字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 >> Stephen: HEY, EVERYBODY! WELCOME BACK! YOU KNOW MY NEXT GUEST AS THE CO-HOST OF "THE CIRCUS" ON SHOWTIME. NOW HE'S CREATED A NEW MEDIA OUTLET CALLED "THE RECOUNT." PLEASE WELCOME, JOHN HEILEMANN! ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) ( BAND PLAYING ) ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) ( BAND PLAYING ) >> Stephen: WELCOME BACK. WELCOME BACK. >> HI. >> Stephen: HI, ON THIS MERRY SUPER TUESDAY EVE. HAPPY SUPER TUESDAY. >> I'M HERE TO ENDORSE YOU. >> Stephen: REALLY? YEAH. >> Stephen: FOR WHAT? I REJECT YOUR ENDORSEMENT. ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) >> WE HAVE SO MANY ENDORSEMENTS GOING AROUND IT'S TIME TO LAY SOME ENDORSEMENTS -- >> Stephen: WHAT HAPPENED BACK STAGE? WE FOUND OUT SOMETHING'S GOING TO HAPPEN IN TEXAS TONIGHT, RIGHT? >> AMY KLOBUCHAR AND I BELIEVE PETE BUTTIGIEG ARE BOTH GOING TO DALLAS TO BESTOW THEIR BLESSINGS AND ENDORSEMENTS, SALUTATIONS AND SO ON, ON JOE BIDEN. >> Stephen: OKAY. DOES THAT -- >> SO THE THING BERNIE SAID WAS GOING TO HAPPEN, THE WHOLE ESTABLISHMENT IS ALL GOING TO TRY TO LINE UP AND STRIP HIM OF WHAT IS DUE TO HIM, IS HAPPENING RIGHT IN FRONT OF OUR EYES. OR YOU COULD SAY IT'S JUST DEMOCRACY IN ACTION. ONE WAY OR THE OTHER. >> Stephen: TRUE, EXACTLY. BECAUSE I LIKE SENATOR SANDERS WHO WE'VE HAD ON THE SHOW, LIKE, TEN TIMES. ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) >> SURE. >> Stephen: BUT TO GET STRIPPED OF SOMETHING, YOU HAVE TO WIN IT FIRST, RIGHT? >> THAT'S TRUE. I SOMETIMES THINK THAT SENATOR SANDERS DOES NOT YET REALIZE THAT, BUT, OKAY. >> Stephen: SO DO YOU THINK THIS IS GOING TO BE, YOU KNOW, A SHOT IN THE ARM FOR JOE BIDEN? WILL IT MATTER, THESE INDORMTS? BECAUSE I DON'T REALLY KNOW A LOT ABOUT POLITICS. I TALK ABOUT POLITICS A LOT BECAUSE I FIND IT FUNNY AND IT'S IMPORTANT AND IT HELPS ME SLEEP AT NIGHT. ( LAUGHTER ) OR SHAKE LESS DURING THE DAY. >> YEAH. >> Stephen: WHAT EFFECT DO ENDORSEMENTS LIKE THIS HAVE? DO ALL THOSE FOLLOWERS GO OVER TO BIDEN? >> WE DON'T KNOW THE ANSWER TO THAT QUESTION. I WAS IN SOUTH CAROLINA, YOUR HOME, THE LAST WEEK. >> Stephen: YEAH, I WAS THERE, TOO. >> I WAS THINKING OF YOU EVERY DAY. >> Stephen: THANK YOU. THE JIM CLYBURN ENDORSEMENT MAYBE DIDN'T WIN SOUTH CAROLINA FOR JOE BIDEN BUT CREATED THAT GIANT MARGIN. SO THERE ARE ENDORSEMENTS THAT MATTER. THE JIM CLYBURN ENDORSEMENT MATTERED. WHETHER THESE WILL MATTER THAT WAY IS AN OPEN QUESTION, BUT I DO THINK THAT ONE OF THE THINGS THAT'S HAPPENING IS THE PROBLEM AS YOU HEADED INTO SUPER TUESDAY WAS IF YOU HAD A GIANT SPLIT ANTI-BERNIE TAKS, 60% OF THE PARTY AGAINST SANDERS BUT FIVE CANDIDATES REPRESENTING IT, YOU CAN IMAGINE A WORLD WHERE THEY SPLIT THAT VOTE UP AND BERNIE