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On March 28, 2020,
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the governor of New York announced that he was delaying his state's April election.
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"I don't think it's wise to be bringing a lot of people to one location."
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18 other states had already delayed or modified their spring elections.
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"It would endanger public health to allow thousands of people to assemble."
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But the state of Wisconsin made a different call.
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"The only state to move ahead with its election."
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"Polls, if you can believe it, are open in Wisconsin this morning."
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On April 7, voters in Wisconsin got in line, waited for hours,
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standing 6 feet apart, wearing masks,
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with some poll workers in full protective gear.
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One voter made a sign that seemed to sum up the situation perfectly:
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"People are calling it the photo of the year."
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"Quote, This is ridiculous."
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I was sitting with my cardboard in my lap, I was like, “this whole thing is just ridiculous.”
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The people who were supposed to be making sure things are safe for us,
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I felt like they kind of threw us under the wagon, you know?
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The next day, the governor of New Jersey announced they were postponing their election too.
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"I don't want a Wisconsin, where folks had to pick
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between exercising their right to vote on the one hand, and protecting their own personal health."
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Wisconsin's election highlights something that the US really needs to figure out soon.
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In November, there's an election to decide the next president.
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But it's highly unlikely that Covid-19 will be over and done with by then.
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We might even be dealing with a second wave of it.
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So, if public gatherings are a health risk,
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how are you supposed to have an election?
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I'm coming to you from the Roberts family voting booth, here at my dining room table.
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This is Dave. He's at home in Seattle, Washington.
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Dave's done a lot of reporting on what he says is a simple solution to how America can
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vote during the pandemic.
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Tens of millions of people in America vote by mail now, every election. And it's fine.
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Washington is one of the few states that runs its entire election through the mail.
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I think I've been voting by mail since I got to Washington in 2000.
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Everyone who's done it loves it.
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Voting by mail basically works by taking two important elements of voting:
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Verifying your identity, and filling out the ballot --
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And moving them from a polling place, to your home,
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where the ballot gets mailed a few weeks before the election.
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And that has two really obvious benefits. First:
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You can take as much time as you want.
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You have literally weeks to do as much research as you want.
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So when you fill that circle, you're like,
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I'm friggin' voting.
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I'm capital-V voting right now.
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And second: Voting by mail takes away a lot of the common reasons people don't vote.
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Being forced to take a day off work,
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find someone to watch your kids, or take your kids with you,
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and go to a crowded balloting place,
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hope that your name hasn't been struck from some roll for some random reason,
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wait for hours, three hours, five hours, in line...
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Voting by mail clears those hurdles. And the effects are really easy to see.
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In 2018, a county in western Nebraska got permission from the state
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to run their entire election by mail.
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Every voter there got a mail-in ballot,
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while voters in the rest of the state voted the old-fashioned way.
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Across Nebraska, voter turnout was 24%. But in that one county, it was more than double that.
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Turns out that making it easier to vote, means more people vote.
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On average, states with all-mail voting systems have a higher turnout than other states.
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A poll from April 2020 found that Americans would overwhelmingly be in favor
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of holding the next presidential election entirely by mail.
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But that still leaves a chunk who aren't sold on it.
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One reason is fraud:
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the possibility that your vote might be more likely to get lost, stolen or coerced,
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if you vote at home.
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So I asked an expert on voting by mail how serious and common a risk this is.
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"It's exceedingly rare."
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So I also asked someone who runs elections.
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"No widespread or systematic voter fraud."
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I asked a political scientist who's an expert on election data.
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"It's highly unlikely anyone is going to steal your vote."
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An election law expert...
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"The concerns about voter fraud are way overhyped."
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And an expert on voting rights.
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"You are still more likely to be struck by lightning than to find mail ballot fraud."
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The reason vote-by-mail fraud is rare is that even though, in theory, it's possible,
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it's not very effective.
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It helps to think in terms of "wholesale fraud" vs. "retail fraud."
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Election security experts worry about wholesale fraud:
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lots and lots of votes being tampered with at once.
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So, if a bunch of people are voting on a machine, you just have to hack the one machine,
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and you have access to thousands of votes.
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Wholesale fraud, with one point of contact.
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They're a lot less worried about what they call "retail fraud":
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votes that get tampered with one at a time.
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I mean, it is possible that someone could come by, and steal your ballot, fill it out,
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sign your name to it, and mail it in.
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And they thereby would have accomplished...
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changing one vote.
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But even if that does happen, vote-by-mail systems typically give you a way
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to track your vote and make sure it's been counted.
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"You can track your ballot like an Amazon package. It does not get much more secure than that."
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"You can actually go on our system and track it,
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from when they receive it, when they verify the signature, and when it's ready to count.
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If they haven't returned that ballot, I guarantee you that the voter picks up the phone
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and calls those election officials."
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"The checks and balances that are in vote-by-mail...
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In California, there are stronger and stricter guidelines on processing vote-by-mail
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than there are on in-person voters.
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To me, it's a much more secure process."
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The same week that Wisconsin held its election, the state of Georgia sent all its voters forms
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that would let them request a mail ballot.
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But Georgia's Speaker of the House complained.
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He said voting by mail benefits Democrats.
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"This will be extremely devastating to Republicans and conservatives in Georgia."
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But there's no evidence that voting by mail is better for either party.
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A study at Stanford found that it doesn't get either party a bigger share of either
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turnout or the vote itself.
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All it does is increase the number of people who vote.
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"We haven't seen any benefit to one party over another."
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"There's nothing political about voting and more people voting is a good thing."
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"Providing that all vote-by-mail experience didn't change those dynamics.
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People were still voting the way they wanted to vote."
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"I'm pretty sure I'm living proof that you can elect a Republican in a blue state,
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and you can do it in a vote-by-mail environment."
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Every state in the US already has some kind of vote-by-mail option:
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It's called an absentee ballot.
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But some states will only give you one if you have a good excuse,
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like if you're out of town or in the military.
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Other states offer a no-excuse absentee ballot, where you don't need to give a reason.
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But you still have to request it.
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Voting by mail is something every state already allows.
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But very few states are actually prepared to do an entire election through the mail.
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That's what caused the problem in Wisconsin.
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In 2016, about 250,000 Wisconsin voters requested an absentee ballot.
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In 2020, about five times that number requested absentee ballots.
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Wisconsin hadn't prepared for that.
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So a lot of people never got their ballots. And had to go vote in person instead.
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I was one of over 55,000 people who had requested an absentee ballot who had not yet received it.
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I am desperately hoping that we can make that an exclusive option,
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if we're still dealing with unsafe situations in November.
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It would not be that difficult to ramp that up in time for the election.
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I mean, you'd need to start now. It's not trivial, but it's very doable.
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In the five states that have all-mail voting, there's still an option to vote in person:
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A backup, mostly for people who didn't get a ballot, or weren't registered to vote in time.
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But in most, places voting by mail is the backup.
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And if lots of voters feel that voting in person isn't safe, a backup won't be good enough.
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Preparing election systems for that will take time. And right now, there is time.
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But only if we start now.