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  • the twitterverse is a crazy place as it is.

    微博世界是一個瘋狂的地方,因為它是。

  • I mean that's not even the news, that's almost like every single synapse fired in every, every single person's brain depending on who you follow on the hashtag you follow.

    我的意思是,這甚至不是新聞,這幾乎是每一個,每一個人的大腦中發射的每一個突觸,取決於你關注的標籤上的人。

  • Um I've looked at this market hard for about six months and I always tell my students news in my opinion, usually ask one of two agendas To get you to get emotional and sometimes to transact now.

    嗯,我已經認真看了這個市場大約六個月,我總是告訴我的學生,在我看來,通常問兩個議程中的一個,讓你變得情緒化,有時現在交易。

  • I'm not saying there's a big conspiracy out there, but I'm just saying those are the two things that we probably see.

    我不是說外面有一個大陰謀,但我只是說這是我們可能看到的兩件事。

  • And now with the mobile apps and everything, it's unlike anything I ever saw back in my day and both of those impulses are usually wrong when it comes to trading.

    而現在有了移動應用程序和一切,這與我當年看到的任何東西都不一樣,在交易方面,這兩種衝動通常都是錯誤的。

  • How do you teach new people to even process news?

    你如何教新人們甚至處理新聞?

  • I mean you just talked about going blank on an asset for 24 hours.

    我的意思是,你剛剛談到了24小時內對一項資產的空白。

  • Is there a way that you can go on?

    有什麼辦法能讓你繼續下去嗎?

  • I think what tim Ferriss called a low media diet back in his four hour work week days, right where he wouldn't consume media?

    我認為蒂姆-費里斯在他每週工作四小時的日子裡稱之為低媒體飲食,對,他不會消費媒體?

  • How do you tell people to do it?

    你如何告訴人們要這樣做?

  • Uh yeah, I don't think that the news cycle has much effect on cryptocurrencies.

    呃,是的,我不認為新聞週期對加密貨幣有什麼影響。

  • Certainly an on Bitcoin.

    當然是在比特幣上。

  • In fact, I think that the news follows the price as opposed to preceding it and it's something that we see every single time Bitcoin drops and this is not unique to Bitcoin.

    事實上,我認為新聞是跟著價格走的,而不是在價格之前,這是我們在每次比特幣下跌時看到的情況,這不是比特幣獨有的情況。

  • This happens with the stock market as well, the minute it goes down you start to get all the bad news and all the reasons it's going to zero and all the reasons that this is the, This is the generational top that we've all been calling for the last 30 years.

    股市也是如此,它一下跌,你就開始得到所有的壞消息和所有它要歸零的理由,以及所有這就是,這就是我們在過去30年裡一直呼籲的世代之巔的理由。

  • We're finally right.

    我們終於對了。

  • Um, so let's take Bitcoin for example, Bitcoin tops, Somebody sees an opportunity to rinse a whole lot of leverage out of the system.

    嗯,所以讓我們以比特幣為例,比特幣的頂部,有人看到了一個機會,把大量的槓桿從系統中沖洗掉。

  • Forget the news.

    忘記新聞。

  • The reason Bitcoin dropped from 65,000, is because $10 billion 10,000 and a million individual traders had there accounts liquidated.

    比特幣從65,000美元下跌的原因是,100億美元10,000美元和100萬個人交易者的賬戶被清算。

  • That's an opportunity that someone with a lot of money is going to take every time.

    這是一個機會,有很多錢的人每次都會抓住。

  • Okay, so let's just say that the first beginning of that move was purely technical.

    好吧,那麼我們就說這一舉動的第一個開始是純粹的技術性的。

  • It was traders same reason we saw gold dump a couple weeks ago by the way because it lost the support level, stop losses triggered, there was a cascade and it went down, that's gold so it's much easier on an asset like Bitcoin.

    順便說一下,這是交易者的原因,我們看到黃金在幾周前拋售,因為它失去了支撐位,止損被觸發,出現了連帶效應,它下跌了,這就是黃金,所以像比特幣這樣的資產要容易得多。

  • So we have a cascade of liquidations, price drops to 50 price proceeds.

    是以,我們有一連串的清算,價格下降到50價格收益。

  • The news, then the bad news starts Tesla is not going to accept Bitcoin for cars anymore.

    這個消息,然後壞消息開始 特斯拉不再接受比特幣購車。

  • There might have been 10 people on the planet that would have ever traded their deflationary asset, hard money Bitcoin for a car that's worth 30% less the minute you drive it off the lot.

    地球上可能有10個人會用他們的通貨緊縮資產--硬通貨比特幣來換取一輛汽車,而這輛車在你把它開出停車場的那一刻,價值就降低了30%。

  • But let's take that aside, right, nobody's buying a Tesla with Bitcoin, it was the idea that maybe they could, that sparks the energy debate Which we've had for 10 years and happens every single time.

    但是,讓我們把這個問題放在一邊,對吧,沒有人用比特幣買特斯拉,這是一個想法,也許他們可以,這引發了能源辯論,我們已經有10年的時間,每次都會發生。

  • Bitcoin droughts.

