字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 ♪ WELCOME BACK, OUR GUEST TONIGHT IS AN HISTORIAN, PHILOSOPHER AND BEST SELLING AUTHOR OF SAPAN HODAIS AND 21 LESSONS FOR THE 2 13S CENTURY ONE OF THE BRIGHTERREST MINDS, HAVE I WANTED TO HAVE HIM ON AS A GUEST FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS AND THIS FEELS LIKE PERHAPS THE PERFECT TIME, WILL TALK US TO ABOUT WHAT THE WORLD MIGHT LOOK LIKE ONCE THIS STORM PASSES, JOINING US TODAY FROM HIS HOME NEAR JERUSALEM. THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US. >> THANK YOU FOR INVITING ME. >> James: HOW ARE YOU BEARING UP OVER THERE, ARE YOU OKAY? >> YES, I THINK SO. MY HUSBAND AND ME ARE LOCKED UP IN OUR HOUSE ON THE OUTCIRCUITS BETWEEN JERUSALEM AND TEL AVIV. >> James: YOU DO HAVE ONE OF THOSE MINDS THAT I THINK PEOPLE LOOK IN TIMES LIKE. THIS I KNOW THAT I DO. AND SO I WANT TO DIVE STRAIGHT IN. THE FIRST THING I WOULD LIKE TO KNOW IS HOW DO YOU THINK THE WORLD WILL BE DIFFERENT WHEN WE'VE GOT THROUGH THIS PANDEMIC. >>S THAT COMPLETELY DEPENDS ON-- ST NOT PREDETERMINED STRKS NOT DETERMINISTIC. ST OUR CHOICE. WE HAVE A LOT OF BIG CHOICES TO MAKE. ONE BIG CHOILINGS IS WHETHER WE DEAL WITH THIS CRISIS THROUGH NATIONALISTIC ISOLATION, EACH COUNTRY COMPETING WITH ALL THE OTHERS FOR THE SCARS RESOURCES OR WHETHER WE DEAL WITH IT THROUGH INTERNATIONAL SOLIDARITY AND COOPERATION. AND WHICH THIS WILL SHAPE NOT JUST THE CRISIS BUT ALSO THE WORLD FOR YEARS TO COME. EARLY ON THE LEVEL OF EACH INDIVIDUAL COUNTRY, EACH COUNTRY HAS TO CHOOSE WHETHER IT DEALS WITH THE CRISIS IN AN AUTHORITARIAN WAY BY EMPOWERING SOME DICTATOR OR POWERFUL AUTHORITY OR WHETHER IT DEALS WITH THE CRISIS BY EMPOWERING THE CITIZENS AND TEACHING DEMOCRATIC CHECKS AND BALANCES. AND WE SEE DIFFERENT COUNTRIES ADOPTING VERY DIFFERENT APPROACHES. AND THIS IS OBVIOUSLY SHAPED THIS COUNTRY FOR YEARS TO COME. NOT JUST FOR A FEW WEEKS. BUT IN THE COMING WEEKS, ARE THE CRITICAL POINTS. IN WHICH THESE DECISIONS ARE BEING MADE, WHATEVER COMES AFTERWARDS, IT IS LIKE COMING TO A PARTY AFTER THE PARTY IS OVER AND THE ONLY THING LEFT TO DO IS TO WASH THE DISHES. NOW THEY ARE HANDING OUT TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS, THEY ARE CHAFNLGING THE JOB MARKET. WHOEVER KOSMS IN 2021 WILL FIND IT VERY, VERY DIFFICULT TO KIND OF REWIND THE MOVIE AND TRY SOMETHING ELSE. >> James: THERE IS SUCH MISTRUST OF POLITICIANS, SCIENTISTS, RIGHT NOW AREN'T BEING HEARD AND LISTENED TO IN THE MANNER THAT I THINK THEY PROBABLY SHOULD BE. WHY DO YOU THINK THIS IS? AND TRUST IS A FUMENTD ISSUE IN ALL OF THIS, RIGHT? >> YEAH, WITHOUT TRUST WE CAN'T DEAL WITH THERE CRISIS EFFECTIVELY. IN RECENT YEARS WE HAD POLL DIGS-- POLITICIANS DELIBERATELY UNDERMINE THE TRUST IN PUBLIC AUTHORITIES, IN SCIENCE, IN THE MEDIA. AND NOW WE ARE PAYING THE PRICE OF IT YOU KNOW, IN NORMAL TIMES MAYBE YOU CAN RUN A COUNTRY WHEN ONLY HALF THE POPULATION TRUSTLESS THE GOVERNMENT, MAYBE. BUT IN EMERGENCIES LIKE THIS, YOU NEED A HUNDRED PERSZ OF THE PEOPLE TO TRUST THE GOVERNMENT AND THE