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By the end of this year,
截止到今年年底之前,
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there'll be nearly a billion people on this planet
全世界總計將會有近十億的人口
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that actively use social networking sites.
活躍於各個社群網絡之中。
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The one thing that all of them have in common
他們擁有一個共通點
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is that they're going to die.
那就是有一天他們將會面臨死亡。
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While that might be a somewhat morbid thought,
雖然這樣的想法似乎有些病態,
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I think it has some really profound implications
但我認為這之中蘊藏了一些深遠意涵
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that are worth exploring.
值得我們去發掘。
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What first got me thinking about this
首先讓我認真去思考這件事情的
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was a blog post authored earlier this year by Derek K. Miller,
是一個叫做Derek K. Miller的作家在今年初所發布的一篇部落格文章。
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who was a science and technology journalist
Miller是一個科學和科技類的新聞工作者,
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who died of cancer.
因罹癌而離開人世,
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And what Miller did was have his family and friends write a post
而他要求他的家人和朋友在他死後
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that went out shortly after he died.
把他生前預先寫好的一篇文章發布到網路上。
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Here's what he wrote in starting that out.
以下是他所發布文章中的一段
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He said, "Here it is. I'm dead,
他說:「就在此刻,我已經死了,
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and this is my last post to my blog.
而這也是我最後發佈的一篇部落格文章。
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In advance, I asked that once my body finally shut down
我要求我的家人和朋友,
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from the punishments of my cancer,
當我的身體最終敵不過癌症的折磨而停止運作時,
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then my family and friends publish this prepared message I wrote --
將這則事先準備好的訊息發佈出去,
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the first part of the process
作為將這個活躍的網站
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of turning this from an active website to an archive."
轉變為歷史檔案的起點。」
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Now, while as a journalist,
現在,身為一名新聞工作者,
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Miller's archive may have been better written
Miller的個人歷史檔案可能比起其他多數的檔案
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and more carefully curated than most,
更好且更加謹慎的被管理和保存著。
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the fact of the matter is that all of us today
事實上,
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are creating an archive
現在我們每個人都在創造著一份檔案
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that's something completely different
這些檔案跟以往幾個世代
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than anything that's been created
任何時期創造出來的儲存方式
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by any previous generation.
都完全不同。
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Consider a few stats for a moment.
讓我們花點時間來瞭解以下幾個數據
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Right now there are 48 hours of video
就在此刻,每分鐘總計有48小時的影片
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being uploaded to YouTube every single minute.
被上傳到YouTube網站;
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There are 200 million Tweets being posted every day.
每天有兩億則推特發佈;
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And the average Facebook user
而平均每個Facebook用戶
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is creating 90 pieces of content each month.
每個月會發佈九十則訊息。
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So when you think about your parents or your grandparents,
所以想一想你的父母親或是你的祖父母,
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at best they may have created
他們可能頂多在某個角落的箱子裡
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some photos or home videos,
保存了一些照片或家庭生活影片
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or a diary that lives in a box somewhere.
或是一本日記簿。
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But today we're all creating this incredibly rich digital archive
但是如今,我們正在創造多元豐富的數位檔案庫。
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that's going to live in the cloud indefinitely,
即使在我們離開人世之後,
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years after we're gone.
這個檔案仍會被永久的保留在雲端運算之中,
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And I think that's going to create some incredibly intriguing opportunities
而我認為這將為從事科技工作者
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for technologists.
開創一些別開生面的機會。
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Now to be clear, I'm a journalist and not a technologist,
我得先表明,我是一個新聞工作者,並不是科技領域的專家,
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so what I'd like to do briefly
所以我想要呈現給各位的
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is paint a picture
是一幅
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of what the present and the future are going to look like.
描繪現在以及未來將會出現的畫面。
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Now we're already seeing some services
現在已經有一些服務
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that are designed to let us decide
他可以讓我們決定
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what happens to our online profile and our social media accounts
在我們死後,我們線上的個人檔案和社群帳號
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after we die.
能有甚麼變化。
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One of them actually, fittingly enough,
實際上,這當中有某一家服務得很稱職
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found me when I checked into a deli
它通過Foursquare網站,
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at a restaurant in New York
在我進入紐約一家餐廳的以後
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on foursquare.
立馬找到在熟食部的我
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(Recording) Adam Ostrow: Hello.
(錄音)Adam Ostrow: 哈囉!
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Death: Adam?
死神:Adam?
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AO: Yeah.
AO: 是的。
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Death: Death can catch you anywhere, anytime,
死神:死神可以隨時隨地將你抓走
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even at the Organic.
甚至是在擁有生機之處。
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AO: Who is this?
AO: 你到底是誰?
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Death: Go to ifidie.net
死神:在一切都還來得及時,
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before it's too late.
