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You are watching Trends!
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Every Thursday we take a peek at the future to see what's ahead of us.
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Welcome to ALUX.com!
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The place where future billionaires come to get inspired.
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Hello Aluxers, and welcome back! By some, technology is considered the “oil” of the 21st century…
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Once we tapped into it, our world changed… we're sure all of you are experiencing these rapid changes first-hand in your day to day lives;
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which is why in today's video we're taking a look at critical shifts happening in the job market due to advancements in technology,
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and explore the idea of universal income. Let's dig in.
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What if we run out of jobs for our ever-growing population, because of mass automation?
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What if an AI system, could replace you at work?
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What if the only jobs available, required backgrounds in Robotics, or engineering?
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What if the top businesses in the world, employed more robots than humans?
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What if your dream job became obsolete?
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We know - this probably sounds like some crazy sci-fi movie plot… but Aluxers, this reality could take shape a lot sooner than we think.
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With that in mind, let's try to understand what the current job market looks like before automation takes over completely.
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At present, the majority of low skilled jobs like driving, manufacturing, and maintenance are all becoming irrelevant,
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with the advancement in mass automation and the success of AI.
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It's impossible not to feel the difference digitization has made in our daily lives...
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Everything from watching movies, to buying tonight's groceries - can be done online.
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And although this has made our lives more convenient, it's also eliminated thousands of jobs.
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Sure, autonomous cars are "cool"... but if that tech takes hold in the trucking industry... 50,000 drivers will be left jobless in the US alone.
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Several experiments in the past have proved that robots and AI systems are more efficient than human beings in every professional field,
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and although they cannot imitate things like human touch or empathy, in professions like medicine…
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they are definitely good enough to replace members of the less skilled workforce.
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Top CEOs care about their profits more than anything else, and if that means replacing hundreds of lower-end jobs with robots or AI codes,
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you can bet on them making that tough choice.
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Which brings us to address a single question… how do we survive in a future without jobs?
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That question has led to quite a debate in recent years… surrounding the idea of a Universal Basic Income, or UBI.
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Basically, a social model designed to support people when job availability becomes a thing of the past. Let's take a closer look.
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Currently, we live in a world with major economic inequality.
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On the one hand, we have giant tech companies earning profits greater than the GDP of some countries… while on the other hand,
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we have a class of actively working poor people, who are employed but are earning below their country's poverty line.
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These actively working poor are affected by the low wages they earn, and the taxes they have to pay in order to sustain their livelihood.
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Now one might wonder, “why would someone work so hard, and still live poor, if national governments provide social services such as welfare?”
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- an idea similar to that of UBI.
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Interestingly, American presidential candidate Andrew Yang based his entire campaign on the idea of universal basic income,
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and why it's necessary for a developed nation like the US, where automation is growing more rapidly than many other countries.
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With that said, let's try to understand how the UBI model can work in a country like the United States,
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and what implications it could have if replicated and implemented around the world.
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Now, back to the model of UBI, in reference to the current US Economy.
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These days, a monthly income of 1000 USD is considered to be a reasonable Universal Basic Income for a person receiving social assistance.
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Right now, millions of manufacturing jobs in the US have been automated, and nearly 30% of stores have closed in the retail sector.
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Many people in the US can't afford to pay exorbitant college tuition fees for higher education and/or specialization,
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this wave of automation will definitely result in greater unemployment.
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Considering this, it starts to become clear that a greater need for a UBI may be on the horizon… even for developed nations like the US.
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However even on a global scale, we can see similar job market trends in countries like Japan,
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where the majority of service jobs are already automated, due to its aging population.
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Now Aluxers, the tech-savvy among us know there's no first-move advantage when it comes to technology…
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and even though the rate of automation differs across different economies and geographies,
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one thing will always be certain: top multinational companies will always put profits before welfare.
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It is estimated that 800 million jobs will be automated worldwide by 2030,
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and technological advancements like deep learning have left practically no boundaries as to what can be automated.
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Now if you're starting to think a UBI model provided by our governments, or sponsored by businesses, can make things better for everyone…
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We gotta say, the solution is not that simple.
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Several experiments in providing the masses with a basic income have failed in the past, and in some cases, created more problems than it solved.
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Some individuals proved to become unmotivated and lazy because they did not need to work for a living…
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some wasted their money on drugs and alcohol…
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We also have to consider that the model of UBI doesn't actually bridge the gap in wealth equality,
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since the income provided doesn't account for things like inflation or economic breakdown.
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Some intellectuals and economists also believe that UBI could lead to an implosion in stock markets,
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and slow down the economy further by reducing spending, rather than increasing consumption.
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The implementation of a UBI poses challenges of its own, the model needs to be tailor-made for every country and depends on multiple factors
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like the current state of welfare in the country, the focus of government, and/or how much money the government has allocated for welfare in its budget.
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In 2017, the Canadian government experimented with the idea of a Universal Basic Income.
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The Pilot Project was an attempt to bridge wealth inequality, and uplift the lower class.
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The Canadian government planned to provide 4000 socially disadvantaged people a UBI of $17,000 dollars annually, for a period of 3 years.
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However, the project was scrapped after ministry officials determined the experiment did not enable the participants
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to become independent contributors to the economy.
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The cancellation of the program left the participants angry and dissatisfied, while also making their future even more uncertain.
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Similar experiments have also been carried out in countries like Kenya and Finland, and as we indicated before,
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may even be necessary highly developed countries like the US, in the very near future.
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For most of us, we need a job to earn our livelihood… for some of us, that job may even be what defines us and gives our lives meaning.
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We're betting that for you Aluxers, a life without work goals would be kind of... Empty and without purpose...
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So instead of worrying about AI and Robots, let's be smart and start planning how we'll handle the changes ahead!
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Having such a big international audience, we'd love to know Aluxers,
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What does the job market look like in your country?
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Is automation resulting in job cuts and maybe even a slowdown in your country's economy?
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Also - what is your take on a future without jobs?
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Would you acquire new skills and try to keep yourself employed in a world full of automation,
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or would you settle for a universal basic income provided by your country's government? Let us know in the comments!
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And, of course for sticking with us until the end, here's your Bonus!
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All over the world, various experiments are done comparing the efficiency of AI systems with human professionals.
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In a september 2019 study - conducted by a team of researchers from the University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust in the UK
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it was shown that deep learning could detect a vast range of diseases, from cancer to eye disorders, on par with human healthcare professionals.
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It was found that AI can correctly diagnose in 87% of the cases, as compared to medical professionals who could correctly diagnose in 86%...
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and the specificity of the deep learning algorithm was surprisingly at 93%, as compared to its human counterparts.
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Interesting… and, kind of alarming… am I right?
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Thank you for spending some time with us Aluxers!
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Make sure to subscribe so you never miss another video.
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We also handpicked these videos for you to watch next.
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As always the conversation continues on social media.
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Thanks again and we can't wait to have you back tomorrow.