AUTHORITIES. IF YOU GET ADVICE FROM THE HEAD OF GOVERNMENT AND HALF THE POPULATION GOES AND SAYING WITH THIS PERSON HAS BB LYING TO ME FOR YEARS, WHY SHOULD I BELIEVE IT NOW, IT IS GOING TO BE VERY DIFFICULT TO HANDLE THE CRISIS. I THINK THE GOOD SIGN THOUGH IS THAT AT LEAST WHEN IT COMES TO SCIENCE AND SCIENTIFIC AUTHORITY WE SEE THAT ALMOST ALL OVER THE WORLD PEOPLE HAVE A HIDDEN RESERVOIR OF DEEP TRUST IN SCIENCE, DESPITE THE RECENT YEARS OF ATTACKS ON SCIENCE. IN MY HOME COUNTRY OF ISRAEL, THE GOVERNMENT CLOSED DOWN THE SYNAGOGUE. IRAN THEY CLOSED DOWN THE MOSS PECS. CHURCHES ALL OVER THE WORLD ARE TELLING PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE CHURCH. WHY? BECAUSE THE SCIENTISTS SAID SO. SO EVEN THESE RELIGIOUS ESTABLISHMENTS WHEN IT COMES TO A REAL EMERGENCY, THEY TRUST IN SCIENCE MORE THAN IN ANYTHING ELSE. AND THAT'S A GOOD SIGN. I HOPE AFTER THE CRISIS IS OVER PEOPLE WILL REMEMBER WHO THEY REALLY TRUSTED IN THE MOMENT OF TRUTH AND AFTERWARDS WHEN SCIENTISTS WARN US ABOUT ECOLOGICAL COLLAPSE OR CLIMATE CHANGE, WE TAKE IT WITH THE SAME TRUST IN THE SAME PERIOD THAT WE NOW LISTEN TO THE SCIENTISTS TELLING US ABOUT IT THEN. >> WHEN WE MOVE FORWARD HOW DO YOU THINK THIS TIME WILL IMPACT HOW WE SOCIALLY INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER GOING FORWARD, WHAT DO YOU THINK THE BIG CHANGES WILL BE? >> THERE COULD BE BIG CHANGES IN THE JOB MARKET, IN THE UNIVERSITY. SOME UNIVERSITIES MOVE ONLINE, THEN THIS WILL CREATE A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT SOCIAL ATMOSPHERE FOR THE STUDENTS, AND WHEN I WENT TO UNIVERSITY, TO SCHOOL, THE MOST INTERESTING AND IPORTANT THINGS HAPPENED IN THE BREAK. ALL THE CLASSES ARE ON ZOOM, THERE ARE NO, THERE ARE NO BREAKS. SO SOME THINGS ARE GOING TO CHANGE DRAMICALLY, PROGRAMS. BUT THE FUNDAMENTALS OF HUMAN NATURE WILL NOT CHANGE. WE ARE SOCIAL ANIMALS. WE LIKE, VERY MUCH LIKE CONTACT. WHEN SOMEBODY IS SICK WE USUALLY WANT TO COME AND HELP THEM. THE FP WE NOW MAKE A CHANGE OUR BEHAVIOR BUT I DON'T THINK WE NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THE FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE IN HUMAN NATURE. YOU KNOW, THE BLACK DEATH DIDN'T CHANGE HUMAN NATURE. 1918 INFLUENZA EPIDEMIC DIDN'T CHANGE HUMAN NATURE AND COVID-19 ALSO WILL NOT CHANGE HUMAN NATURE. IF YOU LOOK AT THE MAYBE THE LAST BIG EP DEM NIK NOT JUST THE WORLD, NOT THE U.S., THE AIDS EPIDEMIC WHICH WAS IN MANY WAYS MUCH WORSE THAN WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW, NOW IF YOU GET CORONAVIRUS YOU HAVE A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF LIVING. IN THE EARLY 1980S, IF YOU GOT AIDS YOU DIED. WITH IT WAS A DEATH SENTENCE. AND COMPARED TO WHAT GOVERNMENTS ARE DOING NOW IN THE EARLY 1980, BEAM WERE ABANDONED, IN MANY CASES, AND ESPECIALLY POLITICIANS SAYING THIS IS PUNISHMENT FROM GOD TO GAY PEOPLE. IT WILL BE GOOD TO GET RID OF THEM. AND ACTUALLY, THE LGBT COMMUNITY CAME OUT OF THE AIDS ETCH DEMIC MUCH STRONGER THAN IT ENTERED IT. PEOPLE DISCOVERED A LOT OF THINGS IN THEMSELVES. THEY