severe weather briefing regarding this Saturday and Sunday.

Ok, first and foremost, here are our current thoughts, and I want to stress the word current.

At the moment, and as always, this far out, time wise, there are always quite a few questions,

but not a whole lot of definite answers. With the recent suite of afternoon model guidance,

the ingredients for storms will exist on Saturday across the region. However, it’s the combination/interactions

of these ingredients that we’ll need to continue to monitor closely. Lets take a look

at what we currently know about Saturday. There are four basic ingredients to severe

weather. Lift, Instability, Moisture, and Wind Shear. We’ll have the lift, with the

dry line and upper level system, but the timing of these are still in question. We’ll have

Instability, but how much? That will hinge on how much moisture makes it’s way back

into the region. Lastly, all indications point to decent wind shear, both low level and deep

layer shear for Saturday, especially into the late evening hours. For Sunday, showers

will be ongoing across much of the region Sunday morning, which will impact the OKC

Memorial Marathon, the Arts Festival, and the Norman Music Festival. No severe storms,

but lightning will pose a risk. Later in the afternoon and evening, storms will quickly

push out to the east, with storms well east of I-35.

Ok, so what can you do now? First off, Have a plan, we say it every time, but you have

to have a plan for you, your family, or even your business. Need help making a plan? I’ll

put the link to our severe weather safety page in the video description below. This

forecast will change, we will continue to update the forecast as we gain more information

and gain more confidence. This is nothing new for us, Oklahomans and Texans are weather

savvy people, if you are new to Oklahoma or Texas, check out our safety page, stay weather

aware and you’ll gain confidence on how to approach severe weather. Don’t Panic,

we know it’s easy to get wrapped up in the worst case scenario, but just stay calm and

stay weather aware, find a trusted source for your weather information. Lastly, Have

a Plan, I know I sound like a broken record, but this is the best way to keep piece of

mind. Don’t let a threat of thunderstorms or severe weather rule your life. If you have

a plan of action established well before severe weather presents itself, you will have the

tools and confidence to face severe storms.

Storms will likely develop late Saturday afternoon, and more likely in the early evening hours

across western Oklahoma and western north Texas, the greatest risk for severe storms

during this time frame will be across southwestern Oklahoma and western north Texas. Large, damaging

hail, damaging winds are the primary hazards, and the occurrence of tornadoes cannot be

ruled out.

Storms will spread eastward into the evening hours, with the threat of large damaging hail,

damaging winds, and tornadoes remaining possible. Those attending the numerous outdoor events

going on across the region will need to stay weather aware. Make sure you find suitable

shelters at any venue you attend. When a warning is issued, that is not the time to start looking

for shelter, you should already have in mind where to go.

Overnight, storms will gradually decrease in severity, but damaging hail and winds remain

possible.

For Sunday morning, rain and thunderstorms will linger across the region, unfortunate

for those of you running the OKC marathon. Severe storms are not expected during this

time frame, but a few may produce hail up to the size of half dollars and strong wind

gusts.

What unfolds Sunday night will hinge on how things evolve late Saturday through Sunday

Morning. At the present time, the greatest potential for severe storms will exist east

of the I-35 corridor.

Not to be outdone, fire weather concerns will be elevated, with extreme conditions behind

the dry line Sunday.

In closing, remember, don’t be scared, be prepared! Have a plan and stay weather aware.

If you’re attending any of the numerous events going on across the region this weekend,

it is imperative you stay weather aware. Ask those running the events where you can shelter

in the event of severe weather. Always have multiple ways to receive warnings, don’t

wait for outdoor warning sirens to alert you to an impending hazard.

weather.gov/norman Thanks again for watching, as always, the

best place to find the most accurate and up to date forecast and warning information is

on our webpage, at www.weather.gov/norman. You can also, like us on Facebook, follow

us on twitter, and subscribe to our youtube channel. Thanks again, and have a wonderful

day!