒的人,顧名思義,就是堅持不懈的人,嗯,他們會在低迷的市場中受到嚴重的懲罰,因為他們從來沒有出過頭寸。

  • So what do you tell them or what do they do?

    那麼你告訴他們什麼,或者他們做什麼?

  • Just take the pain?

    就這樣忍痛割愛?

  • Well look, I I think huddling is uh, this may sound counterintuitive to what a lot of people are going to tell you, but huddling is not the optimal strategy.

    聽著,我認為抱團取暖是......這聽起來可能與很多人要告訴你的相悖,但抱團取暖並不是最佳策略。

  • It's a lazy strategy.

    這是個懶惰的策略。

  • And if you feel like, and this is where the word came from, a guy said, every time I make a trade, I lose literally every time I sell at the wrong time.

    如果你覺得,這就是這個詞的由來,一個人說,每次我做交易,每次在錯誤的時間賣出,我都會失去字面意義。

  • Now keep in mind when this was said, I think back in 2012, uh, you know, this was a typo from the word hold and it was spelled the word Hodel H O D L.

    現在請記住,當這句話被說出來的時候,我想是在2012年,呃,你知道,這是一個打字錯誤,從持有這個詞,它被拼成了Hodel H O D L。

  • And that's where this comes from.

    這就是這個問題的由來。

  • But at that time there were not educational resources available to everyone.

    但在當時,並沒有向每個人提供教育資源。

  • And on top of that, we didn't have content creators out there everywhere giving this message.

    除此之外,我們沒有內容創作者在那裡到處提供這個資訊。

  • And you didn't understand you didn't have the history of 3 to 4 recycles to go off of, you just had one, we've got so much more in our disposal.

    你不明白,你沒有3到4次回收的歷史,你只有一次,我們有這麼多東西可以處置。

  • Now, in my opinion, there's no excuse for anyone not to be able to sell near the top of the market doesn't have to be the exact day dollar cost average out, but there's no excuse for it to think about the potential gains you can make an accumulation.

    現在,在我看來,任何人都沒有理由不在市場頂部附近賣出,不一定非要在美元成本平均的那一天賣出,但也沒有理由不考慮一下你可以做一個積累的潛在收益。

  • I just used this example, I've used this a million times.

    我只是用了這個例子,我已經用了無數次。

  • Very simple to understand.

    非常簡單易懂。

  • Okay, this is how you can turn $10,000 into over $1 million dollars very easily with crypto.

    好吧,這就是你如何利用加密貨幣非常容易地將1萬美元變成超過100萬美元。

  • Okay, You bought, you bought a Bitcoin for $10,000.

    好吧,你買了,你用1萬美元買了一個比特幣。

  • Uh let's say last year now the price we don't think it will go back to 10,000 but uses an example $10,000.

    呃,比方說去年現在的價格,我們不認為它會回到10000元,但用一個例子來說明10000元。

  • You bought one Bitcoin back in let's say september of last year or october whenever it hit 10,000 one Bitcoin, $10,000, you ride that all the way to the top where we believe it's going to hit $100,000 When Bitcoin hits $100,000 you sell your Bitcoin, you now have $100,000 sitting in your bank or sitting in a stable coin.

    你在去年9月或10月買了一個比特幣,當它達到10,000美元時,一個比特幣,10,000美元,你一路騎到頂部,我們相信它將達到10萬美元,當比特幣達到10萬美元時,你賣掉你的比特幣,你現在有10萬美元放在銀行或放在一個穩定的硬幣裡。

  • The price of Bitcoin.

    比特幣的價格。

  • Retraces let's just say it retraces 80% on average, it retraces 85% but let's just say 80 this time to go from 100,000 Back down to 20,000 you've got money sitting in stable coins, you're now able to afford Five Bitcoin.

    回溯我們就說它平均回溯80%,它回溯85%,但我們就說80這次從100,000回落到20,000,你已經有了錢坐在穩定的硬幣裡,你現在能夠買得起五個比特幣。

  • Okay, instead of one, you now have five, okay, we believe during the next cycle there is a huge chance that Bitcoin goes up to $250,000.

    好吧,你現在有五個,好吧,我們相信在下一個週期,比特幣有很大的機會漲到25萬美金。

  • That would be extreme, diminished returns from the last several cycles.

    這將是極端的,與過去幾個週期相比收益減少。

  • But I think we can safely say $250,000 for the next cycle is very achievable.

    但我認為我們可以有把握地說,下一個週期的25萬美元是非常可以實現的。

  • You turn $10,000 into $1.25 million dollars just by that strategy.

    僅僅通過這一策略,你就把1萬美元變成了125萬美元。

  • Meanwhile if you held and you just held that one Bitcoin, you're you're looking at if it drops back down to $20,000 having $20,000 and if it if it goes up to you know, 250 K, you have $250,000 that's a great return.

    同時,如果你持有,你只是持有一個比特幣,你就會發現,如果它回落到20,000美元,你就有20,000美元,如果它如果上升到你知道的25萬,你就有25萬美元,這是一個巨大的回報。

  • You're gonna have five times more than that.

    你會有比這多五倍的機會。

  • And we look, we see these opportunities in several coins.