ESTABLISHED VOLUME TEAR ORGANIZATIONS TO HELP THE PEOPLE TO SPREAD INFORMATION, TO FIGHT FOR POLITICAL RECOGNITION AND ACTION. AND AGAIN AIDS DID THE SAME SO COVID-19 TELEPHONE,. >> James: EVEN JUST HEARING YOU SAY THAT MADE ME FEEL SO MUCH BETTER. BECAUSE THAT HAS BEEN THE THING THAT IS FREAKING ME OUT, THE NOTION OF WHAT WILL IT BE LIKE AFTER. THIS BUT YOU DO THINK THAT THERE IS SOME HOPE TO BE FOUND THE OTHER SIDE OF THIS. >> YEAH, IT IS GOING TO BE LONG AND DIFFICULT FOR SOME PEOPLE, MORE THAN FOR OTHERS. BUT YOU KNOW, HUMANKIND, WE HAVE EVERYTHING, FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HISTORY, ACTUALLY. WE HAVE EVERYTHING WE NEED TO OVERCOME THIS EP DIM-- EPIDEMIC. ABOVE ALL A GOOD SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING OF WHAT CAUSELESS THE DISEASE AND HOW TO PREVENT IT FROM SPREADING. DURING THE BLACK DEATH, MAYBE THE BIGGEST PROBLEM WAS IGNORANCE. PEOPLE WERE DYING IN THE MILLIONS, ALL AROUND, AND NOBODY HAD ANY IDEA WHY PEOPLE WERE DYING AND WHAT COULD BE DONE ABOUT IT. THE MEDICAL FACULTY IN PARIS AND THE UNIVERSITY OF PARIS, THEIR BEST ESTIMATE WAS THAT THIS IS SOMETHING TO DO WITH THE ASTROLOGICAL POSITION OF THE SUN. IT WAS THEIR BEST GUEST. >> James: WOW. >> MANY OTHER PEOPLE SAID THAT IT WAS PUNISHMENT FROM GOD, SO WE JUST NEED TOO GO O TO CHURCH AND PRAY DISPOR GOD'S FORIVENESS-- FORGIVENESS. >> NOT THAT IT IS A TINY PATH O AGAIN COMING FROM FLEAS ON RATS. EVEN A HUNDRED YEARS AGO DURING THE BIG 1918 INFLUENZA, DEURGT EPIDEMIC ITSELF, THE BEST SCIENTISTS WERE WORKING ON IT, AND NOBODY DISCOVERED WHAT WAS THE ACTUAL VIOLENCE CAUSING THE EPIDEMIC. NOW IT TOOK US TWO WEEKS TO IDENTIFY THE CORRECT VIRUS, AND DEVELOP RELIABLE TESTS. SO WE ARE REALLY IN A BETTER POSITION THAN ANY TIME BEFORE. WE HAVE THE SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE. WHAT WE DON'T NECESSARILY HAVE IS THE POLITICAL WISDOM TO MAKE USE OF OUR IMMENSE POWER. MAYBE THE BIGGEST PROBLEM OF ALL IS THE LACK OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AND OF GLOBAL SOLIDARITY. I AM NOT SO AFRAID OF THE VIRUS. I AM MUCH MORE AFRAID OF THE INNER FRP HUMANITY COMING OUT, PEOPLE REACTING TO THIS CRISIS, NOT WITH SOLIDARITYBUT WITH HATRED OR WITH GRIEF. THAT IS THE BIGGEST THING. >> TELEPHONE DURING EBOLA, FOR EXAMPLE, DID THE G7 LEADERS CAME TOGETHER AND IT WAS PRESIDENT OBAMA WHO WAS REALLY LEADING THOSE DISCUSSIONS. THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES RIGHT NOW DOESN'T SEEM TOO INTERESTED IN DOING SUCH A THING. WHO ARE THE OTHER WORLD LEADERS WE COULD LOOK TO FOR GUIDANCE DURING THIS, AND DO YOU THINK THAT IS SOMETHING THAT WILL HAPPEN? >> WELL, TELEPHONE NOBODY IS TAKING THE GLOBAL RESPONSIBILITY AND THEREFORE WE DON'T HAVE A GLOBAL PLAN OF ACTION, NOT IN THE FIELD OF HEALTH CARE AND CERTAINLY NOT IN THE ECONOMIC FIELD. MANY COUNTRIES ARE LOOKING JUST ABOUT THEIR OWN INTEREST AND COMPETING WITH THE OTHER COUNTRIES FOR MEDICAL EQUIPMENT. TRADITIONALLY THE U.S. WAS THE RESPONSIBLE ADULT, IN A CASE LIKE THE EBOLA EPIDEMIC OR THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRISIS, YOU STEP FORWARD TO BE THE LEADER OF HUMANITY AND IN BOTH CASES MANAGED TO GATHER ENOUGH COUNTRIES AROUND IT TO PREVENT THE WORST OUTCOME. NOW THE U.S. IS BASICALLY UNDERTAKEN THIS ROLE AS GLOBAL LEADER. BAIFERL SAID I DON'T WANT THIS JOB. I CARE ONLY ABOUT MYSELF. AND WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE ACTUAL RESPONSE OF THE U.S. IN ITS OWN HOUSE TO THE EPIDEMIC, MAYBE ST NOT A BAD THING THAT IT IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WORLD. BECAUSE IT IS DOING WORSE THAN ALMOST ANY OTHER COUNTRY. NOT JUST COMPARED TO CHINA, BUT COMPARE IT TO SOUTH KOREA, TO NEW ZEALAND, EVEN TO GREECE, GREECE ST DOING AN AMAZING JOB IN CONTAINING THIS EPIDEMIC. IF I HAD THO CHOOSE SAY BETWEEN GREECE AND THE UNITED STAITLE, WHO SHOULD BE LEADING THE WORLD NOW GIVING US A PLAN OF ACTION. I WOULD DEFINITELY CHOOSE GREECE. >> James: WOW, THAT IS QUITE DE PRESSING. NOW YOU WROTE A PIECE IN "THE FINANCIAL TIMES" WHERE YOU TALK ABOUT SMARTPHONES AND GOVERNMENT USING THAT TECHNOLOGY AND A GREATER THREAT OF SURVEILLANCE. CAN YOU TALK TO ME ABOUT THIS AND DO YOU THINK ULTIMATELY THIS IS A GOOD OR A BAD THING FOR CIVILIZATION? >> IT COULD BE GOOD BUT YOU HAVE TO BE VERY CAREFUL ABOUT IT. WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW STRKS REALLY A WATERSHED IN THE HISTORY OF SURVEILLANCE. FIRST OF ALL WE SEE MASS SURVEILLANCE ENTERING AND BEING ADOPTED IN DEM GRAT-- DEMOCRATIC COUNTRIES WHICH PREVIOUSLY RESISTED THEM. SECONDLY WE SEE THE NATURE OF SURVEILLANCE CHANGING FROM OVER THE SKIN SURVEILLANCE TO UNDER THE SKIN SURVEILLANCE. OVER THE SKIN SURVEILLANCE IS SAY THE GOVERNMENT OR CORPORATION WATCHING, MONITORING WHERE YOU GO, WHAT YOU BUY, WHAT YOU WATCH ON TELEVISION. UNDER THE SKIN SURVEILLANCE STARTS WITH MONITORING YOUR BLOOD PRESSURE, BUT ULTIMATELY IT IS ABOUT WERE TAGGING YOUR BODY AND BRAIN AND KNOWING WHAT YOU ARE FEELING EACH AND EVERY MOAVMENT, NOT JUST PAIN OR COUGHING, BUT OUR EMOTIONS. OUR BIOLOGICAL PA EXACTLY LIKE THE FLU OR LIKE HEAT, LIKE TEMPERATURE. SO IF YOU WILL A SURVEILLANCE SYSTEM THAT CAN TELL YOU SOMEBODY, THAT CAN ALSO TELL THEM HOWL THEY FEEL EACH AND EVERY MOMENT. AND YOU KNOW, TEN YEARS IN THE FUTURE, FAST FORWARD, NORTH KOREA, EVERY CITIZEN HAS TO WEAR A BIOMETRIC BRACELET ON THEIR ARM AND YOU HAVE TO WATCH THIS BIG SPEECH BY BIG LEADERS. AND WHEN YOU WATCH THE SPEECH, THEY ARE WATCHING WHAT IS HAPPENING IN YOUR BODY. YOU CAN SMILE AND QUU CLAP YOUR HANDS BUT IF YOU ARE ANGRY, THEY KNOW. YOU HAVE NO CONTROL OVER WHAT ACTUALLY IS HAPPENING IN YOUR BODY. SO THIS IS NO LONGER SCIENCE FICTION, THIS IS ALREADY WITHIN REACH OF PRESENT DAY TECHNOLOGY AND THE CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC CAN BE THE WATERSHED EVENT WHEN GOVERNMENT GOING UNDER OUR SKIN BECOMES WERE ACCESSIBLE. >> James, I COULD TALK TO YOU ALL DAY.
B1 中級 武漢肺炎 新型冠狀病毒 新冠肺炎 COVID-19 尤瓦爾-諾亞-哈拉里關於COVID-19對人類的影響的報告。 (Yuval Noah Harari on COVID-19's Impact on Humankind) 4 0 林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字