    比特幣的旱災。

  • That leads into china China banning Bitcoin has happened 17 times and there's still a big point in China that leads to India that leads to bitcoins only for criminals and hackers and ransomware and that's where we're at now.

    這導致了中國中國禁止比特幣已經發生了17次,在中國還有一個很大的點,導致了印度,導致了比特幣只為罪犯、黑客和勒索軟件服務,這就是我們現在的情況。

  • And that is the same negative news cycle that happens after Bitcoin price drops every time, which instills as you said, fear in people and causes weak hands to exit their positions at the bottom.

    而這也是每次比特幣價格下跌後發生的負面新聞循環,正如你所說的,給人們灌輸恐懼,導致弱者在底部退出他們的職位。

  • And if you look at on chain metrics or anything fundamental about Bitcoin wallet, all that was happening.

    如果你看一下鏈上的指標或關於比特幣錢包的任何基本情況,所有這些都在發生。

  • The biggest wallets were buying the entire time in the 30,000 as retail continued to one more story, I'm going to hold my Bitcoin, I'm gonna hold it one more negative story.

    最大的錢包在30,000的時候一直在買,因為零售業繼續一個故事,我要持有我的比特幣,我要持有它一個負面故事。

  • Finally give in and sell and then price eventually rockets.

    最後屈服並賣出,然後價格最終飆升。

  • It's the same with every market, it's the same every time.

    每個市場都是一樣的,每次都是一樣的。

  • And it also happens with the good news by the way, right?

    順便說一下,這也發生在好消息上,對嗎?

  • Just like you said, the Uber driver, The barber the Bitcoin is going to $10 million 20,000.

    就像你說的,Uber司機和理髮師的比特幣將達到1千萬2萬美元。

  • Those are the signs that you're starting to get the positive news cycle to the upside doubt Scott.

    這些都是你開始獲得積極的新聞週期的跡象,以上升的懷疑斯科特。

  • Tell me if I'm wrong.

    如果我錯了,請告訴我。

  • But does this happen 10 times more in crypto than it does in equities or any other market we've seen probably in history it's magnified in this space, right.

    但這種情況在加密貨幣中的發生率是股票或任何其他市場的10倍,我們看到可能在歷史上,它在這個空間被放大了,對。

  • It seems like it, but I can tell you and I'm not old in this market at all.

    看起來是這樣,但我可以告訴你,而且我在這個市場上一點也不老。

  • Right.

    對。

  • I mean, given this market only existed for 12 years, but I got in in 2016, there are people I interview 14, 13, 11, 10, you know, have really been here since the Bitcoin pizza days.

    我的意思是,鑑於這個市場只存在了12年,但我是在2016年進入的,有的人我採訪了14、13、11、10,你知道,真的是從比特幣披薩時代就在這裡了。

  • Um, and back then it was the same general narrative, but it wasn't the media right?

    嗯,那時也是同樣的一般敘述,但不是媒體,對嗎?

  • It was the community, the media didn't talk about it.

    這是社區的事,媒體沒有談論它。

  • The media didn't talk about Bitcoin.

    媒體沒有談及比特幣。

  • So when I got in 2017 If the queen was mentioned in Forbes price went up 15 Right?

    所以,當我在2017年如果福布斯上提到女王,價格就會上漲15右?

  • Because there was no news cycle for Bitcoin and this is the first time I think 2017 when retail really started to pile in and you had that first sort of bubble.

    因為比特幣沒有新聞週期,這是我認為2017年第一次,零售業真正開始扎堆,你有第一種保麗龍。

  • That was the first time it became part of the news cycle.

    那是它第一次成為新聞週期的一部分。

  • But 2000 20 late 20 early 21 was the first time that you saw it as a part of the ticker on CNBC right next to every asset as a part of every single 30 minute financial news program.

    但2000年20年底21年初,你第一次看到它作為CNBC上每一種資產旁邊的股票的一部分,成為每一個30分鐘的金融新聞節目的一部分。

  • So I think it's also a function of just the, the assets, maturing mainstream adoption or at least awareness is happening and therefore they're talking about it more, which then amplifies every single story because people don't understand the assets.

    是以,我認為這也是一個功能,只是,資產,成熟的主流採用,或至少意識正在發生,是以他們正在談論它更多,然後放大每一個故事,因為人們不瞭解資產。

  • So once 11 network runs a negative story, 10 more networks run to pick up that story and give their own opinion as news on that story.

    是以,一旦有11個網絡發佈負面新聞,就會有10個網絡跑來報道,並將自己的觀點作為該新聞的新聞。

  • We know how the mainstream news cycle works obviously.

    我們知道主流新聞週期顯然是如何運作的。

  • So I do think right now that crypto takes a beating on the downside because everyone's talking about it.

    所以我確實認為現在加密貨幣在下行時受到了打擊,因為每個人都在談論它。

  • It's kind of a good thing when you think about it in that regard.

    從這個角度考慮,這也算是一件好事。

  • Yeah, it's better than the old days when nobody would talk about it.