    而我們看,我們在幾個硬幣上看到這些機會。

  • It's not just Bitcoin, that's a real easy tangent one for people to understand.

    這不僅僅是比特幣,這對人們來說是一個真正容易理解的切入點。

  • But these opportunities exist everywhere.

    但這些機會到處都存在。

  • You have to be willing, in my opinion to sell tops and buy bottoms and we're only, as somebody told me, they said, you know, I'm just a Hodler like you know, I just don't really know how to time the market.

    在我看來,你必須願意賣出頂部和買入底部,我們只是,正如有人告訴我的那樣,他們說,你知道,我只是一個霍德勒,就像你知道的那樣,我只是不真正知道如何為市場計時。

  • You only have to time it twice every four years, that's it just time approximately within a couple months of the top and within a couple months of the bottom we have a lot of history to suggest when those times will be and you're going to accumulate way more, were never selling out of crypto to get out of crypto, we're only selling out of positions to accumulate much more over the long term.

    你只需要每四年確定兩次時間,就是這樣,只要在頂部的幾個月內和底部的幾個月內確定時間就可以了,我們有很多歷史資料表明這些時間將是什麼時候,你將積累更多,我們從來沒有賣出加密貨幣以脫離加密貨幣,我們只是賣出頭寸以長期積累得更多。

  • It's not like you just say I'm gonna sell the top and be done with crypto.

    它不像你說我要賣掉頂層,然後和加密貨幣做個了斷。

  • Why would you do that when this is an emerging market?

    這是一個新興市場,你為什麼要這樣做?

  • Uh So that's something I think some people get confused about.

    呃......所以,我認為有些人對這個問題感到困惑。

  • We're gonna catch out 80% of our crypto and we're gonna make massive returns, We accumulate more crypto with those numbers, we diversify some of that money here and there.

    我們要把80%的加密貨幣抓出來,我們會獲得巨大的回報,我們用這些數字積累更多的加密貨幣,我們在這裡和那裡分散一些錢。

  • Um property buildings, ballpark stuff like that.

    嗯房產建築,球館之類的東西。

  • But when it comes to our overall crypto strategy were only selling to buy more crypto.

    但當涉及到我們的整體加密貨幣戰略時,我們只是賣出以購買更多的加密貨幣。

  • Yeah great point.

    是的,很好的觀點。

  • I agree.

    我同意。

  • Halloween is lazy.

    萬聖節是懶惰的。

  • Again it doesn't exist in any other market for a reason.

    同樣,它不存在於任何其他市場,是有原因的。

  • Um And you just said get out of maybe 80% of your crypto so you won't necessarily get out of everything you own when you think you're near the top but you'll get out of a huge chunk of it.

    嗯,你剛才說的是退出你80%的加密貨幣,所以當你認為你接近頂部時,你不一定會退出你擁有的所有東西,但你會退出其中的一大塊。

  • Is that what you're saying?

    你是這麼說的嗎?

  • Yeah and the reason for that is you know at some point in the future crypto will change and it will get off of a four year cycle, all coins will emerge.

    是的,原因是你知道在未來的某個時刻,加密貨幣會發生變化,它將脫離四年的週期,所有的硬幣都會出現。

  • You know if you look at chain link from the last bear market it crushed in the entire bear market and went way up like I don't it went up like 100 X.

    你知道,如果你看一下上次低迷的市場中的連鎖店,它在整個低迷的市場中被壓垮了,而且漲得很厲害,我不知道它漲了100倍。

  • In the bear market don't have the exact number but something similar to that.

    在低迷的市場中,沒有確切的數字,但有類似的數字。

  • So what we're gonna do is we're gonna be selling 80% most of the small projects we're gonna sell for sure.

    所以我們要做的是,我們要賣掉80%的小項目,我們肯定要賣掉。

  • But you know, some of the larger ones are cardinals, your area, your bitcoins, we're gonna hold on to 20% In case we're wrong.

    但你知道,一些較大的是紅雀,你的地區,你的比特幣,我們要堅持20%,以防我們錯了。

  • The upside for us to still have 20%.

    我們仍有20%的上升空間。

  • If let's say it were to go to three or $400,000 or let's say there is no bear market, we still have a significant amount of exposure.

    如果讓我們說它要漲到3或40萬美元,或者讓我們說沒有低迷的市場,我們仍然有大量的風險。

  • And you know, if you were to ask me like what the chances are that, I feel like that there will be a bear market, I would tell you like 95%.

    你知道,如果你問我,我覺得會有一個低迷的市場的機會是什麼,我會告訴你95%。

  • Um, so by holding on to 20% I think our risk versus reward there is still, you know, still very high.

    嗯,所以通過持有20%,我認為我們的風險與回報仍然,你知道,仍然非常高。

but I guess in this market, a lot of people are new to it and they want to make the fortune and then they want to find their way to Hodel their way through it.

但我想在這個市場上,很多人都是新手,他們想賺取財富,然後他們想找到自己的方式,通過霍德爾的方式。

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A2 初級 中文 特幣 美元 市場 週期 賣掉 硬幣

霍德林是懶惰的 ?本-阿姆斯特朗談如何將1萬美元變成100萬美元? (Hodling Is Lazy ? Ben Armstrong On How To Turn $10k Into $1 Million ?)

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    林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 10 月 05 日
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