GETTING 35% OF THE VOTE COULD WIN ALL OF THE STATES, RIGHT? WITH THESE PEOPLE DROPPING OUT, IT NARROWS THE FIELD AND ALLOWS VOTERS NOT NECESSARILY TO GO BECAUSE OF AN ENDORSEMENT, BUT THEY CAN NO LONGER VOTE FOR PETE BUTTIGIEG OR AMY KLOBUCHAR, SO WHERE WILL THEY PUT THE VOTE? THEY'RE MODERATES, THEY WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO GO WITH GOAD THAN BERNIE SANDERS. SO IT LOOKS LIKE WE'RE SHAPING UP TO A BERNIE SANDERS vs. JOE BIDEN OR ENTERPRISE vs. JOE BIDEN vs. MICHAEL BLOOMBERG CASE. >> Stephen: SO THREE OF THE OLDEST PEOPLE EVER TO RUN FOR THE PRESIDENCY OF ALL TIME. >> YEAH. >> Stephen: EACH ONE OF THEM WOULD BE OLDER THAN REAGAN WAS WHEN HE LEFT OFFICE. >> SPRING CHICKENST NOT, RIGHT? >> Stephen: YES. AND IF YOU ADDED THEIR AGES UP TOGETHER, YOU WOULD HAVE -- >> Stephen: A LOT OF ZEROS. A LOT OF ZEROS. I'M TRYING TO DO THE MATH IN MY HEAD AND I CAN'T. YES, THEY'RE OLD. THEY'RE OLD. AND YOU THINK -- AND TRUMP WILL BE THE SPRING CHICKEN IN THE GROUP, TRUMP WILL BE THE YOUNGEST ONE OF THAT GROUP WHICH IS KIND OF INCREDIBLE. >> Stephen: AT 74. AT 74. SO IN A COUNTRY YEARNING FOR CHANGE WHAT SAYS THAT MORE THAN FOUR SEPT SEPTEGENARIAN WHITE ME ( APPLAUSE ) >> Stephen: EVERYONE KNEW SOUTH CAROLINA IS WHERE BIDEN WOULD MAKE HIS STAND. HOW BIG OF A DIFFERENCE CAN ONE STATE MAKE? CAN IT REALLY TURN THE MOMENTUM? BECAUSE HE HAS NO OFFICES IN CALIFORNIA. HE SPENT $4,000 ON ADS IN CALIFORNIA. >> YEAH SNITS A BIG STATE. IT'S A BIG STATE. AND I THINK IF YOU ASK THE QUESTION WHO'S GOING TO BE -- THE FRONTRUNNER TODAY IS BERNIE SANDERS. THE FRONTRUNNER ON WEDNESDAY MORNING IS STILL GOING TO BE BERNIE SANDERS. ALMOST CERTAINLY UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCE, BERNIE SANDERS IS GOING TO FINISH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH MORE DELEGATES THAN JOE BIDEN. THE QUESTION IS DOES HE FINISH WITH 400 MORE DELEGATES AND HE'S THE DE FACTO NOMINEE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING? IT COULD BE THAT SOON, WE COULD HAVE THAT. OR IT COULD BE 50. AND AT 50, YOU'VE GOT YOURSELF A RACE. AT 400, YOU DON'T. BUT THE ONE STATE IN THIS CASE FOR SOMEONE LIKE JOE BIDEN WHO HAD BEEN EFFECTIVELY LEFT FOR DEAD AFTER IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, FOR HIM TO MAKE THE CLAIM THAT HE WAS GOING TO SHOW THE PARTY THAT, WHEN WE GOT TO THE PART OF THE COUNTRY WHERE THE PARTY LOOKED LIKE THE PARTY, WHERE THERE WERE A LOT OF AFRICAN-AMERICANS, BASICALLY, THAT HE COULD WIN AND NOT JUST DECISIVELY, THAT HE COULD DO THAT AND IT WAS A BIG DEAL. IT HAS A RIPPLE EFFECT. WE'VE SEEN CASES WHERE THE SOUTH CAROLINA ELECTORATE LOOKS LIKE OTHER STATES, AND THIS IS WHAT HAPPENED IN 2016 WITH HILLARY CLINTON AND BARACK OBAMA, WHEN SOUTH CAROLINA SPOKE YOU SAW A LOT