The death toll climbs every day by a little more, and so does the urgency around the question.

How bad can it get?

We've seen a leaked document warning that editor stuff that up to 80% of the population could be infected in the next 12 months, meaning up to 7.9 million people might need hospitalization.

And even if we ramp up our hospital bed nursing and ventilated capacity dramatically, how can the system cope?

35 people have now died in the UK, with a total of 1372 positive tests, up from 1140 at this point yesterday.

The health secretary has said that over 70 year old will soon be asked to self isolate for several months, 100 million Europeans and are under lock down.

This country's tightened their restrictions.

The entire world is going through a stress test that just a few weeks ago belonged to the Lord fringes of dystopian fiction.

Here in Britain, emergency legislation will be detailed on Tuesday.

This could be the beginning of the lock down.

This morning, the health secretary confirmed that everyone over 70 would soon be asked to self isolate at home for up to four months.

That, too, is astonishing This simian brown.

The death toll rises from 21 to 35 in a day.

This week, the government is stepping up action, promising to increase awareness with videos like this and to beef up its powers.

This response is going to be one of the biggest challenges that that our generation faces, because that sorts of measures that are needed are simply not the sorts of things that you normally have to contemplate.

The government will publish a bill setting out emergency powers, the combat Corona virus in the U.

K.

Elderly people on the vulnerable will soon be asked to stay home for up to four months.

People who pose a risk to public health could be forcibly detained.

Factories will be asked to make life saving equipment for Corona virus.

Patients on the government may commandeer private wards and hotels for N hs care, as well as turning operating theatres into I C.

U Woods.

These new laws follow leaked plans to ban mass gatherings like this one.

After London Marathon was postponed, this run in Liverpool toes to go ahead.

We've worked with everyone around us, the police, the ambulance.

We've got private medical teams that look after us on our information is that at this point in time, it was safe to your head safe to go ahead.

It's important this country doesn't shut itself down prematurely.

I'm doing my bit.

I mean, I work in the in the n hs on where I'm unfollowed in every guideline.

I wanted to be here today.

I wouldn't have come if you told me not to come.

But I've been watching the news.

I've been watching everything.

I've been doing what I've been told.

I'm wearing gloves that I'll throw away at the end.

I won't keep so I can't do more than that.

But what is normal will have to change if the country is to stay ahead of the pandemic next week.

Government's plans will have major implications, especially for the elderly who face increased isolation clearly since our top priority is to protect life.

And that means protecting the vulnerable and protecting the N hs so that it could be there for us.

This is a This is one of the measures that's in the past attention is also turning to N HS capacity.

The government has admitted they cannot guarantee that everyone who will need a ventilator congee it one and is now urging manufacturers to help produce critical machinery for the N HS.

As part of a national effort unseen since war times, the government is also under renewed pressure to finally expand testing as the Scottish government announced that they will be increasing surveillance.

What we are doing is increasing our community surveillance testing that will cover about 1.2 million.

And that gives us an idea off the size of the virus in the Scottish population.

Or but politicians and that the only ones planning for the worst stockpiling food continues ahead of next week's new powers.

This is the picture government was trying to avoid.

Well, this program has seen a document indicating that not all health care and other essential workers with symptoms will be tested because there simply isn't the capacity to do some testing prioritized in order of clinical need.

Public health England say they won't comment on the content of a leaked document, and it is still subject to ongoing discussions.

Joining me now is Victoria McDonald, Health and social care correspondent.

Victoria.

These numbers are truly alarming, and they will allow many of those watching the program put them into context.

Please.

Well, they were working on an assumption that 80% of us might get Corona virus.

Now that is an awful lot of people.

They also say that 7.9 million people may end up in hospital, and the hospitals just will not be able to cope as well as all the people are at home who've got a cough.

ECI Interesting figure is that 10% of the population will have a cough at the time off.

The peak covered 19 anyway, they say.

Public Health, England.

In this document circulated to senior N HS staff, they say they have 4000 lab testing a day available.

Currently, they want to expand that to 10,000.

But if you think there are 2.5 million health and social care workers in this country, you can see the problem, so they're going to they've put it in order.

They're going to test people who are in critical care with pneumonia.

Those who are coming into hospital with pneumonia and then clusters were outbreaks.

And maybe if there is a now outbreak in a nursing home, the only exception they might make is if they need, say, a super specialist surgeon who needs to do some life saving surgery and is currently at home with a cough.

They might expedite that.

But this will worry a lot of health care workers who will be in the frontline and be worrying about their own safety and their family's safety.

Victoria, thank you very much indeed, Like yesterday we asked for an interview from the health secretary or a minister from the department to come onto this program.

None was available.

So across the world, country after country is self isolating.

As governments closed borders, stop flights and enforced lockdowns of day to day life.

Yesterday, Spain, Denmark, Norway pulled up the drawbridge.

Today, Germany here, the fine officers updated its travel advice, warning people against visiting certain countries.

This morning, it added the United States to the list 24 hours after Donald Trump's orbital flights from Britain would stop.

So far, the F C A is still not advising against travel to France, while Italy has recorded another 368 deaths in just one day, worse than the deadliest day in Wuhan.

There's many Stevenson.

Milan's motorways deserted Paris Eerily quiet Venice empty Around the world, countries closed as more than 100 million Europeans are now living in lock down.

In the last hour, Italy announced they have had 368 more deaths in today as the nation desperately tries to build new intensive care units to Spain, where they woke up to their first day of their new normal people only allowed to leave the house to buy food and medicine.