    是的,這比以前沒人願意談論的時候要好。

  • You know, back in 2013 and 14 when everyone like you said wanted people to talk about it.

    你知道,早在2013年和14年,當每個人都像你說的那樣希望人們談論它。

  • This definitely seems magnified even things I've seen over the years even like compared to dot coms, maybe it's because it's got this period appear network, maybe it's new investors, maybe it's a super mobile oriented, maybe it's a digital thing and also this news is digital and it's come of age in the age of twitter and mobil twitter and instagram, I don't know, something feels magnified.

    這絕對看起來被放大了,即使是我多年來看到的東西,甚至像與網絡公司相比,也許是因為它有這個時期出現的網絡,也許是新的投資者,也許是一個超級移動導向,也許是一個數字的東西,還有這個新聞是數字的,它在twitter和mobil twitter和instagram的時代已經到來,我不知道,有些東西感覺被放大。

  • It also seems to be a really convenient, you know whipping boy and great fear device.

    它似乎也是一個非常方便的,你知道的鞭打男孩和偉大的恐懼裝置。

  • I mean if you're a news media outlet, I mean you know if you go into crypto news or you go into us Treasury news, I mean maybe it's more of a no brainer now.

    我的意思是,如果你是一個新聞媒體,我的意思是,你知道如果你進入加密貨幣新聞或你進入我們財政部的新聞,我的意思是,也許現在更多的是一個沒有頭腦的問題。

  • Um, and I could be wrong.

    嗯,而且我可能是錯的。

  • Uh, but we'll see if I can, I think it's a function of the manner in which we consume news now, which said very eloquently.

    呃,但我們會看到,如果我可以,我想這是我們現在消費新聞的方式的一個功能,這說得很有說服力。

  • I mean Bitcoin was born in a digital age, it's a digital asset and now we live in a world where opinion is news.

    我的意思是,比特幣誕生於數字時代,它是一種數字資產,現在我們生活在一個意見就是新聞的世界裡。

  • News is 24 7 you, I mean listen, I'm 44 years old when I grew up you either watch peter Jennings or dan rather once a day and that's how you consume the news.

    新聞是全天候的,我的意思是,聽著,我44歲了,當我長大後,你要麼看彼得-詹寧斯,要麼看丹,而是每天一次,這就是你消費新聞的方式。

  • That was it.

    就是這樣。

  • There was no 20 Yeah, I've been CNN maybe started in the early eighties when I was a kid, but there was no 20 people didn't watch the news 24 7, there was no social media, they weren't consuming this stuff.

    沒有20是的,我一直是CNN也許開始在80年代初,當我還是個孩子,但沒有20人們沒有看新聞24 7,沒有社交媒體,他們沒有消費這些東西。

  • You watched your 30 minutes of news, you got the key stories generally with actual facts being presented God forbid and you went about your life.

    你看你的30分鐘的新聞,你得到了關鍵的故事,一般來說,有實際的事實被提出來,上帝保佑,你去做你的生活。

  • But now we live in a world where everybody's talking about everything all the time.

    但現在我們生活在一個人人都在談論一切的世界裡。

  • You know, and you and every single person views themselves as justified media personality, every person with a Twitter account, they've got their voice and whoever is listening to them their their own network, even if it's only 17 people listening and that's the way that people sort of approach the world now.

    你知道,你和每一個人都把自己看作是合理的媒體人,每一個有推特賬戶的人,他們都有自己的聲音,不管誰在聽他們的聲音,他們自己的網絡,即使只有17個人在聽,這就是人們現在對待世界的方式。

  • So yes, I think it's just all amplified by the very nature of the media and because it's an asset that the big players probably are starting to take notice of and potentially fear.

    是以,是的,我認為它只是被媒體的性質所放大,因為它是一種資產,大公司可能開始注意到並有可能害怕。

  • I don't believe, I don't believe I'm not so hyperbolic that I believe that they want to kill Bitcoin because they think it's going to replace the dollar and all those sort of maximalist opinions.

    我不相信,我不相信我沒有那麼誇張,我相信他們想殺死比特幣,因為他們認為它將取代美元,以及所有那些極端主義的觀點。

  • But you know, it's the old saying, you know, first they ignore you, then they fight you, then they join you whatever, you know, I think we're at the then they fight you phase um after 50 make it ignored and it would just go away.

    但是你知道,這是一句老話,你知道,首先他們不理會你,然後他們和你打架,然後他們加入你什麼的,你知道,我認為我們處於然後他們和你打架的階段嗯,50歲以後使它被忽略,它就會消失。

  • Now it's not so we're seeing the news kick in.

    現在不是了,所以我們看到了新聞的啟動。

  • Uh huh.

    嗯哼。

the twitterverse is a crazy place as it is.

微博世界是一個瘋狂的地方,因為它是。

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A2 初級 中文 特幣 新聞 資產 週期 下跌 價格

斯科特-梅爾克談加密貨幣的主流應用及交易時如何應對 "壞消息"? (Scott Melker on Mainstream Adoption of Crypto & How To Deal With 'Bad News' When Trading ?)

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    林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 09 月 07 日
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