OF THE SOUTHERN STATES GO THE SAME WAY. COULD THAT HAPPEN AGAIN WHERE JOE BIDEN CARRIES A LOT OF THE SOUTHERN STATES, WHERE HE HAS THE CONNECTION TO AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTERS? YEAH, AND BERNIE SANDERS HAS HAD A PROBLEM WITH THAT CONSTITUENCY THE FIRST TIME HE HAN AND APPARENTLY STILL DOES. IT'S HARD TO BE THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE IF YOU DON'T HAVE THE AFRICAN-AMERICAN COMMUNITY VOTING FOR YOU. >> Stephen: HE HAS SOME HIP-HOP COMMUNITY ON SANDERS SIDE. NO CONFIRMATION FOR 24 HOURS. SUPER PAINFUL FOR YOU. >> SUPER PAINFUL. >> Stephen: TELL THE PEOPLE WHAT HAPPENED. >> BERNIE ANNOUNCED HE WAS HAVING EVENT IN LOS ANGELES WITH PUB BEELIKE ENEMY. ONE OF THE MEMBERS, FAVOR FLAVE GOT MAD AND SAID HE DIDN'T WANTED TO. THE GROUP BROKE UP. BERNIE SANDERS IS NOW RESPONSIBLE FOR BREAKING UP PUBLIC ENEMY. >> Stephen: WOW, WOW. I CAN LIVE WITH THAT, JUST THE SAME WAY I CAN VAGUELY LIVE WITH THE NOTION KANYA IS HANGING OUT WITH TRUMP, BUT IF JOE BIDEN BREAKS UP WU-TANG CLAN, WE'RE DONE. WE'RE DONE. I'M DONE WITH JOE. ( APPLAUSE ) >> Stephen: YOU HAVE A NEW SHOW. IS IT A SHOW? WOULD YOU CALL IT A SHOW? >> NO, I WOULD CALL IT A PLATFORM. AN APP, A WEB SITE. >> Stephen: OKAY. IT'S CALLED T "THE RECOUNT." WHAT ARE YOU RECOUNTING? >> WE'RE PRODUCING A LOT OF VIDEO ABOUT POLITICS. WE'RE COUNTING THE DAY'S NEWS IN POLITICS EVERY DAY. IF YOU CARE ABOUT POLITICS AND THE COUNTRY BUT LOOK AT CABLE NEWS AND WANTS TO PUKE WHEN YOU SEE PEOPLE LIKE ME I AMERRING ON ENDLESSLY ABOUT POLITICS, IF YOU WANTED TO GET SMART FAST ABOUT POLITICS YOU LOOK AT THE THE DAILY RECOUNT WHERE IN FIVE MINUTES DURING THE DAY WE GIVE YOU ALL THE IMPORTANT STORIES ABOUT POLITICS, WHAT HAPPENED, WHAT MATTERS, NO BAD FAITH, NO B.S., TO POINT, GET SMART ABOUT POLITICS. >> Stephen: NO ANALYSIS, JUST NEWS? >> THE DAILY RECOUNT IS A MASHUP OF OTHER COVERAGE, SO YOU CAN GET DIDDER PARTY SMART ABOUT WHAT HAPPENED IN THE DAY IF YOU'RE NOT FOCUSED ON POLITICS. WE DO COMMENTARY ANALYSIS, NARRATIVE. I DO A SERIES THAT'S ABOUT THE 2020 RACE WITH DEMOCRATS. WE DID A SERIES ABOUT THE IMPEACHMENT DRAMA WITH FLEEL KATTIAL. WE'RE DOING A SERIES BLIND THE GLASS, A FOCUS SERIES WHERE UNDECIDED VOTERS ARE WATCHED FROM BEHIND THE CLASS TALKING ABOUT WHAT'S GOING ON. >> Stephen: YOU NEED A SPIT GUARD. >> THERE IT IS. >> Stephen: THANK YOU SO MUCH. GOOD TO SEE YOU AGAIN, JOHN. ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) "THE RECOUNT" IS AVAILABLE ONLINE DAILY. WE'LL BE RIGHT BACK WITH A PERFORMANCE BY JAMES TAYLOR. ( CHEERS AND APPLAUSE ) ( BAND PLAYING )
B1 中級 John Heilemann:如果喬-拜登解散武當幫,我們就完了。 (John Heilemann: If Joe Biden Breaks Up The Wu-Tang Clan, We're Done) 5 0 林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字