Once mundane weekly shops now stockpiling as the country enters a 15 day state of emergency and welcome to the future, police fly drones in Madrid telling people to stay at home as deaths from the Corona virus more than doubled in a day.

288 people have now died in Spain in Francois cafes, restaurants, cinemas and gym's closed as the polls opened for local elections, voting in a more vulnerable looking Paris as president, Macron said lock down would continue for weeks.

Only a few hours ago, many of our fellow citizens were still a terraces or cafes, living as if nothing had happened.

We told them simply that this is no longer possible.

It's stupid.

You're making a mistake because you're exposing each other.

As Germany is set to close its borders to Frantz, Switzerland and Austria, where the Austrian government have now banned gatherings of more than five people while nobody is going anywhere fast in Chicago, arriving two hours of cues for medical screenings at airports in Dallas no sign of social distancing here passengers waited to have their temperatures taken as President Trump's Corona virus.

Test results arrived back negative.

And then there are those who want to get home but can't.

In Morocco, they've cancelled flights to and from 25 countries.

As the British ambassador to Morocco had thes words, We will get you home, but it will take some time.

If you see an available flight, I cannot advise you strongly enough to get on it.

And if you're in the UK and thinking of travelling to Morocco, please don't.

While on board a cruise ship, we're at least five people have Corona virus stranded 600 passengers, most of them British, as the crew frantically searches for somewhere to doc so far refused entry at several Caribbean ports in L.

A.

They're queuing to panic buy guns.

But at this festival in Mexico What Corona virus?

Pandemic temperatures were taken on arrival in Russia.

Some hopes for healing, kissing religious relics.

And in Dublin they continue to dance through the Corona crisis in the temple Bar clubs.

Today the hangover those, it turns out, were last orders.

The government announcing all pubs in Ireland will now close after the party.

Deep clean begins Many Stevenson.

Well, joining me now from Yorkshire is the former director of Maternal and child health at the World Health Organization and now Professor of Global Health at UCL.

Professor Aunty Nica.

Stellar.

Thanks for coming on the program, Professor Costello, when you look at the numbers in the UK now, when you look at the numbers in Italy and when you remember what the numbers were like in China, are we going to be Italy in two weeks from now?

Yes.

Look, you can't fight a virus if you don't know where it is.

The basic principles from the W.

H.

O.

Is that you find test, isolate and treat every case to break the chains of transmission on the UK policy is worrying because they seem.

They announced that the press conference that they're going to stop population testing.

That's crazy.

That's not going.

Thio delay the epidemic.

It's going to accelerate it and we will certainly be in the same situation as Italy, whether it's 10 days or two weeks or further, we can argue about now.

I don't have any problem with worrying or arguing about social distancing of mass gatherings and I and the timing of that.

But we must be getting the data on what's happening and everything in the W.

H O report from China is doable here.

Why now we do it.

So I called, he said.

What should the government be doing now?

Then they should be mobilizing the country.

They should be setting up mobile testing centers.

They should get the test result down like China from 12 days, 23 days.

You've gotto identify family clusters, get them isolated.

Look after people that can't look after themselves in isolation centers.

Get CT scans out into the communities or into populations where they can get them quickly.

If they've got pneumonia and you've gotta you know, obviously do the treatment that the N h s can provide, but we've gotta prevent on.

We can get this down.

It's worked in China.

It's worked in career.

It's worked in Singapore giving up now and saying, Well, we're just gonna let this rip, okay?

He's gonna right.

So why is it not working in Italy then, for instance?

Well, because, firstly, I'm not quite sure why the it'll focused around Long buddy, whether they got a number of super spreaders in or whatever.

But I don't know enough about what they're actually testing, that they're trying to cope like China did with the explosion of cases in Wuhan on when they realize they've messed up, they put in place all that.

This structure I've described on it took him seven weeks.

But after seven weeks, they had it under control on DME, or if it is gonna flare up again when they loosen things, they've got a nationwide system in place, got the data, they got the mechanisms and they can loosen it gently on damp it down again.

Ultimately, we need a vaccine on vaccine causes, creates herd immunity, not a disease that's gonna kill 400,000 people.

So we gotta mobilize our country.

And I thought that's what they were preparing over the last month.

Can it?

All right.

It's very running out of time.

Let me ask you 11 very quick question.

Can we turn this round at this stage?

Yes or no?

Yes, I think we can.

It's gonna take time.

It will take two months, at least.

But why not?

Okay.

Why Asia Asian countries do it.

And weak on.

Okay.

Thank you very much.

Antony Castella.

Well, amid some scenes of panic buying and empty shelves supermarket of ass shoppers to be considerate and refrain from stockpiling so others aren't left without things that they need.

Retailers say that they're working with the government and supplies to avoid shortages.

But are they prepared?

Joining me now is Tim Lang was professor of food policy at City University in London.

Professor Lang.

Thanks for coming on the program.

The government has said that the supply chains are guaranteed the supermarkets will not run out of food.

Do you believe those guarantees?

No.

But I understand why they're saying it because they're saying it on normal conditions.

The public don't really realize over the last 40 years or so, there's been a revolution in the food system.

We don't have stories around.

Warehouses were not like they used to be with months of food.

It's all just in time.

The food system has borrowed from Toyota cars a system of literally having the food arrived at the supermarket back office just in time.

That's very easy to disrupt.

That's not me saying it.

That's all logistics.

People know that the supermarkets know that, so they need us to carry on behaving as normal.

Now listen to what Tony Costello from U.