快登錄到ifidie.net
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(Laughter)
(大笑)
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Adam Ostrow: Kind of creepy, right?
有點令人毛骨悚然,對吧?
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So what that service does, quite simply,
其實該項服務所做的,非常簡單,
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is let you create a message or a video
就是讓你在死後,可以在Facebook上發布
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that can be posted to Facebook after you die.
你生前完成的訊息或影片。
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Another service right now
有另外一項
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is called 1,000 Memories.
現在叫做[千憶]的服務
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And what this lets you do is create an online tribute to your loved ones,
這項服務允許你設立一個線上空間,讓你所愛的人們
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complete with photos and videos and stories
在你死後
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that they can post after you die.
得以上傳照片、影片和故事。
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But what I think comes next is far more interesting.
但我預想未來的發展將比這些更加有趣。
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Now a lot of you are probably familiar with Deb Roy
你們大概都對Deb Roy還滿熟悉的吧,
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who, back in March,
他在三月份的時候
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demonstrated how he was able to analyze more than 90,000 hours of home video.
演示了他成功分析90,000多小時的家庭影片。
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I think as machines' ability
我認為,機器對於
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to understand human language and process vast amounts of data
人類語言的理解和處理龐大數字的能力
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continues to improve,
在持續的進步之中,
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it's going to become possible
想藉由我們正大量製造的
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to analyze an entire life's worth of content --
Tweets、照片、影片和部落格文章中
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the Tweets, the photos, the videos, the blog posts --
去解析一個生命所留下的內涵
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that we're producing in such massive numbers.
將不再是不可能的事。
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And I think as that happens,
而當這樣的情況真的發生時,
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it's going to become possible for our digital personas
我們各種數位分身將真的可能
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to continue to interact in the real world long after we're gone
在我們死後繼續和這個真實世界互動
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thanks to the vastness of the amount of content we're creating
而這得感謝那些我們正大量製造的訊息內容
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and technology's ability to make sense of it all.
以及具有將這一切變得可能的科技能力。
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Now we're already starting to see some experiments here.
現在我們要來觀察一個實驗。
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One service called My Next Tweet
有一個叫作My Next Tweet的服務
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analyzes your entire Twitter stream, everything you've posted onto Twitter,
他可藉由分析你所有的推特串,以及所有你已經發布在Twitter上的內容,
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to make some predictions as to what you might say next.
去預測你下一步可能會說些甚麼。
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Well right now, as you can see,
嗯...不過現在,就像你所看到的,
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the results can be somewhat comical.
這些結果可能有點滑稽。
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You can imagine what something like this might look like
但隨著我們的科技能力的改進,
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five, 10 or 20 years from now
你可以想像在五年、十年,
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as our technical capabilities improve.
甚至二十年之後這會變成甚麼樣子。
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Taking it a step further,
讓這一切更進一步的,
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MIT's media lab is working on robots
還有MIT的Media Lab正在研究製造
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that can interact more like humans.
可以更趨近於人類互動模式的機器人。
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But what if those robots were able to interact
但假若這些機器人與人互動的基礎
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based on the unique characteristics of a specific person
是奠基在專屬某個特定個人的的個性、
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based on the hundreds of thousands of pieces of content
以及此人終其一生所發布
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that person produces in their lifetime?
數以萬計的訊息內容而成的情況之下呢?
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Finally, think back to this famous scene
最後,我們回想一下過去一個有名的場景
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from election night 2008
時間是美國在2008年的
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back in the United States,
總統大選之夜,
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where CNN beamed a live hologram
在CNN的現場出現了嘻哈歌手
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of hip hop artist will.i.am into their studio
will.i.am的全息圖,
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for an interview with Anderson Cooper.
讓他接受Anderson Cooper的訪談。
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What if we were able to use that same type of technology
我們是否也能應用同樣的科技
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to beam a representation of our loved ones into our living rooms --
製造出一個可以投射在客廳,作為我們所愛之人象徵的全息圖,
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interacting in a very lifelike way
用他們生前所發出的訊息內容做為材料
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based on all the content they created while they were alive?
讓這個全息圖可以活生生的與我們互動呢?
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I think that's going to become completely possible
我認為當我們所使用的數據訊息量
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as the amount of data we're producing
以及能夠解讀這些訊息的科技能力
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and technology's ability to understand it
都呈指數式的擴充時,
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both expand exponentially.
這是非常有可能的。
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Now in closing, I think what we all need to be thinking about
以此作為演說的尾聲,我認為我們都應該去思考的是
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is if we want that to become our reality --
如果我們希望這種情況成真-
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and if so,
而如果他的確成真了,
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what it means for a definition of life and everything that comes after it.
這對人生的定義,以及與人生相關的種種又意味著什麼。
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Thank you very much.
非常謝謝你們。
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(Applause)
(鼓掌)